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14621 S Sherman Ave
B- Composite 67.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$72,080

14621 S Sherman Ave · Posen, IL 60469
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,063 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1957 5,401 sqft lot ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Out Standing Rehab. .. finished to PERFECTION!!! Just look at the pictures!! Completely remodeled with top of the line products. New Windows. Large Eat-in kitchen with soft close cabinetry, Beautiful Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances. Bath is light and bright. Hardwood floors through Living-room and all bedrooms. Full Basement just finished with Huge Family-room, Full bath with over-sized shower. Bonus room downstairs. .. office, exercise, playroom. .. 2 car detached garage with extra storage. The front of Driveway to be repaired, Front storm door to be installed, and Flood Zone being worked on. .. A MUST SEE, THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST!!!

Key facts

  • 5,401 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1957

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area source: appraiser; Lot size source: appraiser; Parcel number 28122270570000
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shake roof; Other foundation; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions listed as 5418

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (about 10 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (about 12 x 11); Bedroom on main level (about 11 x 10); Bedroom on main level (about 10 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished full basement; 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $72k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#297 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Gordon School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,477 of 2,056 statewide, top 74%, 287 students, 0% FRL); Kellar School (math 8% / reading 14%, grade F, #579 of 665 statewide, top 87%, 402 students, 0% FRL); Bremen High School (math 8% / reading 11%, grade F, #577 of 693 statewide, top 84%, 1,497 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $314/mo; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,080

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.18%
Cap rate
18.70%
Cash-on-cash
44.31%
DSCR
2.97
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$218,978
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14542 S Campbell Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,143 (+8%) 2mo $238,500 $209 81
14525 Oakley St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,052 (-1%) 7mo $240,000 $228 70
14427 S Palmer Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,157 (+9%) 1mo $210,000 $182 65
14715 Maplewood Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,210 (+14%) 3mo $75,000 $62 57
14720 S Harrison Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,185 (+12%) 5mo $239,000 $202 55
14918 Western Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-6%) 1mo $72,000 $72 53
14247 Davis Ct 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,206 (+14%) 8mo $262,000 $217 53
14808 Leavitt Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (+4%) 10mo $105,000 $95 50
14715 S Richmond Ave 0.64mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-6%) 8mo $259,000 $259 49
14912 S San Francisco Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 936 (-12%) 1mo $193,000 $206 47
14825 S Sacramento Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 912 (-14%) 0mo $222,000 $243 41
14805 S Richmond Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 950 (-11%) 13mo $152,000 $160 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$16,018
Equity at exit
$10,747
10-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$50,214
Equity at exit
$6,232

Cash invested: $20,182 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60469

Home prices YoY
-14.8%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,574 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax est. 1.5%
$90 /mo · $1,081/yr
Insurance
$30
Flood insurance flood zone
−$314 /mo · $3,765/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,028
Max offer price $72,080
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $481 -5% $456 +0% $431 +5% $407 +10% $382
Rent -10% $307 -5% $369 +0% $431 +5% $494 +10% $556
Rate -1.0pp $468 -0.5pp $450 base $431 +0.5pp $413 +1.0pp $394

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,020
Closing costs
$2,162
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14521 Richmond Ave Unit 3 Posen, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,375 $1.62 26d 1 0.64mi
14629 Hoyne Ave Dixmoor, IL 3.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 26d 1 0.68mi
14802 Cooper Ave Harvey, IL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,700 $1.42 26d 1 0.69mi
3028 141st St Blue Island, IL 4.0 1.0 1144 $1,911 $1.67 3d 1 1.04mi
3025 140th St Blue Island, IL 4.0 1.0 1144 $2,000 $1.75 0d 1 1.11mi
3349 147th St Unit 3240 06 Midlothian, IL 2.0 1.0 817 $1,500 $1.84 7d 1 1.18mi
3542 147th St Midlothian, IL 2.0 1.0 817 $1,500 $1.84 8d 2 1.41mi
13443 Greenwood Ave Unit 2E Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 0d 1 1.47mi
2119 135th Pl Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 6d 1 1.50mi
2119 135th Pl Unit 4 Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 10d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-20
    listed $72,080 Active
  3. 2018-10-05
    soldstatus $160,000
  4. 2018-09-28
    soldstatus $159,900 Closed Sale 663-char remark
    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    Out Standing Rehab. .. finished to PERFECTION!!! Just look at the pictures!! Completely remodeled with top of the line products. New Windows. Large Eat-in kitchen with soft close cabinetry, Beautiful Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances. Bath is light and bright. Hardwood floors through Living-room and all bedrooms. Full Basement just finished with Huge Family-room, Full bath with over-sized shower. Bonus room downstairs. .. office, exercise, playroom. .. 2 car detached garage with extra storage. The front of Driveway to be repaired, Front storm door to be installed, and Flood Zone being worked on. .. A MUST SEE, THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST!!!

