2232 N Main St · Hazard, KY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable move in ready home featuring a inviting open living area, 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Off street parking and a fenced in yard! Updates throughout including brand new flooring in every room and new paint throughout! Located in the Hazard City Limits.
Key facts
- Downtown hazard
- Fenced-in yard
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Storage structure on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Cooktop
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Heat pump; Central air; Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; 5 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $97k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.9% in Hazard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#196 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Hazard Independent (town): math 31% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #39 of 165 in KY (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hazard High School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 277 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Perry County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.38%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $107,854
- List price
- $97,000
- Delta
- -10.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-6,051
- Equity at exit
- $14,463
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $7,851
- Equity at exit
- $8,387
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41701
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,489 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $632/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $148
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $203 | -5% $175 | +0% $148 | +5% $121 | +10% $93 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $30 | -5% $89 | +0% $148 | +5% $207 | +10% $266 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $197 | -0.5pp $173 | base $148 | +0.5pp $123 | +1.0pp $97 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $97,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $97,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $97,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $97,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $97,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $97,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $97,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $97,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $97,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $97,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $97,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $97,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $97,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $97,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-30$97,000 Active 644-char remark
-
2026-01-09price $105,000
-
2025-11-01price $115,000
-
2025-10-08price $119,000
-
2025-10-07status Active
-
2025-09-23status Pending
-
2025-09-13$120,000 Active
-
2021-08-30soldstatus $85,000
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Adorable move in ready home featuring a inviting open living area, 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Off street parking and a fenced in yard! Updates throughout including brand new flooring in every room and new paint throughout! Located in the Hazard City Limits.
-
2021-05-13$89,900
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Adorable move in ready home featuring a inviting open living area, 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Off street parking and a fenced in yard! Updates throughout including brand new flooring in every room and new paint throughout! Located in the Hazard City Limits.
-
2020-02-13soldstatus $81,400
-
2019-12-16$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $632 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $834 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- +$203/yr (+$17/mo · 32.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,867
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$632
- − Insurance
- −$5,604
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,429
- − Management
- −$1,429
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $518
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$124
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazard Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2102670
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,115
- Composite
- 32.59/100
- National rank
- #5676
- State rank
- #39 of 165 in KY
Livability — Hazard
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #9701
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazard, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,646
Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,976 people
- By 2030
- 23,390 · -6.4%
- By 2040
- 20,270 · -18.8%
- By 2050
- 17,547 · -29.7%
- By 2075
- 12,599 · -49.6%
- By 2100
- 9,358 · -62.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Perry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.7% · R 79.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.5pp toward R · 2008: -32.0pp · 2024: -59.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.5 2020: R+54.3 2016: R+57.0 2012: R+58.5 2008: R+32.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.13%
- Current HPI
- 143.629
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+29.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $97,000 EKAR
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $105,000 EKAR
- 2025-11-01 Price Changed $115,000 EKAR
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $119,000 EKAR
- 2025-10-07 Relisted — EKAR
- 2025-09-23 Pending — EKAR
- 2025-09-13 Listed $120,000 EKAR
- 2021-08-30 Sold (MLS) $85,000 EKAR
- 2021-05-13 Listed $89,900 EKAR
- 2020-02-13 Sold (MLS) $81,400 EKAR
- 2019-12-16 Listed $74,900 EKAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…