334 Jardin St · Shenandoah, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$104,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story townhouse (residential); Above-grade finished area about 1,502
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 56 x 14; Residential zoning
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Full unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 12.5% in Shenandoah — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#720 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, commute F, employment F.
- Shenandoah Valley SD (town): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #454 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($722 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $104k implies a 945% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.84%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,395
- List price
- $104,500
- Delta
- 64.84%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Gilbert St | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,158 (-11%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $60 | 59 |
| 326 Arlington St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-12%) | 5mo | $42,500 | $37 | 58 |
| 330 W Poplar St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-14%) | 11mo | $55,000 | $49 | 56 |
| 110 Penn St | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,337 (+3%) | 17mo | $60,000 | $45 | 56 |
| 224 Ohio Ave | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,386 (+7%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $101 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $25,029
- Equity at exit
- $52,034
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.50×
- Total profit
- $73,183
- Equity at exit
- $84,357
Cash invested: $29,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17976
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$548
- Tax from tax record
- −$396 /mo · $4,758/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $118
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,125
- Closing costs
- $3,135
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 W Arlington St Shenandoah, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $104,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $104,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $104,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$104,500 Active
-
2011-05-12soldstatus $10,000
-
2006-11-30soldstatus $9,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,758 · $396/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,758 · $396/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,854
- − Property taxes
- −$4,758
- − Insurance
- −$522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$3,040
- Taxable loss
- −$62
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$15
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,430/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shenandoah Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221490
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,968
- Composite
- 23.58/100
- National rank
- #7851
- State rank
- #454 of 539 in PA
Livability — Shenandoah
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #720
- US rank
- #7134
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shenandoah, PA
- City population
- 5,988
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,988
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 30% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.84%
- Current HPI
- 308.8036
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1000.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $104,500 LCAR
- 2011-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2006-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.6%/yrLatest (2026): $4,758 · +541.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…