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1421 George Robbins
D- Composite 38.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0

$525,000

1421 George Robbins · Cave Springs, AR 72718
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,079 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 2022 9,147 sqft lot Est $505k · at est. $44/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very open and inviting floor plan featuring 3 bedrooms 2 bath plus a study, a formal dining area that could be used as a second living space. The open Kitchen and living Room is the heart and soul of this home, making it the perfect place for friends and family to gather. The outdoor covered patio with a fireplace and TV connection expands your living space to the outdoors. Call us today and we will introduce you to your new home.

Key facts

  • Single-story home
  • Chefs kitchen
  • Fireplace

Tags

SINGLE-STORY HOMECHEFS KITCHENOUTDOOR COVERED PATIOFIREPLACEZERO MAINTENANCE SOLAR PANELSPERMANENT STORAGE BUILDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Annual association fee of $525; Community amenities: playground, pool, park, nearby shopping, near hospital, near schools

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Septic (septic tank)
  • Home design: Single-story home; Brick construction; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Concrete driveway; Community pool; Near park; Located in a subdivision; Public road frontage; Smoke detectors

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range; Built-in oven; Gas cooktop; Electric oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Exhaust fan; Disposal; Quartz counters
  • Bedrooms: Split bedrooms layout
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Quartz counters; Split bedroom floorplan; Walk-in closets; Library; Office; Gas log fireplace (outside access)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Tankless water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $525k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-846 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $375k (28.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $333k (36.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $333k (36.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.4% in Cave Springs — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#41 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $56k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$90k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($462k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $333,300 (36.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
4.36%
Cash-on-cash
-6.91%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
13.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$505,197
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1425 Elijahs Dr 0.06mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,048 (-2%) 3mo $540,000 $264 87
626 Millwood 0.16mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,097 (+1%) 2mo $564,000 $269 82
6202 S 62nd St 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,050 (-1%) 2mo $499,000 $243 80
1406 George Robbins Ln 0.09mi 3/2.5 2,271 (+9%) 5mo $613,000 $270 74
5703 S 66th St 0.42mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,056 (-1%) 5mo $422,000 $205 67
6202 S 58th St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,950 (-6%) 4mo $465,000 $238 66
5701 S 66th St 0.44mi 3/2.5 2,228 (+7%) 0mo $510,000 $229 65
1415 Gooseneck Ln 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,881 (-10%) 2mo $430,000 $229 65
6307 S 58th St 0.50mi 3/2.5 2,197 (+6%) 2mo $532,000 $242 64
1425 S Hampton Xing 0.45mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,264 (+9%) 1mo $529,000 $234 57
6614 W Braebourne Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,344 (+13%) 1mo $575,000 $245 48
5500 Lanshire Dr 0.68mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,341 (+13%) 3mo $605,000 $258 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$231,978
Equity at exit
$472,962
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
5.94×
Total profit
$725,450
Equity at exit
$1,019,960

Cash invested: $147,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72718

Home prices YoY
14.1%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
13.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,333 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,753
Tax from tax record
$464 /mo · $5,563/yr
Insurance
$219
HOA
$44
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$700
Net cashflow
$-846

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,404
Max offer price $375,474
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-549 -5% $-698 +0% $-846 +5% $-995 +10% $-1,144
Rent -10% $-1,110 -5% $-978 +0% $-846 +5% $-715 +10% $-583
Rate -1.0pp $-582 -0.5pp $-713 base $-846 +0.5pp $-982 +1.0pp $-1,121

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$131,250
Closing costs
$15,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6502 W Hearth Falls Dr Unit 1221804P Rogers, AR 4.0 2.5 2443 $6,688 $2.74 15d 1 0.61mi
6508 W Stone Lake Dr Unit 1221824P Rogers, AR 4.0 2.5 2271 $7,860 $3.46 16d 1 0.68mi
5313 S Stone Bay Ct Rogers, AR 4.0 3.0 2110 $3,300 $1.56 16d 1 0.91mi
6506 W Knoll View Way Rogers, AR 3.0 2.5 1746 $2,700 $1.55 16d 1 0.93mi
6505 S 50th St Rogers, AR 4.0 2.0 1630 $1,850 $1.13 16d 1 0.94mi
5217 S 65th Pl Rogers, AR 3.0 2.5 2055 $2,400 $1.17 25d 1 0.95mi
5217 S 65th Pl Rogers, AR 3.0 2.5 2055 $2,290 $1.11 16d 1 0.95mi
6613 W Valley View Rd Rogers, AR 4.0 2.5 2475 $3,000 $1.21 25d 1 1.04mi
6683 W Valley View Rd Rogers, AR 4.0 2.5 2477 $3,500 $1.41 25d 1 1.08mi
6665 W Valley View Rd Rogers, AR 3.0 2.0 1923 $2,950 $1.53 25d 1 1.14mi
4608 W Quelinda Dr Rogers, AR 4.0 3.0 2859 $3,000 $1.05 25d 1 1.26mi
27 W La Quinta Ct Unit 1 Rogers, AR 2.0 3.0 1750 $2,700 $1.54 25d 1 1.42mi
7 S Prairie Dunes Dr Rogers, AR 3.0 2.5 1773 $3,800 $2.14 15d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$44 · $528/yr