  5. 2018-08-21
    status Contingent (Do Not Show) 663-char remark
    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    Out Standing Rehab. .. finished to PERFECTION!!! Just look at the pictures!! Completely remodeled with top of the line products. New Windows. Large Eat-in kitchen with soft close cabinetry, Beautiful Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances. Bath is light and bright. Hardwood floors through Living-room and all bedrooms. Full Basement just finished with Huge Family-room, Full bath with over-sized shower. Bonus room downstairs. .. office, exercise, playroom. .. 2 car detached garage with extra storage. The front of Driveway to be repaired, Front storm door to be installed, and Flood Zone being worked on. .. A MUST SEE, THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST!!!

  6. 2018-07-26
    status Reactivated 663-char remark
    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    Out Standing Rehab. .. finished to PERFECTION!!! Just look at the pictures!! Completely remodeled with top of the line products. New Windows. Large Eat-in kitchen with soft close cabinetry, Beautiful Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances. Bath is light and bright. Hardwood floors through Living-room and all bedrooms. Full Basement just finished with Huge Family-room, Full bath with over-sized shower. Bonus room downstairs. .. office, exercise, playroom. .. 2 car detached garage with extra storage. The front of Driveway to be repaired, Front storm door to be installed, and Flood Zone being worked on. .. A MUST SEE, THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST!!!

  7. 2018-07-13
    status Contingent (Do Not Show) 663-char remark
    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    Out Standing Rehab. .. finished to PERFECTION!!! Just look at the pictures!! Completely remodeled with top of the line products. New Windows. Large Eat-in kitchen with soft close cabinetry, Beautiful Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances. Bath is light and bright. Hardwood floors through Living-room and all bedrooms. Full Basement just finished with Huge Family-room, Full bath with over-sized shower. Bonus room downstairs. .. office, exercise, playroom. .. 2 car detached garage with extra storage. The front of Driveway to be repaired, Front storm door to be installed, and Flood Zone being worked on. .. A MUST SEE, THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST!!!

  8. 2018-07-05
    listed $159,900 New 663-char remark
    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    Out Standing Rehab. .. finished to PERFECTION!!! Just look at the pictures!! Completely remodeled with top of the line products. New Windows. Large Eat-in kitchen with soft close cabinetry, Beautiful Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances. Bath is light and bright. Hardwood floors through Living-room and all bedrooms. Full Basement just finished with Huge Family-room, Full bath with over-sized shower. Bonus room downstairs. .. office, exercise, playroom. .. 2 car detached garage with extra storage. The front of Driveway to be repaired, Front storm door to be installed, and Flood Zone being worked on. .. A MUST SEE, THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST!!!

  9. 2007-12-19
    soldstatus $178,000
  10. 2006-12-07
    soldstatus $165,000
  11. 1998-01-20
    soldstatus $85,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,886
− Mortgage interest
−$4,038
− Property taxes
−$1,081
− Insurance
−$4,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− Depreciation
−$2,097
Taxable income
$4,524
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,086
After-tax cash flow
$4,092/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Posen

Score
72/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#5704

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Posen, IL
City population
5,295
Population (ZIP)
5,295

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% White 18% Black 18% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 59%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 50% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.76%
Current HPI
194.3905
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $72,080 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2018-09-28 Sold (MLS) $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-21 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-26 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-13 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-05 Listed $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $178,000 Public Records
  • 2006-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 1998-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,930 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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