209 Howe St · Eden, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
$13,900.00! Affordable investment. 3bd 1bth. Needs repairs. See attachment for PAS requirements and WFHM offer submittal information in MLS document section. Please submit all offers to the listing broker/agent. To report any concerns with a listing broker/agent, or to report any property condition or other concern needing escalation (including concerns related to a previously submitted offer), please call: 1-877-617-5274
Key facts
- 0.45 acre lot
- Built 1939
- Listed 68 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One and one-half stories; Built in 1939; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; One fireplace in the living room
- Exterior features: Public-maintained road access; Lot approximately 0.45 acre; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom located on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Fireplace heating; No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Crawl space foundation; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 4.3% in Eden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#224 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Rockingham County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #120 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 344 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockingham County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $70k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.39%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,028
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 817 Oak St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,738 (+3%) | 10mo | $167,000 | $96 | 62 |
| 312 Monticello St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,565 (-7%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $144 | 54 |
| 511 Ash St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,440 (-14%) | 12mo | $162,900 | $113 | 51 |
| 309 Hollingsworth St | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,491 (-12%) | 17mo | $45,000 | $30 | 51 |
| 427 Glovenia St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (-8%) | 19mo | $60,000 | $39 | 50 |
| 525 Moir St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,654 (-2%) | 22mo | $235,000 | $142 | 49 |
| 407 Greenwood St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (-12%) | 13mo | $229,000 | $154 | 48 |
| 115 Moir St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (-10%) | 11mo | $178,500 | $117 | 47 |
| 804 Orrell St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,432 (-15%) | 1mo | $64,880 | $45 | 43 |
| 507 Dumaine St | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,848 (+10%) | 0mo | $242,500 | $131 | 42 |
| 209 N Hamilton St | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,788 (+6%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $89 | 41 |
| 212 Bryant St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,654 (-2%) | 23mo | $249,900 | $151 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $27,541
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.78×
- Total profit
- $74,019
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27288
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,320 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $434/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $611
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 606 Park Ave Eden, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $1,495 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $70,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $80,000
-
2026-04-28price $90,000
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2026-04-10$100,000 Active
-
2021-08-12soldstatus $30,000
-
2020-03-11soldstatus $11,350 Sold 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
$13,900.00! Affordable investment. 3bd 1bth. Needs repairs. See attachment for PAS requirements and WFHM offer submittal information in MLS document section. Please submit all offers to the listing broker/agent. To report any concerns with a listing broker/agent, or to report any property condition or other concern needing escalation (including concerns related to a previously submitted offer), please call: 1-877-617-5274
-
2020-02-17status Pending 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
$13,900.00! Affordable investment. 3bd 1bth. Needs repairs. See attachment for PAS requirements and WFHM offer submittal information in MLS document section. Please submit all offers to the listing broker/agent. To report any concerns with a listing broker/agent, or to report any property condition or other concern needing escalation (including concerns related to a previously submitted offer), please call: 1-877-617-5274
-
2020-01-15$13,900 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
$13,900.00! Affordable investment. 3bd 1bth. Needs repairs. See attachment for PAS requirements and WFHM offer submittal information in MLS document section. Please submit all offers to the listing broker/agent. To report any concerns with a listing broker/agent, or to report any property condition or other concern needing escalation (including concerns related to a previously submitted offer), please call: 1-877-617-5274
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $434 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$140/yr (+$12/mo · 32.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,844
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$434
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,268
- − Management
- −$1,268
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $6,568
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,576
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,752/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockingham County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703990
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,914
- Composite
- 32.6/100
- National rank
- #5673
- State rank
- #120 of 178 in NC
Livability — Eden
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #10535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eden, NC
- County
- Rockingham County · 22,926 people
- City population
- 22,926
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,926
- Household income
- $52,594
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 860.0
Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 87,103 people
- By 2030
- 83,763 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 76,082 · -12.7%
- By 2050
- 68,106 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 52,531 · -39.7%
- By 2100
- 39,871 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.7% · R 67.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.9pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.28%
- Current HPI
- 183.5709
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+475.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $80,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $90,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $100,000 Triad MLS
- 2021-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-11 Sold (MLS) $11,350 Triad MLS
- 2020-02-17 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2020-01-15 Listed $13,900 Triad MLS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $434 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…