1401 E Ayre St · Newport, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unique Property In Newport- Ideal For Home Based Business-Property To Be Sold In "As Is" Condition. 2 Garages Attached To House 3 Garage Stands Alone. Entire Yard Fenced In.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1953
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached front-entry garage with two spaces; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas heating fuel
- Home design: Detached structure; Above-grade finished living space per assessor
- Construction: Block foundation; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on the lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; One upper-level bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric hot water; Circuit breaker electrical
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (9.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.6% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#32 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Red Clay Consolidated School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #12 of 26 in DE (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $275k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.31%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $394,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Portland Ave | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,050 (-1%) | 7mo | $382,500 | $187 | 67 |
| 104 Kenwood Ln | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,825 (-12%) | 2mo | $264,500 | $145 | 66 |
| 405 N Augustine St | 0.54mi | 4/— (+1) | 2,025 (-2%) | 4mo | $389,000 | $192 | 62 |
| 605 Birmingham Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,875 (-10%) | 13mo | $325,000 | $173 | 58 |
| 202 2nd Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 2,025 (-2%) | 15mo | $340,000 | $168 | 57 |
| 102 Kenwood Ln | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,775 (-14%) | 8mo | $357,000 | $201 | 54 |
| 2A Main Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 2,000 (-4%) | 4mo | $459,900 | $230 | 54 |
| 509 Birmingham Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,900 (-8%) | 13mo | $359,900 | $189 | 51 |
| 419 Becker Ave | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,000 (-4%) | 8mo | $380,000 | $190 | 47 |
| 103 David Rd | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,900 (-8%) | 10mo | $375,000 | $197 | 36 |
| 603 Walnut St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 2,375 (+14%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $135 | 29 |
| 409 Boxwood Rd | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,375 (+14%) | 6mo | $489,900 | $206 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-22,983
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $7,415
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19804
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,494 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $875/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $341
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $496 | -5% $419 | +0% $341 | +5% $263 | +10% $185 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $144 | -5% $242 | +0% $341 | +5% $439 | +10% $538 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $479 | -0.5pp $411 | base $341 | +0.5pp $270 | +1.0pp $197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Stonehurst Dr Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $2,500 | $1.61 | 6d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 411 Atkinson Rd Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2267 | $2,000 | $0.88 | 20d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 50 Dodson Ave Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,990 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 23-char remark
-
2026-06-17$275,000 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $875 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,235 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- +$360/yr (+$30/mo · 41.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,931
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$875
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,394
- − Management
- −$2,394
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$512
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$123
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Red Clay Consolidated School District
- NCES district ID
- 1001300
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,298
- Composite
- 31.25/100
- National rank
- #6027
- State rank
- #12 of 26 in DE
Livability — Newport
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #8853
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,231
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.17%
- Current HPI
- 268.5199
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+223.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-16 Listed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $84,900 Public Records
- 2000-05-31 Sold (MLS) $84,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-04-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-01-17 Listed $84,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2024): $875 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…