16942 Lake Park Way #6 · Yorba Linda, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Entered for comp purposes only. This active and peaceful 55+ community of Lake Park Yorba Linda features beautiful tree-lined streets, fishing pond, pool and spa, clubhouse, visitor parking and a host of social activities! Spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a secluded back patio. Price includes both refrigerators, washer/dryer.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Plantation shutters
- Upgraded appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Manager approval required; Pets allowed; Access via maintained city streets; Lake on lot and fishing in community; Two or more access exits for accessibility
- Financial info: Monthly land lease (park) applies
- HOA & community: Senior community; Community features include street lighting and sidewalks; Community heated in-ground pool (gas heated) and spa; Park-managed land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Tandem covered parking; Attached carport; Parking available in the community (Lake Park Yorba Linda)
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s); Resident manager (on-site oversight)
- Utilities: Public/district water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Telephone available in street; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable not available
- Home design: Single-story home; North-facing; Mobile home remains (24' x 61'); Turnkey condition; Double body type (multi-unit/manufactured housing)
- Construction: Aluminum exterior construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Aluminum and block skirt
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Awning; Rear enclosed wood porch/patio; Patio (wood, enclosed); Privacy, partial and stucco wall fencing; Landscaped lot; Two sheds
Interior
- Kitchen: Quartz counters; Built-in range; Gas range; Range/stove hood; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Water line to refrigerator; Water softener
- Bedrooms: Main floor primary bedroom; Main floor bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Double sinks in master bath; Vanity area; Bathtub and separate shower (walk-in shower); Shower in tub
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
- Interior features: Built-in shelves/cabinets; Insulated doors; Mirrored closet doors; Plantation shutters; Window screens; Smoke and carbon monoxide detectors; Resident manager on site; Built-in community heated in-ground spa
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $909 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $270k).
- Recommended offer: $266k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.1% in Yorba Linda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#105 in CA, #3,701 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D+, cost of living F.
- Placentia-Yorba Linda Unified (suburban): math 48% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #78 of 517 in CA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $195k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.42%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16950 Lake Park Way #7 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,472 (+0%) | 7mo | $337,000 | $229 | 93 |
| 16776 Lake Terrace Way #247 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-2%) | 2mo | $335,000 | $233 | 87 |
| 16927 Lake Ridge Way | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-2%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $177 | 86 |
| 3761 Lake Grove Dr #55 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-7%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $124 | 84 |
| 16774 Lake Tree Dr #273 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-2%) | 4mo | $344,000 | $239 | 84 |
| 16959 Lake Knoll Ln #109 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-7%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $157 | 83 |
| 3744 Lake Grove Dr #21 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $153 | 81 |
| 3708 Lake Crest Dr | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (+5%) | 6mo | $284,000 | $185 | 81 |
| 3767 Lake Glen Dr #145 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-7%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $161 | 80 |
| 16901 Lake Pleasant Ln #231 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,392 (-5%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $136 | 79 |
| 3731 Lake Side Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,358 (-7%) | 7mo | $269,000 | $198 | 77 |
| 3678 Lake Crest Dr #41 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 4mo | $355,000 | $264 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $11,584
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $74,336
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92886
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,512 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$338 /mo · $4,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$738
- Net cashflow
- $909
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Sevilla Dr Brea, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1534 | $3,800 | $2.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 17564 Orange Dr Yorba Linda, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $2,750 | $2.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 17568 Orange Dr Yorba Linda, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $2,690 | $2.56 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1441 Prospect Ave Unit B Placentia, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,150 | $2.62 | 17d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1010 E Yorba Linda Blvd Placentia, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $2,100 | $2.69 | 7d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $270,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $270,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $270,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $270,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $270,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $270,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $270,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $270,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $270,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $270,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $270,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $270,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $270,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $270,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$270,000 Active
-
2022-11-22$195,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Entered for comp purposes only. This active and peaceful 55+ community of Lake Park Yorba Linda features beautiful tree-lined streets, fishing pond, pool and spa, clubhouse, visitor parking and a host of social activities! Spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a secluded back patio. Price includes both refrigerators, washer/dryer.
