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16942 Lake Park Way #6
B- Composite 69.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$270,000

16942 Lake Park Way #6 · Yorba Linda, CA 92886
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,464 sqft · Manufactured · 28 Days on market
Built 1971 Est $271k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Entered for comp purposes only. This active and peaceful 55+ community of Lake Park Yorba Linda features beautiful tree-lined streets, fishing pond, pool and spa, clubhouse, visitor parking and a host of social activities! Spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a secluded back patio. Price includes both refrigerators, washer/dryer.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Plantation shutters
  • Upgraded appliances

Tags

SECLUDED PRIVATE PATIOPLANTATION SHUTTERSBUILT-IN CHINA CABINETUPGRADED APPLIANCESQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSKYLIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Manager approval required; Pets allowed; Access via maintained city streets; Lake on lot and fishing in community; Two or more access exits for accessibility
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease (park) applies
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Community features include street lighting and sidewalks; Community heated in-ground pool (gas heated) and spa; Park-managed land lease

Exterior

  • Parking: Tandem covered parking; Attached carport; Parking available in the community (Lake Park Yorba Linda)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s); Resident manager (on-site oversight)
  • Utilities: Public/district water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Telephone available in street; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable not available
  • Home design: Single-story home; North-facing; Mobile home remains (24' x 61'); Turnkey condition; Double body type (multi-unit/manufactured housing)
  • Construction: Aluminum exterior construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Aluminum and block skirt
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Awning; Rear enclosed wood porch/patio; Patio (wood, enclosed); Privacy, partial and stucco wall fencing; Landscaped lot; Two sheds

Interior

  • Kitchen: Quartz counters; Built-in range; Gas range; Range/stove hood; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Water line to refrigerator; Water softener
  • Bedrooms: Main floor primary bedroom; Main floor bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Double sinks in master bath; Vanity area; Bathtub and separate shower (walk-in shower); Shower in tub
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: Built-in shelves/cabinets; Insulated doors; Mirrored closet doors; Plantation shutters; Window screens; Smoke and carbon monoxide detectors; Resident manager on site; Built-in community heated in-ground spa
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $909 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $270k).
  • Recommended offer: $266k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.1% in Yorba Linda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#105 in CA, #3,701 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D+, cost of living F.
  • Placentia-Yorba Linda Unified (suburban): math 48% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #78 of 517 in CA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $195k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $265,950 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.33%
Cash-on-cash
14.42%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$270,840
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16950 Lake Park Way #7 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,472 (+0%) 7mo $337,000 $229 93
16776 Lake Terrace Way #247 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 2mo $335,000 $233 87
16927 Lake Ridge Way 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 8mo $255,000 $177 86
3761 Lake Grove Dr #55 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,368 (-7%) 2mo $170,000 $124 84
16774 Lake Tree Dr #273 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 4mo $344,000 $239 84
16959 Lake Knoll Ln #109 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,368 (-7%) 3mo $215,000 $157 83
3744 Lake Grove Dr #21 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-8%) 1mo $205,000 $153 81
3708 Lake Crest Dr 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,536 (+5%) 6mo $284,000 $185 81
3767 Lake Glen Dr #145 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,368 (-7%) 2mo $220,000 $161 80
16901 Lake Pleasant Ln #231 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,392 (-5%) 6mo $190,000 $136 79
3731 Lake Side Dr 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,358 (-7%) 7mo $269,000 $198 77
3678 Lake Crest Dr #41 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-8%) 4mo $355,000 $264 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$11,584
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$74,336
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92886

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,512 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax est. 1.5%
$338 /mo · $4,050/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$738
Net cashflow
$909

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,362
Max offer price $270,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
408 Sevilla Dr Brea, CA 2.0 2.5 1534 $3,800 $2.48 43d 1 0.69mi
17564 Orange Dr Yorba Linda, CA 2.0 2.0 1015 $2,750 $2.71 43d 1 1.18mi
17568 Orange Dr Yorba Linda, CA 2.0 1.5 1050 $2,690 $2.56 12d 1 1.19mi
1441 Prospect Ave Unit B Placentia, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $3,150 $2.62 17d 1 1.23mi
1010 E Yorba Linda Blvd Placentia, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 780 $2,100 $2.69 7d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $270,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $270,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $270,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $270,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $270,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $270,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $270,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $270,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $270,000 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $270,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $270,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $270,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $270,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $270,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-21
    listed $270,000 Active
  16. 2022-11-22
    listed $195,000 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Entered for comp purposes only. This active and peaceful 55+ community of Lake Park Yorba Linda features beautiful tree-lined streets, fishing pond, pool and spa, clubhouse, visitor parking and a host of social activities! Spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a secluded back patio. Price includes both refrigerators, washer/dryer.

