1234 W Hebron Ln · Hillview, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
READ AGENT NOTES! MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED! Warning/Waiver MUST be signed & emailed back to the listing agent PRIOR to entering the property (you'll then be given a code to the lockbox). Portions of property are not viable & cannot be entered due to lack of flooring & instability. Enter the other portions at own risk. Main house appears to be viable. 4-car att Garage. Property is sold in as is/where is condition, with all faults and is being sold to settle an estate. Seller will make no repairs. Seller has never lived in the home. Location is excellent off W Hebron Lane in close proximity to the hospital and many businesses incl warehouses & distribution facilities. Long deep lot. Note that some of the information is ''guestimates'' from the Administrator of the Estat
Key facts
- 0.48 acre lot
- 4 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building area reported as 1,949 above-grade living area
- HOA & community: No association fee; no monthly maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with entry on the side (4 garage spaces); See remarks for additional parking details
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Architectural style: Other
- Construction: Built in 1900; Vinyl siding, wood frame, and stone construction; Shingle roof; Concrete block foundation
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 300
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Formal dining room on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the first floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Two fireplaces; Seven total rooms; First-floor primary bedroom
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 3.8% in Hillview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#235 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Bullitt County (suburban): math 29% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #55 of 165 in KY (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 380 units permitted in Bullitt County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bullitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $110k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.71%
- DSCR
- 2.19
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $349,650
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1234 W Hebron Ln | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,949 (+3%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $46 | 94 |
| 1102 W Hebron Ln | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,646 (-13%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $137 | 57 |
| 166 Doris Way | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (-8%) | 23mo | $318,000 | $184 | 50 |
| 4813 Fox Chase Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 2,000 (+6%) | 11mo | $370,000 | $185 | 50 |
| 4815 Running Fox Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 2,069 (+10%) | 15mo | $422,000 | $204 | 44 |
| 4807 Sussex Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 2,136 (+13%) | 6mo | $314,495 | $147 | 44 |
| 299 N Myers Rd | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,707 (-10%) | 24mo | $368,000 | $216 | 43 |
| 503 N Myers Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (-10%) | 24mo | $342,900 | $201 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $25,868
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $78,877
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40165
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,839 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,740/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $686
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $748 | -5% $717 | +0% $686 | +5% $654 | +10% $623 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $540 | -5% $613 | +0% $686 | +5% $758 | +10% $831 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $741 | -0.5pp $713 | base $686 | +0.5pp $657 | +1.0pp $628 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-08$110,000 Active
-
2024-06-05soldstatus $45,000 Closed 803-char remark
Show marketing remark (803 chars)
READ AGENT NOTES! MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED! Warning/Waiver MUST be signed & emailed back to the listing agent PRIOR to entering the property (you'll then be given a code to the lockbox). Portions of property are not viable & cannot be entered due to lack of flooring & instability. Enter the other portions at own risk. Main house appears to be viable. 4-car att Garage. Property is sold in as is/where is condition, with all faults and is being sold to settle an estate. Seller will make no repairs. Seller has never lived in the home. Location is excellent off W Hebron Lane in close proximity to the hospital and many businesses incl warehouses & distribution facilities. Long deep lot. Note that some of the information is ''guestimates'' from the Administrator of the Estat
-
2024-04-22status Pending 803-char remark
Show marketing remark (803 chars)
READ AGENT NOTES! MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED! Warning/Waiver MUST be signed & emailed back to the listing agent PRIOR to entering the property (you'll then be given a code to the lockbox). Portions of property are not viable & cannot be entered due to lack of flooring & instability. Enter the other portions at own risk. Main house appears to be viable. 4-car att Garage. Property is sold in as is/where is condition, with all faults and is being sold to settle an estate. Seller will make no repairs. Seller has never lived in the home. Location is excellent off W Hebron Lane in close proximity to the hospital and many businesses incl warehouses & distribution facilities. Long deep lot. Note that some of the information is ''guestimates'' from the Administrator of the Estat
-
2024-04-19$45,000 Active 803-char remark
Show marketing remark (803 chars)
READ AGENT NOTES! MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED! Warning/Waiver MUST be signed & emailed back to the listing agent PRIOR to entering the property (you'll then be given a code to the lockbox). Portions of property are not viable & cannot be entered due to lack of flooring & instability. Enter the other portions at own risk. Main house appears to be viable. 4-car att Garage. Property is sold in as is/where is condition, with all faults and is being sold to settle an estate. Seller will make no repairs. Seller has never lived in the home. Location is excellent off W Hebron Lane in close proximity to the hospital and many businesses incl warehouses & distribution facilities. Long deep lot. Note that some of the information is ''guestimates'' from the Administrator of the Estat
-
2001-09-01soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,740 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,740 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,073
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,740
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,766
- − Management
- −$1,766
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $6,890
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,654
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,572/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bullitt County
- NCES district ID
- 2100750
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,009
- Composite
- 30.78/100
- National rank
- #6151
- State rank
- #55 of 165 in KY
Livability — Hillview
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #235
- US rank
- #11507
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bullitt County · 62,065 people
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,403
- Household income
- $79,540
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 800.0
Population outlook (Bullitt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,555 people
- By 2030
- 94,389 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 102,759 · +14.7%
- By 2050
- 108,955 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 121,898 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 126,383 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bullitt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 23.8% · R 74.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: -32.3pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+35.7 2008: R+32.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.91%
- Current HPI
- 247.1595
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+83.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $110,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-06-05 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-04-22 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-04-19 Listed $45,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2001-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,740 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…