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219 Courtland Ave
C+ Composite 64.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

219 Courtland Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,038 sqft · Townhouse public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1928 3,090 sqft lot $83/sqft · 19% below area Est $210k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 219 Courtland Avenue, a well-maintained multi-family home offering excellent investment potential or the opportunity to live in one unit while renting out the other. The spacious lower unit features 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, formal dining room, kitchen, and a full bathroom. The upper unit offers 2 bedrooms, living room, dining room, kitchen, and full bathroom, providing a functional and versatile layout. This property also includes a full basement and a full attic, offering plenty of storage space and future potential. Recent updates include new flooring, fresh interior painting, and additional improvements, making the home move-in ready and appealing to tenants. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major routes, this home is a strong choice for both homeowners and investors looking to expand their portfolio.

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Full basement
  • Investment potential

Tags

MULTI-FAMILY HOMEFULL BASEMENTFULL ATTICNEW FLOORINGFRESH INTERIOR PAINTINGINVESTMENT POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,878/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2873% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $164,803 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.48%
Cash-on-cash
7.80%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$210,199
List price
$169,900
Delta
-19.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
39 Manhart St 0.53mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,150 (+6%) 5mo $245,000 $114 55
108 Connelly Ave 0.47mi 5/2.0 2,295 (+13%) 13mo $275,000 $120 46
367 Warwick Ave 0.54mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,228 (+9%) 18mo $200,000 $90 39
49 Barbara Pl 0.60mi 5/2.0 1,840 (-10%) 21mo $222,500 $121 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-12,107
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,912
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,878 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,486
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.0 1793 $2,000 $1.12 2d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Welcome to 219 Courtland Avenue, a well-maintained multi-family home offering excellent investment potential or the opportunity to live in one unit while renting out the other. The spacious lower unit features 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, formal dining room, kitchen, and a full bathroom. The upper unit offers 2 bedrooms, living room, dining room, kitchen, and full bathroom, providing a functional and versatile layout. This property also includes a full basement and a full attic, offering plenty of storage space and future potential. Recent updates include new flooring, fresh interior painting, and additional improvements, making the home move-in ready and appealing to tenants. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major routes, this home is a strong choice for both homeowners and investors looking to expand their portfolio.

  2. 2026-03-23
    listed $169,900 Active 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Welcome to 219 Courtland Avenue, a well-maintained multi-family home offering excellent investment potential or the opportunity to live in one unit while renting out the other. The spacious lower unit features 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, formal dining room, kitchen, and a full bathroom. The upper unit offers 2 bedrooms, living room, dining room, kitchen, and full bathroom, providing a functional and versatile layout. This property also includes a full basement and a full attic, offering plenty of storage space and future potential. Recent updates include new flooring, fresh interior painting, and additional improvements, making the home move-in ready and appealing to tenants. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major routes, this home is a strong choice for both homeowners and investors looking to expand their portfolio.

  3. 2025-11-30
    historical
  4. 2025-08-25
    listed $169,900 Active
  5. 2022-07-01
    soldstatus $115,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  6. 2022-07-01
    soldstatus $115,000
  7. 2022-03-29
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  8. 2022-03-17
    price $119,900
  9. 2022-03-15
    price $122,900
  10. 2022-02-03
    listed $124,900 Active
  11. 2021-11-16
    soldstatus $53,000
  12. 2018-04-03
    soldstatus $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,533
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,548
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,803
− Management
−$1,803
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$1,070
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$257
After-tax cash flow
$3,454/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+371.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $169,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-30 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $169,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-01 Sold (MLS) $115,000 WNYREIS
  • 2022-03-29 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2022-03-17 Price Changed $119,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-03-15 Price Changed $122,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-02-03 Listed $124,900 WNYREIS
  • 2021-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 2018-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $269 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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