-
2022-11-21soldstatus $195,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Entered for comp purposes only. This active and peaceful 55+ community of Lake Park Yorba Linda features beautiful tree-lined streets, fishing pond, pool and spa, clubhouse, visitor parking and a host of social activities! Spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a secluded back patio. Price includes both refrigerators, washer/dryer.
-
2020-07-09soldstatus $175,000 Closed Sale 1125-char remark
Show marketing remark (1125 chars)
55 + Community This is the perfect opportunity to buy this bright spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a GREAT LOCATION and a secluded patio in the back. We begin our tour of this home by entering the living room. Right away, you will notice the plantation shutters that make the home look beautiful. As we enter the home, the dining room is the first room on the right and what a lovely built-in that lights up and will hold of your china with self-closing, deep drawers. The kitchen has plenty of countertop space. The next room we enter is the living room with another spectacular built-in for the entertainment wall. This home also features extra living space with its enclosed patio that you could use as an office or craft room. As you exit that sun room, you will find your own private patio perfect for entertaining or having your first cup of coffee in the morning. The master bedroom features big, beautiful mirrored closet doors along with the shutters. The master bath is very spacious. The home has a great location in a beautiful park. Look no further, this is the home you have been looking for. Move in ready!
-
2020-06-03status Pending Sale 1125-char remark
Show marketing remark (1125 chars)
55 + Community This is the perfect opportunity to buy this bright spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a GREAT LOCATION and a secluded patio in the back. We begin our tour of this home by entering the living room. Right away, you will notice the plantation shutters that make the home look beautiful. As we enter the home, the dining room is the first room on the right and what a lovely built-in that lights up and will hold of your china with self-closing, deep drawers. The kitchen has plenty of countertop space. The next room we enter is the living room with another spectacular built-in for the entertainment wall. This home also features extra living space with its enclosed patio that you could use as an office or craft room. As you exit that sun room, you will find your own private patio perfect for entertaining or having your first cup of coffee in the morning. The master bedroom features big, beautiful mirrored closet doors along with the shutters. The master bath is very spacious. The home has a great location in a beautiful park. Look no further, this is the home you have been looking for. Move in ready!
-
2020-04-01$185,000 Active 1125-char remark
Show marketing remark (1125 chars)
55 + Community This is the perfect opportunity to buy this bright spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a GREAT LOCATION and a secluded patio in the back. We begin our tour of this home by entering the living room. Right away, you will notice the plantation shutters that make the home look beautiful. As we enter the home, the dining room is the first room on the right and what a lovely built-in that lights up and will hold of your china with self-closing, deep drawers. The kitchen has plenty of countertop space. The next room we enter is the living room with another spectacular built-in for the entertainment wall. This home also features extra living space with its enclosed patio that you could use as an office or craft room. As you exit that sun room, you will find your own private patio perfect for entertaining or having your first cup of coffee in the morning. The master bedroom features big, beautiful mirrored closet doors along with the shutters. The master bath is very spacious. The home has a great location in a beautiful park. Look no further, this is the home you have been looking for. Move in ready!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,147
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$4,050
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,372
- − Management
- −$3,372
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable income
- $7,025
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,686
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,219/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Placentia-Yorba Linda Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0630660
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,455
- Composite
- 52.1/100
- National rank
- #1622
- State rank
- #78 of 517 in CA
Livability — Yorba Linda
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #3701
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yorba Linda, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 69,429
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,704
- Household income
- $153,397
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 861.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Chinese 8% Spanish 7% Korean 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -880.71%
- Current HPI
- 375.5231
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.26%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+45.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $270,000 CRMLS
- 2022-11-22 Listed $195,000 CRMLS
- 2022-11-21 Sold (MLS) $195,000 CRMLS
- 2020-07-09 Sold (MLS) $175,000 CRMLS
- 2020-06-03 Pending — CRMLS
- 2020-04-01 Listed $185,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…