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521 N 5th St
B Composite 74.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$39,000

521 N 5th St · Crowell, TX 79227
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,636 sqft · SingleFamily · 155 Days on market
Built 1800 0.32 ac lot Est $39k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover your next home in the charming town of Crowell! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a spacious layout with hardwood floors, a cozy fireplace, and an eat-in kitchen. Just one block from the school, it sits on a large corner lot with plenty of yard space to enjoy outdoor activities or gardening. Move-in ready and full of potential, this home is perfect for anyone looking to enjoy the quiet pace of small-town living while adding their own personal touches.

Key facts

  • Large corner lot
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSCOZY FIREPLACEEAT-IN KITCHENLARGE CORNER LOTYARD SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $661 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#511 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Crowell ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #917 of 1,141 in TX (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $563 of equity ($270 loan paydown + $293 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
  • Foard County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1800 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1800 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.02%
Cap rate
26.64%
Cash-on-cash
72.66%
DSCR
4.23
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$39,264
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
521 N 5th St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,636 (0%) 3mo $39,000 $24 98

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
75.4%
Equity multiple
4.88×
Total profit
$42,385
Equity at exit
$12,811
10-year hold
IRR
76.5%
Equity multiple
9.97×
Total profit
$97,953
Equity at exit
$16,643

Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79227

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,178 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$205
Tax est. 1.5%
$49 /mo · $585/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$661

Break-even live

Break-even rent $341
Max offer price $39,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,750
Closing costs
$1,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-03-18
    soldstatus Closed 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Discover your next home in the charming town of Crowell! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a spacious layout with hardwood floors, a cozy fireplace, and an eat-in kitchen. Just one block from the school, it sits on a large corner lot with plenty of yard space to enjoy outdoor activities or gardening. Move-in ready and full of potential, this home is perfect for anyone looking to enjoy the quiet pace of small-town living while adding their own personal touches.

  2. 2026-03-06
    historical 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Discover your next home in the charming town of Crowell! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a spacious layout with hardwood floors, a cozy fireplace, and an eat-in kitchen. Just one block from the school, it sits on a large corner lot with plenty of yard space to enjoy outdoor activities or gardening. Move-in ready and full of potential, this home is perfect for anyone looking to enjoy the quiet pace of small-town living while adding their own personal touches.

  3. 2026-03-06
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Discover your next home in the charming town of Crowell! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a spacious layout with hardwood floors, a cozy fireplace, and an eat-in kitchen. Just one block from the school, it sits on a large corner lot with plenty of yard space to enjoy outdoor activities or gardening. Move-in ready and full of potential, this home is perfect for anyone looking to enjoy the quiet pace of small-town living while adding their own personal touches.

  4. 2025-10-01
    listed $39,000 Active 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Discover your next home in the charming town of Crowell! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a spacious layout with hardwood floors, a cozy fireplace, and an eat-in kitchen. Just one block from the school, it sits on a large corner lot with plenty of yard space to enjoy outdoor activities or gardening. Move-in ready and full of potential, this home is perfect for anyone looking to enjoy the quiet pace of small-town living while adding their own personal touches.

  5. 2025-10-01
    listed $39,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Discover your next home in the charming town of Crowell! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a spacious layout with hardwood floors, a cozy fireplace, and an eat-in kitchen. Just one block from the school, it sits on a large corner lot with plenty of yard space to enjoy outdoor activities or gardening. Move-in ready and full of potential, this home is perfect for anyone looking to enjoy the quiet pace of small-town living while adding their own personal touches.

  6. 2025-09-10
    soldstatus Closed 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom,1-bath frame home on a corner lot in Crowell,TX.This older home features hardwood floors,a large living room with a cozy fireplace,and an eat-in kitchen.Ready to move in and enjoy as-is,with room to update and personalize over time.Perfect for anyone looking for a peaceful small-town lifestyle with character and potential.Equal housing opportunity applies—come see the value and possibilities this home offers!

  7. 2025-09-10
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom,1-bath frame home on a corner lot in Crowell,TX.This older home features hardwood floors,a large living room with a cozy fireplace,and an eat-in kitchen.Ready to move in and enjoy as-is,with room to update and personalize over time.Perfect for anyone looking for a peaceful small-town lifestyle with character and potential.Equal housing opportunity applies—come see the value and possibilities this home offers!

  8. 2025-08-24
    historical Active Contingent 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom,1-bath frame home on a corner lot in Crowell,TX.This older home features hardwood floors,a large living room with a cozy fireplace,and an eat-in kitchen.Ready to move in and enjoy as-is,with room to update and personalize over time.Perfect for anyone looking for a peaceful small-town lifestyle with character and potential.Equal housing opportunity applies—come see the value and possibilities this home offers!

  9. 2025-08-24
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom,1-bath frame home on a corner lot in Crowell,TX.This older home features hardwood floors,a large living room with a cozy fireplace,and an eat-in kitchen.Ready to move in and enjoy as-is,with room to update and personalize over time.Perfect for anyone looking for a peaceful small-town lifestyle with character and potential.Equal housing opportunity applies—come see the value and possibilities this home offers!

  10. 2025-07-11
    listed $39,000 Active 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom,1-bath frame home on a corner lot in Crowell,TX.This older home features hardwood floors,a large living room with a cozy fireplace,and an eat-in kitchen.Ready to move in and enjoy as-is,with room to update and personalize over time.Perfect for anyone looking for a peaceful small-town lifestyle with character and potential.Equal housing opportunity applies—come see the value and possibilities this home offers!

  11. 2025-07-11
    listed $39,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom,1-bath frame home on a corner lot in Crowell,TX.This older home features hardwood floors,a large living room with a cozy fireplace,and an eat-in kitchen.Ready to move in and enjoy as-is,with room to update and personalize over time.Perfect for anyone looking for a peaceful small-town lifestyle with character and potential.Equal housing opportunity applies—come see the value and possibilities this home offers!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,137
− Mortgage interest
−$2,185
− Property taxes
−$585
− Insurance
−$195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,131
− Management
−$1,131
− Depreciation
−$1,135
Taxable income
$7,776
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,866
After-tax cash flow
$6,068/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crowell ISD
NCES district ID
4815870
Math proficiency
40% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$37,747
Composite
31.83/100
National rank
#11074
State rank
#917 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Crowell

Score
67/100
State rank
#511
US rank
#10114

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crowell, TX
Population (ZIP)
1,155

Population outlook (Foard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,129 people
By 2030
1,083 · -4.1%
By 2040
1,008 · -10.7%
By 2050
965 · -14.5%
By 2075
1,012 · -10.4%
By 2100
1,089 · -3.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Two or more races 22% Hispanic / Latino 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Serbian 1% Hungarian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Foard

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.3) · D 16.9% · R 82.2%
2008→2024 swing
-41.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -65.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.3 2020: R+62.8 2016: R+52.8 2012: R+41.8 2008: R+24.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.75%
Current HPI
62.2371
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Sold (MLS) WFAOR
  • 2026-03-06 Delisted WFAOR
  • 2026-03-06 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $39,000 WFAOR
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $39,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-10 Sold (MLS) WFAOR
  • 2025-09-10 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2025-08-24 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2025-08-24 Contingent WFAOR
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $39,000 WFAOR
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $39,000 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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