3010 Caddo St · Greenville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special in Greenville! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and with easy access to I-30, this property has strong potential as a rental, flip, or renovation project. Bring your vision and make this property your next investment opportunity!
Key facts
- 4,487 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property subtype: Single family residence; Lot size approximately 0.103 acres; Subdivision: Orig Town Of Greenville
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel and paved parking areas; No garage or covered/carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Located outside a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Attached: Yes; Facing/entry level: One story
- Construction: Built in 1960; Siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Few trees on lot; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s); Electric heating components
- Interior features: One-level layout; 3 total rooms; Living area of 728; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in TX, #2,719 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Greenville ISD (town): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #743 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Carver El (math 18% / reading 15%, grade F, #3,946 of 4,322 statewide, top 92%, 524 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 55% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 396 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.02%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,632
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2308 Oneal | 0.38mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 762 (+5%) | 23mo | $140,000 | $184 | 46 |
| 3304 Houston St | 0.50mi | 2/1.5 | 802 (+10%) | 20mo | $195,500 | $244 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $6,683
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $25,780
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75401
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 396
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,204 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $760/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $378
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $429 | -5% $404 | +0% $378 | +5% $353 | +10% $327 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $283 | -5% $331 | +0% $378 | +5% $426 | +10% $473 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $424 | -0.5pp $401 | base $378 | +0.5pp $355 | +1.0pp $331 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3112 Stonewall St Unit 3 Greenville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 468 | $850 | $1.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3112 Stonewall St Unit 2 Greenville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $990 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2004 Wesley St Apt 5 Greenville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $500 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2123 Langford St Greenville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,199 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4115 Joe Ramsey Blvd E Greenville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1910 Joe Ramsey Blvd E Greenville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 694 | $1,203 | $1.73 | 2d | 8 | 1.15mi |
| 5501 Sayle St Greenville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $2,007 | $2.35 | 2d | 7 | 1.23mi |
| 1214 Interstate Highway 30 Greenville, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,185 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5015 Joe Ramsey Blvd E Greenville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 728 | $1,260 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 369-char remark
-
2026-06-18$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $760 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,647 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$887/yr (+$74/mo · 116.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,448
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$760
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,156
- − Management
- −$1,156
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $3,266
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$784
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,756/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4821720
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,374
- Composite
- 19.56/100
- National rank
- #8759
- State rank
- #743 of 826 in TX
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #2719
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, TX
- County
- Hunt County · 71,969 people
- City population
- 42,767
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,669
- Household income
- $59,908
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 638.0
Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,090 people
- By 2030
- 100,452 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 106,544 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 111,218 · +14.6%
- By 2075
- 121,695 · +25.3%
- By 2100
- 123,683 · +27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 13% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 24%
Political lean MEDSL · Hunt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.45%
- Current HPI
- 339.0287
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $90,000 NTREIS
- 2009-12-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-09-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $760 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…