502 Eastbrooke Ln · Brighton, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New carpet throughout! Conveniently located to U of R, Strong Hospital, MCC, Erie Canal paths, and more. Beautiful clubhouse & pool. Attached garage.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Tiled backsplash
- New appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.9% in Brighton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#89 in NY, #1,379 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-.
- Brighton Central School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #142 of 590 in NY (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $132k; list at $200k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.32%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-22,347
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-6,010
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14618
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,257 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,381/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$298
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $155
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $268 | -5% $211 | +0% $155 | +5% $98 | +10% $42 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-23 | -5% $66 | +0% $155 | +5% $244 | +10% $333 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $255 | -0.5pp $206 | base $155 | +0.5pp $103 | +1.0pp $50 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 644 Eastbrooke Ln Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 968 | $2,100 | $2.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 131 Greystone Ln Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,555 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 168 Surrey Hill Way Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,700 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1656 Jefferson Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,500 | $2.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 49 Clover Park Dr Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,632 | $2.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $298 · $3,576/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 8 events
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2026-04-16status Pending
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2026-04-06$199,900 Active
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2022-05-23soldstatus $132,000
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2016-01-13soldstatus $90,000
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2015-12-30soldstatus $90,000 Closed Sale or Rented 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
New carpet throughout! Conveniently located to U of R, Strong Hospital, MCC, Erie Canal paths, and more. Beautiful clubhouse & pool. Attached garage.
-
2015-11-15status Pending Sale 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
New carpet throughout! Conveniently located to U of R, Strong Hospital, MCC, Erie Canal paths, and more. Beautiful clubhouse & pool. Attached garage.
-
2015-08-07price $90,000 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
New carpet throughout! Conveniently located to U of R, Strong Hospital, MCC, Erie Canal paths, and more. Beautiful clubhouse & pool. Attached garage.
-
2015-07-22$96,500 Active 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
New carpet throughout! Conveniently located to U of R, Strong Hospital, MCC, Erie Canal paths, and more. Beautiful clubhouse & pool. Attached garage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,381 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,880 · $240/mo
- Expected delta
- +$499/yr (+$42/mo · 20.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,081
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,381
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,166
- − Management
- −$2,166
- − HOA
- −$3,576
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$1,222
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$293
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,151/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brighton Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605460
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,403
- Composite
- 60.55/100
- National rank
- #837
- State rank
- #142 of 590 in NY
Livability — Brighton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #89
- US rank
- #1379
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brighton, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 38,703
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,476
- Household income
- $125,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 548.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Asian 8% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -246.83%
- Current HPI
- 271.6387
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+107.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $199,900 UNYREIS
- 2022-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
- 2016-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2015-12-30 Sold (MLS) $90,000 UNYREIS
- 2015-11-15 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2015-08-07 Price Changed $90,000 UNYREIS
- 2015-07-22 Listed $96,500 UNYREIS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,381 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…