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206 N Avalon St
C- Composite 53.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

206 N Avalon St · West Memphis, AR 72301
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,512 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1967 Est $171k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Change your mind set, and become a home owner today. This house is completely re-painted inside and out. Roof was replaced in 2021, new sewage line was done this year. Come in to check out the big living room opens to the dining area with new LVP flooring and in the kitchen as well; brand new kitchen with all new cabinets with soft close drawers, new hardware, new light fixtures, re-finished hardwood floor, 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bath, and a separate laundry room with new connection for washer and dryer. This house is ready for its new owner. Buyer needs to get flood insurance, it is in flood zone.

Key facts

  • Brand new kitchen
  • New sewage line
  • New lvp flooring

Tags

RE-PAINTED INSIDE AND OUTROOF REPLACEDNEW SEWAGE LINEBIG LIVING ROOMNEW LVP FLOORINGBRAND NEW KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking; Driveway; Paved parking area; No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: No patio or porch

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (2.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $155,817 (2.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.24%
Cash-on-cash
6.95%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,856
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
618 S Roselawn 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,537 (+2%) 0mo $140,000 $91 68
123 W Danner Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,425 (-6%) 1mo $115,000 $81 67
510 Auburn Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,439 (-5%) 12mo $45,500 $32 61
508 Oxford St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,484 (-2%) 5mo $170,000 $115 58
603 Belmont Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,643 (+9%) 0mo $180,000 $110 54
126 W Cooper Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,372 (-9%) 12mo $183,000 $133 52
412 Auburn Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,328 (-12%) 10mo $150,000 $113 52
402 Kingsway Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,577 (+4%) 12mo $235,000 $149 48
228 Ross Rd 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,375 (-9%) 14mo $82,900 $60 45
213 S Worthington Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,375 (-9%) 6mo $169,900 $124 43
115 N Stonebridge Cv 0.66mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,288 (-15%) 6mo $190,000 $148 33
415 Vanderbilt Ave 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,737 (+15%) 9mo $164,900 $95 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-9,391
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$12,756
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,558 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $876/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$258

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,232
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $348 -5% $303 +0% $258 +5% $213 +10% $168
Rent -10% $135 -5% $196 +0% $258 +5% $319 +10% $381
Rate -1.0pp $338 -0.5pp $298 base $258 +0.5pp $217 +1.0pp $175

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR 2.0 2.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 2d 1 0.62mi
905 Maple Dr West Memphis, AR 4.0 2.0 1176 $1,495 $1.27 24d 1 0.92mi
905 Maple Dr West Memphis, AR 4.0 2.0 1176 $1,699 $1.44 2d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    remarks 598-char remark
  2. 2026-06-07
    listed $159,000 Pending 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$876 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,018 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$142/yr (+$12/mo · 16.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,698
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$876
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,496
− Management
−$1,496
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable income
$504
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$121
After-tax cash flow
$2,974/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+205.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Pending EARA
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $159,000 EARA
  • 2020-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
  • 2008-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 2000-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $876 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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