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224 Hickory Ave
C Composite 55.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$334,900

224 Hickory Ave · Lewisburg, TN 37091
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 918 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2026 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment or fixer upper, this 2 bedroom one bath home is right in town. The central unit doesn't work. The storage building in back remains with the property. The home needs some work, Some of the floors in the home are weak and not level. Be careful when showing the home. Bing Sold AS IS, Seller to make no repairs. Buyer and or Buyers agent to verify all pertinent information to them.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Open floorplan
  • Upgraded finishes

Tags

OPEN FLOORPLANUPGRADED FINISHESCUSTOM BUILT-INSELECTRIC FIREPLACEQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASH

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered spaces listed; No total parking spaces listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; New construction
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; New construction
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Covered deck; Porch; Deck; Cleared lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Stainless steel appliances; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom with walk-in closet (approx. 14 x 13); Second bedroom approx. 12 x 11; Third bedroom approx. 12 x 11
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Has heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Bookcases; Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Walk-in closets; Kitchen island
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $334k (0.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $334k (0.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.6% in Lewisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#284 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marshall County (rural): math 31% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #58 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Marshall Co High School (math 17% / reading 35%, grade F, #117 of 332 statewide, top 37%, 815 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 400 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marshall County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $335k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $333,645 (0.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.70%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$201,042
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
575 Belfast St 0.10mi 3/1.0 924 (+1%) 19mo $186,500 $202 78
755 Center St 0.13mi 3/1.0 825 (-10%) 6mo $224,900 $273 72
756 Center St 0.13mi 3/1.0 840 (-8%) 14mo $125,000 $149 68
319 Coleman St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 940 (+2%) 6mo $75,000 $80 65
729 North St 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-11%) 9mo $199,900 $245 65
337 Hickory Cir 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 856 (-7%) 8mo $225,000 $263 53
532 Harwell Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 828 (-10%) 13mo $181,300 $219 53
447 Coleman St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,008 (+10%) 23mo $225,000 $223 48
830 Finley Beech Rd 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 807 (-12%) 22mo $78,000 $97 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-11,155
Equity at exit
$49,935
10-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$45,331
Equity at exit
$28,956

Cash invested: $93,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37091

Home prices YoY
-14.6%
Active inventory
274
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,336 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,756
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $725/yr
Insurance
$140
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$701
Net cashflow
$680

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,476
Max offer price $334,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $869 -5% $774 +0% $680 +5% $585 +10% $90
Rent -10% $416 -5% $548 +0% $680 +5% $811 +10% $943
Rate -1.0pp $848 -0.5pp $765 base $680 +0.5pp $593 +1.0pp $505

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,725
Closing costs
$10,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
328 E Church St Lewisburg, TN 2.0 2.0 1000 $4,000 $4.00 44d 1 0.55mi
566 1st Ave N Lewisburg, TN 2.0 1.0 950 $2,250 $2.37 44d 1 0.94mi
423 4th Ave N Lewisburg, TN 2.0 1.0 1086 $790 $0.73 24d 1 0.96mi
708 Woodlawn Ave Lewisburg, TN 2.0 1.0 837 $899 $1.07 17d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $334,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$725 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,378 · $198/mo
Expected delta
+$1,653/yr (+$138/mo · 228.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,037
− Mortgage interest
−$18,760
− Property taxes
−$725
− Insurance
−$1,674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,203
− Management
−$3,203
− Depreciation
−$9,743
Taxable income
$2,730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$655
After-tax cash flow
$7,500/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall County
NCES district ID
4702670
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,058
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7426
State rank
#58 of 139 in TN

Livability — Lewisburg

Score
59/100
State rank
#284
US rank
#20031

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lewisburg, TN
Population (ZIP)
23,991

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,222 people
By 2030
33,867 · +1.9%
By 2040
34,743 · +4.6%
By 2050
34,954 · +5.2%
By 2075
34,652 · +4.3%
By 2100
31,862 · -4.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.6) · D 21.2% · R 77.8%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.6pp · 2024: -56.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.6 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+39.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.86%
Current HPI
350.5306
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+605.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $334,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2025-11-04 Sold (MLS) $100,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-03 Pending REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-26 Listed $139,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $725 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…