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629 2nd Ave SE
D+ Composite 46.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$133,000

629 2nd Ave SE · Ardmore, OK 73401
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1945 8,712 sqft lot Est $91k · 47% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful remodel! 3 Bed/2 Bath all dressed up and ready to sell. Roof/Elec/Windows updated in 2014. Faucets, Fixtures, Flooring and Bathrooms remodeled 2022. Recessed lighting and Ceiling fans added. Kitchen offers butcher block counter tops & new appliance package. Main Bedroom offers en'suite Bath. This property has new Vinyl Siding, Chain link AND Privacy Fencing. All of this comes with a 1year RSA from the Sellers. Unpack your boxes and move right in! Listing Broker is related to one of the Sellers.

Key facts

  • Vinyl siding
  • Attached bathrooms
  • 8,712 sq ft lot

Tags

BUTCHER BLOCK COUNTERTOPSATTACHED BATHROOMSVINYL SIDINGCHAIN-LINK AND PRIVACY FENCINGMETAL STORAGE BUILDING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces south; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Sprinkler/irrigation; Satellite dish; Shed(s)/storage; Chain link fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Stove; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood counters; Ceiling fan(s); Gas range connection; Insulated doors; Storm door(s); Vinyl windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $133k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.6% in Ardmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ardmore (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #241 of 270 in OK (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 379 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $920 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carter County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.44%
Cash-on-cash
7.68%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$90,720
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
306 G St SE 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,032 (+2%) 9mo $129,000 $125 78
402 E St NW 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 996 (-1%) 5mo $102,000 $102 76
441 Carter St SE 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,025 (+2%) 3mo $92,000 $90 72
733 E Main 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,016 (+1%) 12mo $60,000 $59 71
426 E St SE 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,044 (+4%) 6mo $85,000 $81 70
41 G SE 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,156 (+15%) 1mo $50,000 $43 68
17 NE F St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,072 (+6%) 14mo $15,000 $14 65
206 I St NE 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-7%) 10mo $98,000 $105 51
1001 4th Ave NE 0.67mi 3/1.0 910 (-10%) 4mo $60,000 $66 49
528 E Lake Murray Dr 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 920 (-9%) 13mo $129,900 $141 48
1103 4th NE 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 858 (-15%) 0mo $20,000 $23 36
203 8th Ave SE 0.71mi 2/1.5 (-1) 908 (-10%) 16mo $95,000 $105 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-108
Equity at exit
$19,831
10-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$47,581
Equity at exit
$11,499

Cash invested: $37,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73401

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Rents YoY
7.4%
Active inventory
379
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,366 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$697
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,052/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$238

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,064
Max offer price $133,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,250
Closing costs
$3,990
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $133,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-05
    listed $133,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,052 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,197 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$145/yr (+$12/mo · 13.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,390
− Mortgage interest
−$7,450
− Property taxes
−$1,052
− Insurance
−$665
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,311
− Management
−$1,311
− Depreciation
−$3,869
Taxable income
$731
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$176
After-tax cash flow
$2,686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ardmore
NCES district ID
4003180
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,194
Composite
11.1/100
National rank
#9733
State rank
#241 of 270 in OK

Livability — Ardmore

Score
58/100
State rank
#447
US rank
#21387

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ardmore, OK
County
Carter County · 36,833 people
City population
36,833
Metro
Ardmore, OK
Population (ZIP)
36,833
Household income
$61,989
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
1026.0

Population outlook (Carter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,892 people
By 2030
51,913 · +2.0%
By 2040
53,857 · +5.8%
By 2050
55,604 · +9.3%
By 2075
60,670 · +19.2%
By 2100
62,366 · +22.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 8% Black 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Carter

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.7) · D 21.9% · R 76.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -54.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+40.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.93%
Current HPI
269.7381
Rent YoY
▲ 7.38%
Metro
Ardmore, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $133,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-08-23 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-07-15 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-07-11 Listed $139,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-04-26 Listed $30,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2017-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 2017-03-01 Sold (MLS) $57,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2016-08-01 Listed $57,900 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+13.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,052 · -33.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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