166 Park St · Jamestown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WOW, what a pretty roomy 3 bedroom 1 1/2 bath home sized at 1695'. It is maintenance fee with replacement vinyl windows, vinyl siding and a two tier deck. The deck edges a nice sized pool and the lower deck is used for summer relaxination facing a large completely fenced in backyard. Large backyards like this are hard to find in the city. Look at the size of these rooms. .. the bedroom upstairs is 10x20, has a skylight with two beds, one bing in a private acove. An office area at the top of the stairs is a nice plus. A sunroom/dining room off the kitchen faces the backyard with big bright windows. A door exits from the sunroom onto the backyard deck and pool. Perfect hardwood floors upstairs and newer laminate floors down.
Key facts
- Near schools
- Spacious deck
- Near parks
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Resale property
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with electricity; 1 garage space
- Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Covered porch; Open porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating; Electric heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Solid surface counters; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in basement; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($683/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 16.8% in Jamestown — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Milton J Fletcher Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 530 students, 74% FRL); Persell Middle School (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #539 of 729 statewide, top 74%, 417 students, 73% FRL); Jamestown High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,315 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 60% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 51% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Jamestown City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $125k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.95%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,254
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -15.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 326 Hazzard St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,720 (+2%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $87 | 76 |
| 24 Raymond St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,686 (-0%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $98 | 75 |
| 352 S Main St | 0.20mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,858 (+10%) | 5mo | $18,000 | $10 | 63 |
| 440 Superior St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,600 (-6%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $69 | 62 |
| 140 Barrett Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (-5%) | 6mo | $39,900 | $25 | 60 |
| 135 S Main St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,580 (-7%) | 1mo | $63,000 | $40 | 58 |
| 38 Douglas Pl | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,743 (+3%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $49 | 58 |
| 80 Chambers St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,599 (-6%) | 7mo | $169,900 | $106 | 58 |
| 126 Crown St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,496 (-12%) | 6mo | $106,500 | $71 | 52 |
| 9 Stearns Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,443 (-15%) | 3mo | $13,500 | $9 | 51 |
| 60 W Virginia Blvd | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,469 (-13%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $99 | 50 |
| 194 Hazeltine Ave | 0.49mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,488 (-12%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $84 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-16,512
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-9,291
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14701
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 315
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,337 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$292 /mo · $3,509/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $57
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $128 | -5% $92 | +0% $57 | +5% $22 | +10% $-14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-49 | -5% $4 | +0% $57 | +5% $110 | +10% $163 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $120 | -0.5pp $89 | base $57 | +0.5pp $25 | +1.0pp $-8 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148 Maple St Jamestown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,350 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 654-char remark
-
2026-05-07$124,900 Active 654-char remark
-
2012-07-11soldstatus $65,500 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
WOW, what a pretty roomy 3 bedroom 1 1/2 bath home sized at 1695'. It is maintenance fee with replacement vinyl windows, vinyl siding and a two tier deck. The deck edges a nice sized pool and the lower deck is used for summer relaxination facing a large completely fenced in backyard. Large backyards like this are hard to find in the city. Look at the size of these rooms. .. the bedroom upstairs is 10x20, has a skylight with two beds, one bing in a private acove. An office area at the top of the stairs is a nice plus. A sunroom/dining room off the kitchen faces the backyard with big bright windows. A door exits from the sunroom onto the backyard deck and pool. Perfect hardwood floors upstairs and newer laminate floors down.
-
2012-07-09soldstatus $65,500
-
2012-01-27$73,000 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
WOW, what a pretty roomy 3 bedroom 1 1/2 bath home sized at 1695'. It is maintenance fee with replacement vinyl windows, vinyl siding and a two tier deck. The deck edges a nice sized pool and the lower deck is used for summer relaxination facing a large completely fenced in backyard. Large backyards like this are hard to find in the city. Look at the size of these rooms. .. the bedroom upstairs is 10x20, has a skylight with two beds, one bing in a private acove. An office area at the top of the stairs is a nice plus. A sunroom/dining room off the kitchen faces the backyard with big bright windows. A door exits from the sunroom onto the backyard deck and pool. Perfect hardwood floors upstairs and newer laminate floors down.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,509 · $292/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,509 · $292/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,045
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$3,509
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,284
- − Management
- −$1,284
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable loss
- −$1,285
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$308
- After-tax cash flow
- $991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jamestown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615630
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,240
- Composite
- 30.69/100
- National rank
- #6176
- State rank
- #553 of 590 in NY
Livability — Jamestown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #8213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jamestown, NY
- County
- Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
- City population
- 38,461
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,461
- Household income
- $49,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,454 people
- By 2030
- 118,509 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 107,311 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 96,703 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 76,757 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 60,984 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.93%
- Current HPI
- 259.402
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+71.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2012-07-11 Sold (MLS) $65,500 UNYREIS
- 2012-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,500 Public Records
- 2012-01-27 Listed $73,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,509 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…