None · Myers Corner, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WHY RENT WHEN YOU CAN OWN?! Beautifully updated manufactured home with serene views in a community. Well maintained and thoughtfully updated home with gorgeous sunset views overlooking a nearby public park. Enjoy evenings under open skies from your full front porch. This home boasts plenty of space with a ranch style layout that includes three bedrooms with full closets, two full bathrooms, full laundry room, dining room, kitchen, and spacious living room that completes the open concept floor plan. Many upgrades have been made: new shed 2020, new roof 2023, new furnace 2023, primary bedroom flooring 2025, primary bath new toilet, vanity, bath/shower 2020, guest bath new vanity and toilet 20
Key facts
- New furnace
- Ranch style layout
- Full front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Dutchess County
- HOA & community: Monthly lot rent of $750
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (no carport)
- Utilities: Septic tank; Cable available; Public trash collection; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured house; Mobile home; Updated/remodeled condition
- Construction: Living area reported as 1320; Living area source: Other
- Exterior features: Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Includes a first-floor bedroom
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air heating
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Cathedral ceilings; Eat-in kitchen; Open floor plan
- Laundry & utility: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $245k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
- Recommended offer: $241k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 2.9% in Myers Corner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#511 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Wappingers Central School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #207 of 590 in NY (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Sheafe Road Elementary School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #1,277 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 575 students, 38% FRL); Wappingers Junior High School (math 30% / reading 54%, grade D-, #379 of 729 statewide, top 54%, 735 students, 36% FRL); Roy C Ketcham Senior High School (math 90% / reading 92%, grade A+, #203 of 1,100 statewide, top 20%, 1,612 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 35% FRL vs 15% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.72%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-25,783
- Equity at exit
- $36,515
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-27,368
- Equity at exit
- $21,174
Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12590
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,135 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,284
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$306 /mo · $3,674/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$658
- Net cashflow
- $358
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $527 | -5% $442 | +0% $358 | +5% $273 | +10% $188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $110 | -5% $234 | +0% $358 | +5% $481 | +10% $605 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $481 | -0.5pp $420 | base $358 | +0.5pp $294 | +1.0pp $230 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,225
- Closing costs
- $7,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Louise Ln Unit 2 Hopewell Junction, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $4,200 | $2.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $244,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $244,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $244,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $244,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $244,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $244,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $244,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $244,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $244,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $244,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $244,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $244,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $244,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $244,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-25$244,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,620
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,718
- − Property taxes
- −$3,674
- − Insurance
- −$6,343
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,010
- − Management
- −$3,010
- − Depreciation
- −$7,124
- Taxable income
- $742
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$178
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,114/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This beautifully updated manufactured home offers a serene setting with a well-maintained exterior and interior. It's move-in ready with recent updates and a good condition score.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both exterior paint — refreshes the home's appearance
- Both new flooring in living areas — improves aesthetics and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both exterior paint — refreshes the home's appearance ↑
- Both new flooring in living areas — improves aesthetics and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wappingers Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629880
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,184
- Composite
- 53.38/100
- National rank
- #1474
- State rank
- #207 of 590 in NY
Livability — Myers Corner
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #511
- US rank
- #9062
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Myers Corner, NY
- County
- Dutchess County · 188,048 people
- City population
- 35,823
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,712
- Household income
- $102,285
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 786.0
Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 291,768 people
- By 2030
- 287,131 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 274,881 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 259,971 · -10.9%
- By 2075
- 235,366 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 208,786 · -28.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -411.49%
- Current HPI
- 255.2764
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.08%
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $244,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…