44 W Elza Ave · Hazel Park, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is your opportunity to buy a great little house or an amazing piece of land to add onto or redevelop completely! Huge lot, great 2 car garage already on the property and close to Ferndale, Royal Oak, all the freeways and more. There's already new construction on this street going for HUGE money! Cash only, quick and easy closing. Get your offers before it's gone! This will be the cheapest you can buy a home west of John R!!!
Key facts
- 2 car garage
- Huge lot
- 6,534 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Approximately 600 above-grade finished square feet
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.15 acres (50 x 107.5)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Two total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 6.2% in Hazel Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#65 in MI, #1,385 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D.
- Hazel Park School District (suburban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #490 of 540 in MI (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.18%
- DSCR
- 3.05
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $125,487
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 W Bernhard Ave | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 597 (+4%) | 3mo | $131,000 | $219 | 83 |
| 346 E Bernhard Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 643 (+12%) | 2mo | $143,000 | $222 | 65 |
| 101 W Maxlow Ave | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 629 (+10%) | 13mo | $132,000 | $210 | 65 |
| 355 W Woodruff Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 589 (+3%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $204 | 52 |
| 1641 Silman St St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 640 (+12%) | 11mo | $186,500 | $291 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $26,091
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 49.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.76×
- Total profit
- $66,528
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48030
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,178 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,326/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $538
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 E Milton Ave Hazel Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 568 | $1,050 | $1.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 155 W George Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,000 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 23115 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,375 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 749 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 18d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 690 E Marshall St Unit Lower Ferndale, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,295 | $1.85 | 11d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 23773 Hazelwood Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 671 | $1,400 | $2.09 | 12d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,040 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1291 W State Fair Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 12d | 2 | 1.18mi |
| 552 E Saratoga St Unit Upper Unit Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1045 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,049 | $1.47 | 24d | 3 | 1.28mi |
| 165 E Hazelhurst St Unit 2 Ferndale, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $898 | $1.80 | 18d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 425 Vester St Unit A Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,349 | $2.57 | 5d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 218 Academy St Unit Upper Unit Ferndale, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $850 | $1.70 | 5d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2215 Browning St Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $1,350 | $1.83 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Unit C1 Hazel Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,350 | $2.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,075 | $1.51 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Unit C6 Hazel Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,100 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 22111 Woodward Ave Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $2,556 | $3.13 | 16d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-04status $49,900 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$49,900 Active
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Here is your opportunity to buy a great little house or an amazing piece of land to add onto or redevelop completely! Huge lot, great 2 car garage already on the property and close to Ferndale, Royal Oak, all the freeways and more. There's already new construction on this street going for HUGE money! Cash only, quick and easy closing. Get your offers before it's gone! This will be the cheapest you can buy a home west of John R!!!
-
2026-05-27$49,900 Active 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Here is your opportunity to buy a great little house or an amazing piece of land to add onto or redevelop completely! Huge lot, great 2 car garage already on the property and close to Ferndale, Royal Oak, all the freeways and more. There's already new construction on this street going for HUGE money! Cash only, quick and easy closing. Get your offers before it's gone! This will be the cheapest you can buy a home west of John R!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,326 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,326 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$1,326
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,131
- − Management
- −$1,131
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $6,053
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,453
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,000/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazel Park School District
- NCES district ID
- 2618030
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,181
- Composite
- 14.05/100
- National rank
- #9466
- State rank
- #490 of 540 in MI
Livability — Hazel Park
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #65
- US rank
- #1385
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazel Park, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 14,963
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,963
- Household income
- $67,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 432.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -184.32%
- Current HPI
- 285.5923
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-27 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,326 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…