372 Roosevelt Blvd · Lexington-Fayette, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
For comparative purposes only
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Great location
- Investment property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot recorded as approximately 0.0884 acres; Building area reported as 968 (unit not displayed)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-story house
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Composition roof; Built as a house (structure type)
- Exterior features: Chain link and wood fencing; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Range; Exterior entry unfinished basement; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fayette County (urban): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #27 of 165 in KY (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Booker T Washington Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #607 of 676 statewide, top 91%, 313 students, 83% FRL); Winburn Middle School (math 26% / reading 36%, grade F, #138 of 217 statewide, top 65%, 800 students, 66% FRL); Paul Laurence Dunbar High School (math 51% / reading 49%, grade D+, #12 of 254 statewide, top 4%, 1,946 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 44% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.8%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,036 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (542 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,381/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2644% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $115k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.27%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,272
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 430 Lindberg Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 920 (-5%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $185 | 78 |
| 457 Lindberg Dr | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 1,044 (+8%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $158 | 74 |
| 448 Price Rd | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+10%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $188 | 69 |
| 459 Erie Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 952 (-2%) | 3mo | $193,500 | $203 | 64 |
| 869 Whitney Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 893 (-8%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $78 | 63 |
| 962 Waverly Dr | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 900 (-7%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $221 | 62 |
| 915 Whitney Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,030 (+6%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $112 | 60 |
| 557 Haskins Dr | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 1,080 (+12%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $93 | 57 |
| 481 Dominican Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (-4%) | 10mo | $166,000 | $179 | 56 |
| 1455 Townley Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+4%) | 4mo | $251,000 | $249 | 52 |
| 806 Charles Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 882 (-9%) | 17mo | $94,000 | $107 | 48 |
| 837 Whitney Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+13%) | 14mo | $70,000 | $64 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $14,711
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $79,431
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40508
- Rents YoY
- 11.8%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,381 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $362/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $410
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $475 | -5% $442 | +0% $410 | +5% $377 | +10% $345 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $301 | -5% $355 | +0% $410 | +5% $464 | +10% $519 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $468 | -0.5pp $439 | base $410 | +0.5pp $380 | +1.0pp $350 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Roosevelt Blvd Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,495 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 723 Charles Ave Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 330 Newtown Pike Lexington, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $1,205 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 345 Blackburn Ave Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 946 | $1,925 | $2.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 301 Thompson Rd Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,450 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 208 Clyde St Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $1,100 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 547 N Broadway #2 Lexington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,000 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 832 W High St Unit 1 Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 325 W 6th St Lexington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 222 W Sixth St Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 115 W Loudon Ave Unit L97 Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $980 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1072 Hudson Ave Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,450 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-02-18$115,000 Active
-
2019-10-01soldstatus $34,000
-
2019-09-23soldstatus $30,000 Sold 29-char remark
Show marketing remark (29 chars)
For comparative purposes only
-
2019-06-14$30,000 Active 29-char remark
Show marketing remark (29 chars)
For comparative purposes only
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $362 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $989 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$627/yr (+$52/mo · 173.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,571
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$362
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,326
- − Management
- −$1,326
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $3,195
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$767
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,150/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County
- NCES district ID
- 2101860
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,245
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5211
- State rank
- #27 of 165 in KY
Livability — Lexington-Fayette
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- County
- Fayette County · 317,143 people
- City population
- 321,882
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,756
- Household income
- $29,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2644.0
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 363,454 people
- By 2030
- 388,270 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 438,688 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 490,667 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 625,394 · +72.1%
- By 2100
- 721,354 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.1) · D 58.0% · R 39.9% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.3pp toward D · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: 18.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.1 2020: D+20.8 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.04%
- Current HPI
- 204.3994
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.83%
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+283.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Listed $115,000 ImagineMLS
- 2019-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-23 Sold (MLS) $30,000 ImagineMLS
- 2019-06-14 Listed $30,000 ImagineMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…