35618 Sussex Ln #36619 · Long Neck, DE
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$62,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor alert or dream-it-yourself opportunity! This large double-wide in sought-after Mariners Cove off Rehoboth Bay is ready for a full renovation and brimming with potential. Offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths with a wide-open, spacious floor plan, this home provides an excellent canvas to create something truly special. Mariners Cove is a standout waterfront community featuring boat docks and slips, boat ramps, a community center, picnic areas, pier, outdoor pool, and water and lake privileges—perfect for boating, fishing, and coastal living. With vision and updates, this property could be transformed into a beautiful bay-area retreat or year-round home. Bring your ideas and make it your own! Pictures have been enhanced by a professional photographer
Key facts
- Boat docks
- Double-wide
- Community center
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $63k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $63k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 34.6% vs local median 3.3% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 870 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $435 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $63k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 101.08%
- DSCR
- 5.50
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,448
- List price
- $62,900
- Delta
- -63.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25869 N Pine St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (-8%) | 1mo | $145,500 | $93 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 69.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.14×
- Total profit
- $55,288
- Equity at exit
- $9,379
- IRR
- 73.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.57×
- Total profit
- $133,347
- Equity at exit
- $5,438
Cash invested: $17,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19966
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 870
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,428 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$330
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$79 /mo · $944/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$510
- Net cashflow
- $1,023
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,067 | -5% $1,045 | +0% $1,023 | +5% $1,001 | +10% $980 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $831 | -5% $927 | +0% $1,023 | +5% $1,119 | +10% $1,215 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,055 | -0.5pp $1,039 | base $1,023 | +0.5pp $1,007 | +1.0pp $990 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,725
- Closing costs
- $1,887
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35805 S Gloucester Cir Millsboro, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 35829 S Gloucester Cir Unit 35829 Long Neck, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.25mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $62,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $62,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $62,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $62,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $62,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $62,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $62,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $62,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $62,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $62,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $62,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $62,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $62,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $62,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $62,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $62,900 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Investor alert or dream-it-yourself opportunity! This large double-wide in sought-after Mariners Cove off Rehoboth Bay is ready for a full renovation and brimming with potential. Offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths with a wide-open, spacious floor plan, this home provides an excellent canvas to create something truly special. Mariners Cove is a standout waterfront community featuring boat docks and slips, boat ramps, a community center, picnic areas, pier, outdoor pool, and water and lake privileges—perfect for boating, fishing, and coastal living. With vision and updates, this property could be transformed into a beautiful bay-area retreat or year-round home. Bring your ideas and make it your own! Pictures have been enhanced by a professional photographer
-
2026-02-25price $69,900 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Investor alert or dream-it-yourself opportunity! This large double-wide in sought-after Mariners Cove off Rehoboth Bay is ready for a full renovation and brimming with potential. Offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths with a wide-open, spacious floor plan, this home provides an excellent canvas to create something truly special. Mariners Cove is a standout waterfront community featuring boat docks and slips, boat ramps, a community center, picnic areas, pier, outdoor pool, and water and lake privileges—perfect for boating, fishing, and coastal living. With vision and updates, this property could be transformed into a beautiful bay-area retreat or year-round home. Bring your ideas and make it your own! Pictures have been enhanced by a professional photographer
-
2026-01-23$79,900 Active 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Investor alert or dream-it-yourself opportunity! This large double-wide in sought-after Mariners Cove off Rehoboth Bay is ready for a full renovation and brimming with potential. Offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths with a wide-open, spacious floor plan, this home provides an excellent canvas to create something truly special. Mariners Cove is a standout waterfront community featuring boat docks and slips, boat ramps, a community center, picnic areas, pier, outdoor pool, and water and lake privileges—perfect for boating, fishing, and coastal living. With vision and updates, this property could be transformed into a beautiful bay-area retreat or year-round home. Bring your ideas and make it your own! Pictures have been enhanced by a professional photographer
-
2010-11-04soldstatus $35,000 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
The size of the Doublewide 28X70(split flr. pln) might help you decide to look at this property. Home would make a great year round home or week end summer place! LOW ground rent, comm. pool & marina. Furnished too! AGENTS SEE REMARKS!
-
2010-07-28historical
-
2010-03-13$45,000 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
The size of the Doublewide 28X70(split flr. pln) might help you decide to look at this property. Home would make a great year round home or week end summer place! LOW ground rent, comm. pool & marina. Furnished too! AGENTS SEE REMARKS!
-
2010-03-13$49,900
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
The size of the Doublewide 28X70(split flr. pln) might help you decide to look at this property. Home would make a great year round home or week end summer place! LOW ground rent, comm. pool & marina. Furnished too! AGENTS SEE REMARKS!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,523
- − Property taxes
- −$944
- − Insurance
- −$5,840
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,331
- − Management
- −$2,331
- − Depreciation
- −$1,830
- Taxable income
- $12,339
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,961
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,316/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Long Neck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #8720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sussex County · 82,708 people
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,884
- Household income
- $78,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.26%
- Current HPI
- 268.5609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+39.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $62,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-11-04 Sold (MLS) $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-07-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-03-13 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-03-13 Listed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…