16000 SE Powell Blvd #68 · Portland, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 23 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this spacious corner lot move-in ready home. This home offers 3 bedroom, 2 bath and 1,596sqft of comfortable living space in a well-maintained all-age community park. Enjoy the oversized living room flooded with natural light, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The brand new kitchen is a standout feature, complete with top of the line appliances, stylish backsplash, and a kitchen bar area. A 2nd living room provides the perfect setup for a home office, playroom, 4th bedroom if enclosed, or flex space, adding versatility to the layout. All 3 bedrooms are generously sized, including a large primary suite with a walk-in closet, new vanity, and a full walk-in shower. Step outside to a large deck and private backyard perfect for bbq's or relaxing. Additional highlights include an oversized carport & a spacious storage shed. Space rent is $1,220/month.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Brand new kitchen
- Kitchen bar area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $751 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Centennial SD 28J (suburban): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #125 of 183 in OR (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $130k implies a 418% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.86%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,932
- List price
- $129,500
- Delta
- 7.08%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15768 SE Powell Blvd #13 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-2%) | 9mo | $149,900 | $96 | 83 |
| 16000 SE Powell Blvd #21 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,641 (+3%) | 19mo | $114,000 | $69 | 76 |
| 3930 SE 162nd Ave | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-2%) | 13mo | $113,500 | $72 | 74 |
| 3930 SE 162nd Ave #4 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-9%) | 11mo | $119,999 | $82 | 70 |
| 16000 SE Powell Blvd #16 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-12%) | 8mo | $69,985 | $50 | 70 |
| 16000 SE Powell Blvd #76 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-9%) | 22mo | $138,000 | $95 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $24,077
- Equity at exit
- $19,309
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $71,467
- Equity at exit
- $11,197
Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Portland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+39
ZIP-level market 97236
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,084 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$679
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $751
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,375
- Closing costs
- $3,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,625 | $1.48 | 10d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,675 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1564 | $2,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Unit 12-102 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,725 | $1.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Unit 08-202 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,395 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Unit 18-201 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,675 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16804 SE Powell Blvd Unit 04-101 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1564 | $2,350 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16824 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,720 | $1.61 | 4d | 5 | 0.46mi |
| 16811 SE Francis St Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $2,600 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 16916 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 15075 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $2,295 | $1.53 | 4d | 3 | 0.52mi |
| 15075 SE Powell Blvd Apt 4 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $2,395 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 14915 SE Woodward St Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $2,850 | $1.77 | 2d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2641 SE 168th Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1144 | $2,700 | $2.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2609 SE 145th Ave Unit H-77 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1117 | $1,504 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2609 SE 145th Ave Unit C-19 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1117 | $1,499 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4850 SW 11th St Gresham, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,575 | $1.47 | 4d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 4777 SW 11th St Gresham, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $2,134 | $2.05 | 1d | 5 | 1.04mi |
| 16456 SE Stephens Ct Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $2,495 | $1.95 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1811 SE 162nd Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $2,295 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3208 SE 136th Ave Unit 3 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1217 | $1,597 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5524 SE 140th Pl Portland, OR | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1584 | $3,050 | $1.93 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3228 SE 136th Ave Portland, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1058 | $1,597 | $1.51 | 4d | 4 | 1.22mi |
| 3883 SE 136th Ave Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1660 | $2,400 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 13436 SE Bush St Portland, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1075 | $1,995 | $1.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 14909 SE Mill St Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $2,495 | $1.61 | 20d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 13515 SE Holgate Blvd Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2160 | $2,495 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 13907 SE Division St Unit 01 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,723 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5344 SE 137th Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,395 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5329 SE 137th Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1559 | $2,250 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 17930 SE Harrison St Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $2,595 | $1.56 | 7d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 13448 SE Division St Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,550 | $1.76 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 13450 SE Division St Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,550 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 13726 SE Reedway St Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1817 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 13066 SE Powell Blvd Unit 10 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 13062 SE Powell Blvd Apt 6 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2471 SE 135th Ave Unit 2471 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-16status $129,500 Pending 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,500 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,500 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $129,500 887-char remark
Show marketing remark (887 chars)
Welcome to this spacious corner lot move-in ready home. This home offers 3 bedroom, 2 bath and 1,596sqft of comfortable living space in a well-maintained all-age community park. Enjoy the oversized living room flooded with natural light, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The brand new kitchen is a standout feature, complete with top of the line appliances, stylish backsplash, and a kitchen bar area. A 2nd living room provides the perfect setup for a home office, playroom, 4th bedroom if enclosed, or flex space, adding versatility to the layout. All 3 bedrooms are generously sized, including a large primary suite with a walk-in closet, new vanity, and a full walk-in shower. Step outside to a large deck and private backyard perfect for bbq's or relaxing. Additional highlights include an oversized carport & a spacious storage shed. Space rent is $1,220/month.
