CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
16000 SE Powell Blvd #68
B- Composite 67.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,500

16000 SE Powell Blvd #68 · Portland, OR 97236
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,596 sqft · Manufactured public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1984 $81/sqft · 7% above area Est $121k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious corner lot move-in ready home. This home offers 3 bedroom, 2 bath and 1,596sqft of comfortable living space in a well-maintained all-age community park. Enjoy the oversized living room flooded with natural light, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The brand new kitchen is a standout feature, complete with top of the line appliances, stylish backsplash, and a kitchen bar area. A 2nd living room provides the perfect setup for a home office, playroom, 4th bedroom if enclosed, or flex space, adding versatility to the layout. All 3 bedrooms are generously sized, including a large primary suite with a walk-in closet, new vanity, and a full walk-in shower. Step outside to a large deck and private backyard perfect for bbq's or relaxing. Additional highlights include an oversized carport & a spacious storage shed. Space rent is $1,220/month.

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Brand new kitchen
  • Kitchen bar area

Tags

CORNER LOTMOVE-IN READYOVERSIZED LIVING ROOMBRAND NEW KITCHENTOP OF THE LINE APPLIANCESKITCHEN BAR AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $751 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Centennial SD 28J (suburban): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #125 of 183 in OR (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $130k implies a 418% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $117,845 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.25%
Cash-on-cash
24.86%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,932
List price
$129,500
Delta
7.08%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15768 SE Powell Blvd #13 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-2%) 9mo $149,900 $96 83
16000 SE Powell Blvd #21 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,641 (+3%) 19mo $114,000 $69 76
3930 SE 162nd Ave 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (-2%) 13mo $113,500 $72 74
3930 SE 162nd Ave #4 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-9%) 11mo $119,999 $82 70
16000 SE Powell Blvd #16 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-12%) 8mo $69,985 $50 70
16000 SE Powell Blvd #76 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-9%) 22mo $138,000 $95 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$24,077
Equity at exit
$19,309
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$71,467
Equity at exit
$11,197

Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City Portland
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+39
Mandatory relocation for no-cause evictions; rent increase notice 90 days.

ZIP-level market 97236

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,084 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$679
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$751

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,133
Max offer price $129,500
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,375
Closing costs
$3,885
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16804 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR 2.0 2.0 1101 $1,625 $1.48 10d 1 0.44mi
16804 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR 2.0 2.0 1070 $1,675 $1.57 14d 1 0.44mi
16804 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR 3.0 3.0 1564 $2,350 $1.50 24d 1 0.44mi
16804 SE Powell Blvd Unit 12-102 Portland, OR 2.0 2.0 1070 $1,725 $1.61 21d 1 0.44mi
16804 SE Powell Blvd Unit 08-202 Portland, OR 2.0 2.0 1070 $1,395 $1.30 21d 1 0.44mi
16804 SE Powell Blvd Unit 18-201 Portland, OR 2.0 2.0 1070 $1,675 $1.57 21d 1 0.44mi
16804 SE Powell Blvd Unit 04-101 Portland, OR 3.0 2.5 1564 $2,350 $1.50 21d 1 0.44mi
16824 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR 2.0 2.0 1070 $1,720 $1.61 4d 5 0.46mi
16811 SE Francis St Portland, OR 3.0 1.0 1488 $2,600 $1.75 14d 1 0.47mi
16916 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR 2.0 2.0 1070 $1,695 $1.58 43d 1 0.49mi
15075 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR 3.0 3.5 1500 $2,295 $1.53 4d 3 0.52mi
15075 SE Powell Blvd Apt 4 Portland, OR 3.0 3.5 1500 $2,395 $1.60 43d 1 0.52mi
14915 SE Woodward St Portland, OR 4.0 2.0 1608 $2,850 $1.77 2d 1 0.71mi
2641 SE 168th Ave Portland, OR 3.0 1.5 1144 $2,700 $2.36 43d 1 0.77mi
2609 SE 145th Ave Unit H-77 Portland, OR 3.0 1.5 1117 $1,504 $1.35 17d 1 0.99mi
2609 SE 145th Ave Unit C-19 Portland, OR 3.0 1.5 1117 $1,499 $1.34 17d 1 0.99mi
4850 SW 11th St Gresham, OR 2.0 2.0 1075 $1,575 $1.47 4d 2 1.04mi
4777 SW 11th St Gresham, OR 2.0–3.0 2.0 1042 $2,134 $2.05 1d 5 1.04mi
16456 SE Stephens Ct Portland, OR 3.0 1.5 1280 $2,495 $1.95 2d 1 1.10mi
1811 SE 162nd Ave Portland, OR 3.0 1.5 1092 $2,295 $2.10 24d 1 1.11mi
3208 SE 136th Ave Unit 3 Portland, OR 3.0 1.5 1217 $1,597 $1.31 24d 1 1.20mi
5524 SE 140th Pl Portland, OR 4.0 3.0 1584 $3,050 $1.93 17d 1 1.22mi
3228 SE 136th Ave Portland, OR 2.0–3.0 1.5 1058 $1,597 $1.51 4d 4 1.22mi
3883 SE 136th Ave Portland, OR 4.0 2.5 1660 $2,400 $1.45 43d 1 1.23mi
13436 SE Bush St Portland, OR 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1075 $1,995 $1.86 43d 1 1.24mi
14909 SE Mill St Portland, OR 3.0 1.0 1550 $2,495 $1.61 20d 1 1.25mi
13515 SE Holgate Blvd Portland, OR 3.0 2.0 2160 $2,495 $1.16 43d 1 1.26mi
13907 SE Division St Unit 01 Portland, OR 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,723 $1.45 43d 1 1.27mi
5344 SE 137th Ave Portland, OR 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,395 $1.50 17d 1 1.29mi
5329 SE 137th Ave Portland, OR 3.0 2.5 1559 $2,250 $1.44 24d 1 1.34mi
17930 SE Harrison St Portland, OR 3.0 2.0 1666 $2,595 $1.56 7d 1 1.41mi
13448 SE Division St Portland, OR 4.0 2.0 1450 $2,550 $1.76 2d 1 1.42mi
13450 SE Division St Portland, OR 4.0 2.0 1450 $2,550 $1.76 43d 1 1.43mi
13726 SE Reedway St Portland, OR 3.0 2.5 1817 $2,295 $1.26 43d 1 1.43mi
13066 SE Powell Blvd Unit 10 Portland, OR 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 24d 1 1.46mi
13062 SE Powell Blvd Apt 6 Portland, OR 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 43d 1 1.46mi
2471 SE 135th Ave Unit 2471 Portland, OR 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,495 $1.36 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $129,500 Pending 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,500 Active 117 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,500 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,500 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,500 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,500 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,500 Active 106 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,500 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,500 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,500 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,500 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-04-29
    price $129,500 887-char remark
    Show marketing remark (887 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious corner lot move-in ready home. This home offers 3 bedroom, 2 bath and 1,596sqft of comfortable living space in a well-maintained all-age community park. Enjoy the oversized living room flooded with natural light, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The brand new kitchen is a standout feature, complete with top of the line appliances, stylish backsplash, and a kitchen bar area. A 2nd living room provides the perfect setup for a home office, playroom, 4th bedroom if enclosed, or flex space, adding versatility to the layout. All 3 bedrooms are generously sized, including a large primary suite with a walk-in closet, new vanity, and a full walk-in shower. Step outside to a large deck and private backyard perfect for bbq's or relaxing. Additional highlights include an oversized carport & a spacious storage shed. Space rent is $1,220/month.