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $525,000 Pending 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $525,000 Active 137 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $525,000 Active 136 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $525,000 Active 133 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $525,000 Active 132 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $525,000 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $525,000 Active 130 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $525,000 Active 129 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $525,000 Active 128 DOM
  10. 2026-05-25
    status Active
  11. 2026-05-24
    historical
  12. 2026-04-14
    status Active
  13. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  14. 2026-03-20
    price $525,000
  15. 2026-03-12
    price $545,000
  16. 2026-02-03
    price $550,000
  17. 2026-01-12
    listed $550,912 Active
  18. 2023-05-11
    soldstatus $456,615 Closed 434-char remark
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Very open and inviting floor plan featuring 3 bedrooms 2 bath plus a study, a formal dining area that could be used as a second living space. The open Kitchen and living Room is the heart and soul of this home, making it the perfect place for friends and family to gather. The outdoor covered patio with a fireplace and TV connection expands your living space to the outdoors. Call us today and we will introduce you to your new home.

  19. 2023-03-31
    status Pending 434-char remark
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Very open and inviting floor plan featuring 3 bedrooms 2 bath plus a study, a formal dining area that could be used as a second living space. The open Kitchen and living Room is the heart and soul of this home, making it the perfect place for friends and family to gather. The outdoor covered patio with a fireplace and TV connection expands your living space to the outdoors. Call us today and we will introduce you to your new home.

  20. 2023-03-27
    price $454,790 434-char remark
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Very open and inviting floor plan featuring 3 bedrooms 2 bath plus a study, a formal dining area that could be used as a second living space. The open Kitchen and living Room is the heart and soul of this home, making it the perfect place for friends and family to gather. The outdoor covered patio with a fireplace and TV connection expands your living space to the outdoors. Call us today and we will introduce you to your new home.

  21. 2022-12-03
    price $467,790 434-char remark
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Very open and inviting floor plan featuring 3 bedrooms 2 bath plus a study, a formal dining area that could be used as a second living space. The open Kitchen and living Room is the heart and soul of this home, making it the perfect place for friends and family to gather. The outdoor covered patio with a fireplace and TV connection expands your living space to the outdoors. Call us today and we will introduce you to your new home.

  22. 2022-10-26
    listed $464,790 Active 434-char remark
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Very open and inviting floor plan featuring 3 bedrooms 2 bath plus a study, a formal dining area that could be used as a second living space. The open Kitchen and living Room is the heart and soul of this home, making it the perfect place for friends and family to gather. The outdoor covered patio with a fireplace and TV connection expands your living space to the outdoors. Call us today and we will introduce you to your new home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,563 · $464/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,563 · $464/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,996
− Mortgage interest
−$29,408
− Property taxes
−$5,563
− Insurance
−$2,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,200
− Management
−$3,200
− HOA
−$528
− Depreciation
−$15,273
Taxable loss
−$19,800
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,752
After-tax cash flow
$-5,405/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bentonville School District
NCES district ID
0503060
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,721
Composite
51.85/100
National rank
#1661
State rank
#3 of 238 in AR

Livability — Cave Springs

Score
71/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#6981

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cave Springs, AR
City population
5,528
Population (ZIP)
5,528

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Two or more races 25% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 41.26%
Current HPI
334.6594
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Relisted NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-24 Delisted NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $525,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $545,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $550,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $550,912 NWARMLS
  • 2023-05-11 Sold (MLS) $456,615 NWARMLS
  • 2023-03-31 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2023-03-27 Price Changed $454,790 NWARMLS
  • 2022-12-03 Price Changed $467,790 NWARMLS
  • 2022-10-26 Listed $464,790 NWARMLS

Property tax history

+203.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,563 · +822.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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