-
2026-02-18$135,000 Active 887-char remark
Show marketing remark (887 chars)
Welcome to this spacious corner lot move-in ready home. This home offers 3 bedroom, 2 bath and 1,596sqft of comfortable living space in a well-maintained all-age community park. Enjoy the oversized living room flooded with natural light, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The brand new kitchen is a standout feature, complete with top of the line appliances, stylish backsplash, and a kitchen bar area. A 2nd living room provides the perfect setup for a home office, playroom, 4th bedroom if enclosed, or flex space, adding versatility to the layout. All 3 bedrooms are generously sized, including a large primary suite with a walk-in closet, new vanity, and a full walk-in shower. Step outside to a large deck and private backyard perfect for bbq's or relaxing. Additional highlights include an oversized carport & a spacious storage shed. Space rent is $1,220/month.
-
2004-08-19soldstatus $25,000 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Well kept home in a great comm. Lrg Fam Rm wLots of Windows, Vaulted Ceil & Skylites. Kitchen Vaulted Ceil & Eat Bar. A/C, Lrg Cover Carport, Private 10x20 Deck, Beautiful Landscap, Tool Shed, New Heat Pump & Furnace, New Gutters, New interior Paint. Close to walk trail to Powell Butte.
-
2004-08-11historical 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Well kept home in a great comm. Lrg Fam Rm wLots of Windows, Vaulted Ceil & Skylites. Kitchen Vaulted Ceil & Eat Bar. A/C, Lrg Cover Carport, Private 10x20 Deck, Beautiful Landscap, Tool Shed, New Heat Pump & Furnace, New Gutters, New interior Paint. Close to walk trail to Powell Butte.
-
2004-04-27$29,950 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Well kept home in a great comm. Lrg Fam Rm wLots of Windows, Vaulted Ceil & Skylites. Kitchen Vaulted Ceil & Eat Bar. A/C, Lrg Cover Carport, Private 10x20 Deck, Beautiful Landscap, Tool Shed, New Heat Pump & Furnace, New Gutters, New interior Paint. Close to walk trail to Powell Butte.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 27 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,005
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,254
- − Property taxes
- −$1,942
- − Insurance
- −$648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,000
- − Management
- −$2,000
- − Depreciation
- −$3,767
- Taxable income
- $7,393
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,774
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,240/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Centennial SD 28J
- NCES district ID
- 4102800
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,619
- Composite
- 34.5/100
- National rank
- #10133
- State rank
- #125 of 183 in OR
Livability — Portland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #3256
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portland, OR
- County
- Multnomah County · 786,692 people
- City population
- 774,334
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,558
- Household income
- $75,090
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1744.0
Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 930,825 people
- By 2030
- 996,904 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,121,379 · +20.5%
- By 2050
- 1,242,124 · +33.4%
- By 2075
- 1,464,431 · +57.3%
- By 2100
- 1,576,181 · +69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 21% Asian 13% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 16% Vietnamese 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -334.44%
- Current HPI
- 289.931
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.64%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+332.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $129,500 RMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $135,000 RMLS
- 2004-08-19 Sold (MLS) $25,000 RMLS
- 2004-08-11 Delisted — RMLS
- 2004-04-27 Listed $29,950 RMLS
Property tax history
-11.8%/yrLatest (2025): $75 · +91.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…