  13. 2026-02-18
    listed $135,000 Active 887-char remark
    Show marketing remark (887 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious corner lot move-in ready home. This home offers 3 bedroom, 2 bath and 1,596sqft of comfortable living space in a well-maintained all-age community park. Enjoy the oversized living room flooded with natural light, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The brand new kitchen is a standout feature, complete with top of the line appliances, stylish backsplash, and a kitchen bar area. A 2nd living room provides the perfect setup for a home office, playroom, 4th bedroom if enclosed, or flex space, adding versatility to the layout. All 3 bedrooms are generously sized, including a large primary suite with a walk-in closet, new vanity, and a full walk-in shower. Step outside to a large deck and private backyard perfect for bbq's or relaxing. Additional highlights include an oversized carport & a spacious storage shed. Space rent is $1,220/month.

  14. 2004-08-19
    soldstatus $25,000 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Well kept home in a great comm. Lrg Fam Rm wLots of Windows, Vaulted Ceil & Skylites. Kitchen Vaulted Ceil & Eat Bar. A/C, Lrg Cover Carport, Private 10x20 Deck, Beautiful Landscap, Tool Shed, New Heat Pump & Furnace, New Gutters, New interior Paint. Close to walk trail to Powell Butte.

  15. 2004-08-11
    historical 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Well kept home in a great comm. Lrg Fam Rm wLots of Windows, Vaulted Ceil & Skylites. Kitchen Vaulted Ceil & Eat Bar. A/C, Lrg Cover Carport, Private 10x20 Deck, Beautiful Landscap, Tool Shed, New Heat Pump & Furnace, New Gutters, New interior Paint. Close to walk trail to Powell Butte.

  16. 2004-04-27
    listed $29,950 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Well kept home in a great comm. Lrg Fam Rm wLots of Windows, Vaulted Ceil & Skylites. Kitchen Vaulted Ceil & Eat Bar. A/C, Lrg Cover Carport, Private 10x20 Deck, Beautiful Landscap, Tool Shed, New Heat Pump & Furnace, New Gutters, New interior Paint. Close to walk trail to Powell Butte.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 27 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,005
− Mortgage interest
−$7,254
− Property taxes
−$1,942
− Insurance
−$648
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,000
− Management
−$2,000
− Depreciation
−$3,767
Taxable income
$7,393
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,774
After-tax cash flow
$7,240/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Centennial SD 28J
NCES district ID
4102800
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,619
Composite
34.5/100
National rank
#10133
State rank
#125 of 183 in OR

Livability — Portland

Score
77/100
State rank
#72
US rank
#3256

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portland, OR
County
Multnomah County · 786,692 people
City population
774,334
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
37,558
Household income
$75,090
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1744.0

Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
930,825 people
By 2030
996,904 · +7.1%
By 2040
1,121,379 · +20.5%
By 2050
1,242,124 · +33.4%
By 2075
1,464,431 · +57.3%
By 2100
1,576,181 · +69.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 21% Asian 13% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 16% Vietnamese 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah

2024 margin
Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -334.44%
Current HPI
289.931
Rent YoY
▲ 1.64%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+332.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $129,500 RMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $135,000 RMLS
  • 2004-08-19 Sold (MLS) $25,000 RMLS
  • 2004-08-11 Delisted RMLS
  • 2004-04-27 Listed $29,950 RMLS

Property tax history

-11.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $75 · +91.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…