310 N Thorne St · Bladen, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has undergone major renovations inside and out. Recent updates include a new roof, vinyl siding, doors, and windows. The interior has been completely gutted down to the studs, with framing replaced as needed, and redesigned with a modern, open layout. The new floor plan features: Spacious open-concept living, dining, and kitchen area 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms (including a primary ensuite) Ample storage with plenty of closets, including a large walk-in closet in the master 2 pantries, one of which is walk-in Additional highlights: Partial unfinished basement All new plumbing and electrical throughout Offered at $50,000 – sellers are motivated.
Key facts
- Modern open layout
- Vinyl siding
- Large walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $639 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#374 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Silver Lake Public Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #213 of 245 in NE (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Webster County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $749 of equity ($277 loan paydown + $472 appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Webster County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.50%
- DSCR
- 4.05
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $123,271
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- -67.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 W Mariel St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,362 (-1%) | 10mo | $147,500 | $108 | 75 |
| 103 S Main St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+14%) | 13mo | $55,000 | $35 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 71.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $41,816
- Equity at exit
- $14,033
- IRR
- 72.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.64×
- Total profit
- $96,776
- Equity at exit
- $18,943
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68928
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,116 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$16 /mo · $189/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $639
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-09status $40,000 Pending 198 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $40,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $40,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-03-26price $40,000 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
This home has undergone major renovations inside and out. Recent updates include a new roof, vinyl siding, doors, and windows. The interior has been completely gutted down to the studs, with framing replaced as needed, and redesigned with a modern, open layout. The new floor plan features: Spacious open-concept living, dining, and kitchen area 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms (including a primary ensuite) Ample storage with plenty of closets, including a large walk-in closet in the master 2 pantries, one of which is walk-in Additional highlights: Partial unfinished basement All new plumbing and electrical throughout Offered at $50,000 – sellers are motivated.
-
2026-03-25status Active 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
This home has undergone major renovations inside and out. Recent updates include a new roof, vinyl siding, doors, and windows. The interior has been completely gutted down to the studs, with framing replaced as needed, and redesigned with a modern, open layout. The new floor plan features: Spacious open-concept living, dining, and kitchen area 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms (including a primary ensuite) Ample storage with plenty of closets, including a large walk-in closet in the master 2 pantries, one of which is walk-in Additional highlights: Partial unfinished basement All new plumbing and electrical throughout Offered at $50,000 – sellers are motivated.
-
2026-01-12status Pending 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
This home has undergone major renovations inside and out. Recent updates include a new roof, vinyl siding, doors, and windows. The interior has been completely gutted down to the studs, with framing replaced as needed, and redesigned with a modern, open layout. The new floor plan features: Spacious open-concept living, dining, and kitchen area 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms (including a primary ensuite) Ample storage with plenty of closets, including a large walk-in closet in the master 2 pantries, one of which is walk-in Additional highlights: Partial unfinished basement All new plumbing and electrical throughout Offered at $50,000 – sellers are motivated.
-
2025-10-28price $46,900 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
This home has undergone major renovations inside and out. Recent updates include a new roof, vinyl siding, doors, and windows. The interior has been completely gutted down to the studs, with framing replaced as needed, and redesigned with a modern, open layout. The new floor plan features: Spacious open-concept living, dining, and kitchen area 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms (including a primary ensuite) Ample storage with plenty of closets, including a large walk-in closet in the master 2 pantries, one of which is walk-in Additional highlights: Partial unfinished basement All new plumbing and electrical throughout Offered at $50,000 – sellers are motivated.
-
2025-09-03$50,000 Active 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
This home has undergone major renovations inside and out. Recent updates include a new roof, vinyl siding, doors, and windows. The interior has been completely gutted down to the studs, with framing replaced as needed, and redesigned with a modern, open layout. The new floor plan features: Spacious open-concept living, dining, and kitchen area 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms (including a primary ensuite) Ample storage with plenty of closets, including a large walk-in closet in the master 2 pantries, one of which is walk-in Additional highlights: Partial unfinished basement All new plumbing and electrical throughout Offered at $50,000 – sellers are motivated.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $189 · $16/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $692 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$503/yr (+$42/mo · 265.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,390
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$189
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,071
- − Management
- −$1,071
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $7,454
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,789
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,883/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Silver Lake Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100066
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,335
- Composite
- 36.38/100
- National rank
- #9362
- State rank
- #213 of 245 in NE
Livability — Bladen
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #13945
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bladen, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 331
Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,563 people
- By 2030
- 3,510 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 3,463 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 3,394 · -4.7%
- By 2075
- 3,239 · -9.1%
- By 2100
- 2,706 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 13% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Webster
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.4) · D 16.8% · R 82.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.9pp toward R · 2008: -37.5pp · 2024: -65.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.4 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+60.1 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+37.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.18%
- Current HPI
- 119.2807
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
-20.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $40,000 GMNMLS
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — GMNMLS
- 2026-01-12 Pending — GMNMLS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $46,900 GMNMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listed $50,000 GMNMLS
Property tax history
-7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $189 · -38.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…