2611 S 288th St #74 · Federal Way, WA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,599
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Desirable corner lot in the Parkwood Lane 55+ gated community! 50-year roof installed in 2016. Newer Bath Fitter guest shower & walk in jetted tub in primary, utility shed, covered patio, carport with extra storage, & Newer heat pump for year-around comfort, including AC. Maintained & tons of natural light from windows & vaulted ceiling, circular plan connecting kitchen, living room, dining room, & additional eating space. Kitchen and laundry have new laminate flooring and there is Berber carpet in the living area. Check out the huge walk-in closet & master suite! New hot water heater 2024.
Key facts
- Gated community
- 50 year roof
- Utility shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 2.7% in Federal Way — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#221 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Federal Way School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #207 of 291 in WA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $896 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $73k; list at $130k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.86%
- DSCR
- 2.51
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,825
- List price
- $129,599
- Delta
- -7.31%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $42,654
- Equity at exit
- $19,324
- IRR
- 35.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $114,775
- Equity at exit
- $11,205
Cash invested: $36,288 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98003
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,303 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$680
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $741/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $1,024
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,400
- Closing costs
- $3,888
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29305 33rd Ave S Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $2,875 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 28606 Pacific Hwy S Federal Way, WA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1138 | $1,675 | $1.47 | 5d | 3 | 0.69mi |
| 28120 18th Ave S Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 986 | $1,949 | $1.98 | 2d | 8 | 0.73mi |
| 2015 S 301st St Federal Way, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $2,800 | $2.50 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4216 S 297th Pl Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $3,000 | $2.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2211 S Star Lake Rd Federal Way, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,840 | $2.04 | 2d | 45 | 1.05mi |
| 30602 Pacific Hwy S Federal Way, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,695 | $1.78 | 3d | 12 | 1.15mi |
| 30331 15th Ct S Unit 03 Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1135 | $2,295 | $2.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2717 S 268th Pl Kent, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1550 | $3,390 | $2.19 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watersecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,599 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,599 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,599 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,599 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $129,599 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $132,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $132,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $132,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $132,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $132,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $132,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $132,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $132,000
-
2026-03-20price $135,000
-
2026-01-22$140,000 Active
-
2016-07-28soldstatus $72,800 Sold
-
2016-06-30status Pending
-
2016-06-10price $74,800
-
2016-05-16status Active
-
2016-05-11status Pending
-
2016-04-19$84,000 Active
-
1994-06-14soldstatus $1,481,166
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $741 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,270 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$530/yr (+$44/mo · 71.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,637
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,260
- − Property taxes
- −$741
- − Insurance
- −$648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,211
- − Management
- −$2,211
- − Depreciation
- −$3,770
- Taxable income
- $10,797
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,591
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,698/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Federal Way School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302820
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,594
- Composite
- 38.79/100
- National rank
- #8361
- State rank
- #207 of 291 in WA
Livability — Federal Way
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #6403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Federal Way, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 102,067
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,619
- Household income
- $75,319
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2895.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 19% Two or more races 16% Asian 13% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Swedish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -623.87%
- Current HPI
- 327.5371
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.33%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
-91.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $132,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $135,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Listed $140,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-28 Sold (MLS) $72,800 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-30 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-10 Price Changed $74,800 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-16 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-11 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-19 Listed $84,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $1,481,166 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $741 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…