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1234 W Hebron Ln
B- Composite 68.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

1234 W Hebron Ln · Hillview, KY 40165
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,890 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1900 0.48 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

READ AGENT NOTES! MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED! Warning/Waiver MUST be signed & emailed back to the listing agent PRIOR to entering the property (you'll then be given a code to the lockbox). Portions of property are not viable & cannot be entered due to lack of flooring & instability. Enter the other portions at own risk. Main house appears to be viable. 4-car att Garage. Property is sold in as is/where is condition, with all faults and is being sold to settle an estate. Seller will make no repairs. Seller has never lived in the home. Location is excellent off W Hebron Lane in close proximity to the hospital and many businesses incl warehouses & distribution facilities. Long deep lot. Note that some of the information is ''guestimates'' from the Administrator of the Estat

Key facts

  • 0.48 acre lot
  • 4 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building area reported as 1,949 above-grade living area
  • HOA & community: No association fee; no monthly maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with entry on the side (4 garage spaces); See remarks for additional parking details
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Architectural style: Other
  • Construction: Built in 1900; Vinyl siding, wood frame, and stone construction; Shingle roof; Concrete block foundation
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 300

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Formal dining room on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Two fireplaces; Seven total rooms; First-floor primary bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 3.8% in Hillview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#235 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bullitt County (suburban): math 29% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #55 of 165 in KY (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 380 units permitted in Bullitt County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bullitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $110k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
13.77%
Cash-on-cash
26.71%
DSCR
2.19
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$349,650
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1234 W Hebron Ln 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,949 (+3%) 1mo $90,000 $46 94
1102 W Hebron Ln 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,646 (-13%) 11mo $225,000 $137 57
166 Doris Way 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,730 (-8%) 23mo $318,000 $184 50
4813 Fox Chase Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 2,000 (+6%) 11mo $370,000 $185 50
4815 Running Fox Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 2,069 (+10%) 15mo $422,000 $204 44
4807 Sussex Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 2,136 (+13%) 6mo $314,495 $147 44
299 N Myers Rd 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,707 (-10%) 24mo $368,000 $216 43
503 N Myers Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,706 (-10%) 24mo $342,900 $201 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$25,868
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
28.8%
Equity multiple
3.56×
Total profit
$78,877
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40165

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,839 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,740/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$686

Break-even live

Break-even rent $972
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $748 -5% $717 +0% $686 +5% $654 +10% $623
Rent -10% $540 -5% $613 +0% $686 +5% $758 +10% $831
Rate -1.0pp $741 -0.5pp $713 base $686 +0.5pp $657 +1.0pp $628

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $110,000 Active
  3. 2024-06-05
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed 803-char remark
    Show marketing remark (803 chars)

    READ AGENT NOTES! MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED! Warning/Waiver MUST be signed & emailed back to the listing agent PRIOR to entering the property (you'll then be given a code to the lockbox). Portions of property are not viable & cannot be entered due to lack of flooring & instability. Enter the other portions at own risk. Main house appears to be viable. 4-car att Garage. Property is sold in as is/where is condition, with all faults and is being sold to settle an estate. Seller will make no repairs. Seller has never lived in the home. Location is excellent off W Hebron Lane in close proximity to the hospital and many businesses incl warehouses & distribution facilities. Long deep lot. Note that some of the information is ''guestimates'' from the Administrator of the Estat

  4. 2024-04-22
    status Pending 803-char remark
    Show marketing remark (803 chars)

    READ AGENT NOTES! MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED! Warning/Waiver MUST be signed & emailed back to the listing agent PRIOR to entering the property (you'll then be given a code to the lockbox). Portions of property are not viable & cannot be entered due to lack of flooring & instability. Enter the other portions at own risk. Main house appears to be viable. 4-car att Garage. Property is sold in as is/where is condition, with all faults and is being sold to settle an estate. Seller will make no repairs. Seller has never lived in the home. Location is excellent off W Hebron Lane in close proximity to the hospital and many businesses incl warehouses & distribution facilities. Long deep lot. Note that some of the information is ''guestimates'' from the Administrator of the Estat

  5. 2024-04-19
    listed $45,000 Active 803-char remark
    Show marketing remark (803 chars)

    READ AGENT NOTES! MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED! Warning/Waiver MUST be signed & emailed back to the listing agent PRIOR to entering the property (you'll then be given a code to the lockbox). Portions of property are not viable & cannot be entered due to lack of flooring & instability. Enter the other portions at own risk. Main house appears to be viable. 4-car att Garage. Property is sold in as is/where is condition, with all faults and is being sold to settle an estate. Seller will make no repairs. Seller has never lived in the home. Location is excellent off W Hebron Lane in close proximity to the hospital and many businesses incl warehouses & distribution facilities. Long deep lot. Note that some of the information is ''guestimates'' from the Administrator of the Estat

  6. 2001-09-01
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,740 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,740 · $145/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,073
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,740
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,766
− Management
−$1,766
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$6,890
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,654
After-tax cash flow
$6,572/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bullitt County
NCES district ID
2100750
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$55,009
Composite
30.78/100
National rank
#6151
State rank
#55 of 165 in KY

Livability — Hillview

Score
66/100
State rank
#235
US rank
#11507

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bullitt County · 62,065 people
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
38,403
Household income
$79,540
Rent vs Own
17.3% rent · 82.7% own
Severe rent burden
800.0

Population outlook (Bullitt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
89,555 people
By 2030
94,389 · +5.4%
By 2040
102,759 · +14.7%
By 2050
108,955 · +21.7%
By 2075
121,898 · +36.1%
By 2100
126,383 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bullitt

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.0) · D 23.8% · R 74.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: -32.3pp · 2024: -51.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.0 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+35.7 2008: R+32.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.91%
Current HPI
247.1595
Rent YoY
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+83.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $110,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-06-05 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-04-22 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-04-19 Listed $45,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2001-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,740 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…