  17. 2022-11-21
    soldstatus $195,000 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Entered for comp purposes only. This active and peaceful 55+ community of Lake Park Yorba Linda features beautiful tree-lined streets, fishing pond, pool and spa, clubhouse, visitor parking and a host of social activities! Spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a secluded back patio. Price includes both refrigerators, washer/dryer.

  18. 2020-07-09
    soldstatus $175,000 Closed Sale 1125-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1125 chars)

    55 + Community This is the perfect opportunity to buy this bright spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a GREAT LOCATION and a secluded patio in the back. We begin our tour of this home by entering the living room. Right away, you will notice the plantation shutters that make the home look beautiful. As we enter the home, the dining room is the first room on the right and what a lovely built-in that lights up and will hold of your china with self-closing, deep drawers. The kitchen has plenty of countertop space. The next room we enter is the living room with another spectacular built-in for the entertainment wall. This home also features extra living space with its enclosed patio that you could use as an office or craft room. As you exit that sun room, you will find your own private patio perfect for entertaining or having your first cup of coffee in the morning. The master bedroom features big, beautiful mirrored closet doors along with the shutters. The master bath is very spacious. The home has a great location in a beautiful park. Look no further, this is the home you have been looking for. Move in ready!

  19. 2020-06-03
    status Pending Sale 1125-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1125 chars)

    55 + Community This is the perfect opportunity to buy this bright spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a GREAT LOCATION and a secluded patio in the back. We begin our tour of this home by entering the living room. Right away, you will notice the plantation shutters that make the home look beautiful. As we enter the home, the dining room is the first room on the right and what a lovely built-in that lights up and will hold of your china with self-closing, deep drawers. The kitchen has plenty of countertop space. The next room we enter is the living room with another spectacular built-in for the entertainment wall. This home also features extra living space with its enclosed patio that you could use as an office or craft room. As you exit that sun room, you will find your own private patio perfect for entertaining or having your first cup of coffee in the morning. The master bedroom features big, beautiful mirrored closet doors along with the shutters. The master bath is very spacious. The home has a great location in a beautiful park. Look no further, this is the home you have been looking for. Move in ready!

  20. 2020-04-01
    listed $185,000 Active 1125-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1125 chars)

    55 + Community This is the perfect opportunity to buy this bright spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a GREAT LOCATION and a secluded patio in the back. We begin our tour of this home by entering the living room. Right away, you will notice the plantation shutters that make the home look beautiful. As we enter the home, the dining room is the first room on the right and what a lovely built-in that lights up and will hold of your china with self-closing, deep drawers. The kitchen has plenty of countertop space. The next room we enter is the living room with another spectacular built-in for the entertainment wall. This home also features extra living space with its enclosed patio that you could use as an office or craft room. As you exit that sun room, you will find your own private patio perfect for entertaining or having your first cup of coffee in the morning. The master bedroom features big, beautiful mirrored closet doors along with the shutters. The master bath is very spacious. The home has a great location in a beautiful park. Look no further, this is the home you have been looking for. Move in ready!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,147
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$4,050
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,372
− Management
−$3,372
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable income
$7,025
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,686
After-tax cash flow
$9,219/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Placentia-Yorba Linda Unified
NCES district ID
0630660
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$87,455
Composite
52.1/100
National rank
#1622
State rank
#78 of 517 in CA

Livability — Yorba Linda

Score
76/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#3701

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yorba Linda, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
69,429
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
49,704
Household income
$153,397
Rent vs Own
16.9% rent · 83.1% own
Severe rent burden
861.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
22% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Chinese 8% Spanish 7% Korean 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -880.71%
Current HPI
375.5231
Rent YoY
▲ 2.26%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $270,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-11-22 Listed $195,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-11-21 Sold (MLS) $195,000 CRMLS
  • 2020-07-09 Sold (MLS) $175,000 CRMLS
  • 2020-06-03 Pending CRMLS
  • 2020-04-01 Listed $185,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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