2022 Ravenall Ave · Orlando, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come an take a look at this 4 bedroom 1/1 bath. Great for investment. Great price. Won't last long !! A must see !! Property is being sold subject to HUD Guidelines 24 CFR 206.125
Key facts
- 6,863 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.0% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eccleston Elementary (math 22% / reading 28%, grade F, #2,030 of 2,144 statewide, top 95%, 357 students, 87% FRL); Carver Middle (math 29% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 721 students, 79% FRL); Oak Ridge High (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #544 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,477 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 56% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 241 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,060/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 2728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.82%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $279,552
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1834 Willie Mays Pkwy | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,235 (-1%) | 10mo | $276,900 | $224 | 77 |
| 4568 Kirkland Blvd | 0.18mi | 4/1.5 | 1,230 (-1%) | 23mo | $275,000 | $224 | 68 |
| 4749 Marbello Blvd | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 | 1,344 (+8%) | 12mo | $270,000 | $201 | 55 |
| 1790 Williams Manor Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,322 (+6%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $125 | 48 |
| 2703 Messina Ave | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,400 (+12%) | 21mo | $299,000 | $214 | 47 |
| 1229 Lescot Ln | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,104 (-12%) | 9mo | $259,000 | $235 | 44 |
| 1410 Heber Cir | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-12%) | 24mo | $279,000 | $255 | 32 |
| 1623 Crestlawn Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,074 (-14%) | 11mo | $245,000 | $228 | 31 |
| 4752 Amoy Ct | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,104 (-12%) | 20mo | $196,000 | $178 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-16,246
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-13,116
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32811
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 241
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,060 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$359 /mo · $4,313/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $377 | -5% $328 | +0% $278 | +5% $229 | +10% $179 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $115 | -5% $197 | +0% $278 | +5% $360 | +10% $441 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $366 | -0.5pp $323 | base $278 | +0.5pp $233 | +1.0pp $187 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1920 Willie Mays Pkwy Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $2,070 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4487 Wheatley St Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2151 S Ivey Ln Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,993 | $1.85 | 6d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4655 Cepeda St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1266 | $1,695 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1822 Horne Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1249 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1343 Croyle Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4226 Kelly Miller Ct Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,950 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4201 Cepeda St Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5132 Elese St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,800 | $1.88 | 18d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5300 Lescot Ln Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,900 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4118 Minoso St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1213 | $1,820 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5179 Lanette St Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $1,895 | $1.72 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4529 W Gore Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1439 | $2,549 | $1.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5235 Florida Holly Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $2,100 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 701 S Ivey Ln Orlando, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 871 | $1,329 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1025 Clovercrest Rd Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,100 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1025 Clovercrest Rd Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,100 | $2.00 | 19d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4638 America St Orlando, FL | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4957 Vista Lago Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $2,203 | $1.62 | 0d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1935 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $2,150 | $2.11 | 0d | 11 | 1.17mi |
| 5578 Metrowest Blvd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1101 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 12d | 2 | 1.21mi |
| 5578 Metrowest Blvd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1101 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 5d | 2 | 1.21mi |
| 5578 Metrowest Blvd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1101 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 6d | 3 | 1.21mi |
| 5578 Metrowest Blvd #203 Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,800 | $1.32 | 9d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1401 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 917 | $2,272 | $2.48 | 0d | 32 | 1.22mi |
| 5036 College Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1601 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 876 | $1,976 | $2.26 | 0d | 23 | 1.26mi |
| 907 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,871 | $1.65 | 0d | 16 | 1.30mi |
| 3313 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1431 | $1,745 | $1.22 | 5d | 2 | 1.34mi |
| 3313 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1431 | $1,745 | $1.22 | 4d | 2 | 1.34mi |
| 5425 Wood Crossing St Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 6d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4700 Cason Cove Dr Orlando, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $2,499 | $2.49 | 4d | 12 | 1.36mi |
| 3361 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,450 | $1.74 | 25d | 2 | 1.36mi |
| 3301 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1288 | $2,539 | $1.97 | 0d | 20 | 1.37mi |
| 4822 Cason Cove Dr Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $2,199 | $2.49 | 4d | 9 | 1.38mi |
| 4995 Mercer St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $2,500 | $1.80 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3397 S Kirkman Rd #1418 Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1431 | $1,995 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 431 Gilman Cir Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,626 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 200 Fanfair Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,730 | $1.84 | 9d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2025-09-25status Pending
-
2025-09-24$174,900 Active
-
2023-12-06historical $1,695
-
2023-11-17price $1,695
-
2023-11-08price $1,750
-
2023-10-24price $1,775
-
2023-10-18$1,795
-
2022-01-07soldstatus $2,603,100
-
2015-02-08soldstatus $35,000 Sold 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Come an take a look at this 4 bedroom 1/1 bath. Great for investment. Great price. Won't last long !! A must see !! Property is being sold subject to HUD Guidelines 24 CFR 206.125
-
2014-12-17historical 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Come an take a look at this 4 bedroom 1/1 bath. Great for investment. Great price. Won't last long !! A must see !! Property is being sold subject to HUD Guidelines 24 CFR 206.125
-
2014-12-16$35,000 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Come an take a look at this 4 bedroom 1/1 bath. Great for investment. Great price. Won't last long !! A must see !! Property is being sold subject to HUD Guidelines 24 CFR 206.125
-
1970-06-01soldstatus $17,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,313 · $359/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,313 · $359/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,726
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$4,313
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,978
- − Management
- −$1,978
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable income
- $697
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$167
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,172/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Orlando
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orlando, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 964,969
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,475
- Household income
- $54,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2728.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 17% White 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 7% Estonian 4% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.37%
- Current HPI
- 284.9191
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.15%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+922.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-25 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-24 Listed $174,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-06 Rental Removed $1,695 STELLARMLS
- 2023-11-17 Price Changed $1,695 STELLARMLS
- 2023-11-08 Price Changed $1,750 STELLARMLS
- 2023-10-24 Price Changed $1,775 STELLARMLS
- 2023-10-18 Listed for Rent $1,795 STELLARMLS
- 2022-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $2,603,100 Public Records
- 2015-02-08 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-17 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-16 Listed $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1970-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+26.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,313 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…