Duplex
65 W Oak Rd · Vineland, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$389,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to own income producing property or to live for less and move in one unit and rent the second unit . Currently fully occupied and tenants are month to month. The first floor apartment has 2 bedrooms, dining room, living room, kitchen with an island, 1 bathroom, central air and a full basement. The second floor apartment has a 1 bedroom, dining room, living room, a cozy kitchen and window units. This property has original hardwood floors throughout both apartments and a detached garage. The property also has two driveways with at least 6 parking spaces. This property has a lot of potential, it is a must see.
Key facts
- Circular driveway
- Separated meters
- 0.42 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: No rent control
Exterior
- Parking: Circular driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal trash service
- Home design: Detached structure; 2 levels; Fee simple ownership; Building winterized
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Originally built (year per assessor)
- Exterior features: Circular driveway; Driveway access; Lot dimensions approximately 122 x 150
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Full basement; Property in good condition; Finished above-grade living area per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $390k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-281/yr) — negative. Per door: $-12/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $386k (1.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $314k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $314k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Vineland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#363 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Vineland Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #418 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,145/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1328% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $295k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.26%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-64,740
- Equity at exit
- $58,135
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-58,569
- Equity at exit
- $33,711
Cash invested: $109,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08360
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 19.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,145 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,045
- Tax from tax record
- −$301 /mo · $3,610/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$660
- Net cashflow
- $-23
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,637 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,508 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,145 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,475
- Closing costs
- $11,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $389,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $389,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $389,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $389,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $389,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $389,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $389,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $389,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $389,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $389,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $389,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $389,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $389,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $389,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $389,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $389,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-02-09$389,900 Active
-
2023-09-07soldstatus $295,000
-
2023-08-31soldstatus $295,000 Closed 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Great opportunity to own income producing property or to live for less and move in one unit and rent the second unit . Currently fully occupied and tenants are month to month. The first floor apartment has 2 bedrooms, dining room, living room, kitchen with an island, 1 bathroom, central air and a full basement. The second floor apartment has a 1 bedroom, dining room, living room, a cozy kitchen and window units. This property has original hardwood floors throughout both apartments and a detached garage. The property also has two driveways with at least 6 parking spaces. This property has a lot of potential, it is a must see.
-
2023-07-28status Pending 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Great opportunity to own income producing property or to live for less and move in one unit and rent the second unit . Currently fully occupied and tenants are month to month. The first floor apartment has 2 bedrooms, dining room, living room, kitchen with an island, 1 bathroom, central air and a full basement. The second floor apartment has a 1 bedroom, dining room, living room, a cozy kitchen and window units. This property has original hardwood floors throughout both apartments and a detached garage. The property also has two driveways with at least 6 parking spaces. This property has a lot of potential, it is a must see.
-
2023-06-23$295,000 Active 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Great opportunity to own income producing property or to live for less and move in one unit and rent the second unit . Currently fully occupied and tenants are month to month. The first floor apartment has 2 bedrooms, dining room, living room, kitchen with an island, 1 bathroom, central air and a full basement. The second floor apartment has a 1 bedroom, dining room, living room, a cozy kitchen and window units. This property has original hardwood floors throughout both apartments and a detached garage. The property also has two driveways with at least 6 parking spaces. This property has a lot of potential, it is a must see.
-
2023-06-22historical $295,000 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Great opportunity to own income producing property or to live for less and move in one unit and rent the second unit . Currently fully occupied and tenants are month to month. The first floor apartment has 2 bedrooms, dining room, living room, kitchen with an island, 1 bathroom, central air and a full basement. The second floor apartment has a 1 bedroom, dining room, living room, a cozy kitchen and window units. This property has original hardwood floors throughout both apartments and a detached garage. The property also has two driveways with at least 6 parking spaces. This property has a lot of potential, it is a must see.
-
2005-10-07soldstatus $179,900
-
2005-08-19soldstatus $179,900 89-char remark
Show marketing remark (89 chars)
Very nice duplex, great area, detached garage, central air 1st floor, window unit 2nd fl.
-
2005-06-21historical 89-char remark
Show marketing remark (89 chars)
Very nice duplex, great area, detached garage, central air 1st floor, window unit 2nd fl.
-
2005-05-31$179,900 89-char remark
Show marketing remark (89 chars)
Very nice duplex, great area, detached garage, central air 1st floor, window unit 2nd fl.
-
2003-05-30soldstatus $130,000
-
2003-05-29soldstatus $130,000
-
2003-04-10historical
-
2003-04-03$130,000
-
1994-11-14soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,610 · $301/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,659 · $555/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,049/yr (+$254/mo · 84.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,740
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,840
- − Property taxes
- −$3,610
- − Insurance
- −$1,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,019
- − Management
- −$3,019
- − Depreciation
- −$11,343
- Taxable loss
- −$7,041
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,690
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,409/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vineland Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416800
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,168
- Composite
- 19.17/100
- National rank
- #8819
- State rank
- #418 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Vineland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #12180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vineland, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- City population
- 45,038
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,038
- Household income
- $65,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 33% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 37% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -320.06%
- Current HPI
- 278.786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+358.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Listed $389,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $295,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) $295,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-07-28 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-23 Listed $295,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-22 Coming Soon $295,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $179,900 Public Records
- 2005-08-19 Sold (MLS) $179,900 SJSRMLS
- 2005-06-21 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2005-05-31 Listed $179,900 SJSRMLS
- 2003-05-30 Sold (MLS) $130,000 SJSRMLS
- 2003-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-10 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2003-04-03 Listed $130,000 SJSRMLS
- 1994-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,610 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…