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B- Composite 68.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$244,900

None · Myers Corner, NY 12590
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · Manufactured · 23 Days on market
Built 1988 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

WHY RENT WHEN YOU CAN OWN?! Beautifully updated manufactured home with serene views in a community. Well maintained and thoughtfully updated home with gorgeous sunset views overlooking a nearby public park. Enjoy evenings under open skies from your full front porch. This home boasts plenty of space with a ranch style layout that includes three bedrooms with full closets, two full bathrooms, full laundry room, dining room, kitchen, and spacious living room that completes the open concept floor plan. Many upgrades have been made: new shed 2020, new roof 2023, new furnace 2023, primary bedroom flooring 2025, primary bath new toilet, vanity, bath/shower 2020, guest bath new vanity and toilet 20

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Ranch style layout
  • Full front porch

Tags

FULL FRONT PORCHRANCH STYLE LAYOUTOPEN CONCEPT FLOOR PLANNEW SHEDNEW ROOFNEW FURNACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Dutchess County
  • HOA & community: Monthly lot rent of $750

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no carport)
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Cable available; Public trash collection; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured house; Mobile home; Updated/remodeled condition
  • Construction: Living area reported as 1320; Living area source: Other
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Includes a first-floor bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air heating
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Cathedral ceilings; Eat-in kitchen; Open floor plan
  • Laundry & utility: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $245k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
  • Recommended offer: $241k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 2.9% in Myers Corner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#511 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Wappingers Central School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #207 of 590 in NY (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Sheafe Road Elementary School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #1,277 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 575 students, 38% FRL); Wappingers Junior High School (math 30% / reading 54%, grade D-, #379 of 729 statewide, top 54%, 735 students, 36% FRL); Roy C Ketcham Senior High School (math 90% / reading 92%, grade A+, #203 of 1,100 statewide, top 20%, 1,612 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 35% FRL vs 15% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $241,226 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.14%
Cash-on-cash
13.72%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-25,783
Equity at exit
$36,515
10-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-27,368
Equity at exit
$21,174

Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12590

Rents YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
205
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,135 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,284
Tax est. 1.5%
$306 /mo · $3,674/yr
Insurance
$102
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$658
Net cashflow
$358

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,682
Max offer price $244,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $527 -5% $442 +0% $358 +5% $273 +10% $188
Rent -10% $110 -5% $234 +0% $358 +5% $481 +10% $605
Rate -1.0pp $481 -0.5pp $420 base $358 +0.5pp $294 +1.0pp $230

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,225
Closing costs
$7,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
32 Louise Ln Unit 2 Hopewell Junction, NY 3.0 2.0 1800 $4,200 $2.33 14d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $244,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $244,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $244,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $244,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $244,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $244,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $244,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $244,900 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $244,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $244,900 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $244,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $244,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $244,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $244,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-25
    listed $244,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,620
− Mortgage interest
−$13,718
− Property taxes
−$3,674
− Insurance
−$6,343
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,010
− Management
−$3,010
− Depreciation
−$7,124
Taxable income
$742
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$178
After-tax cash flow
$4,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully updated manufactured home offers a serene setting with a well-maintained exterior and interior. It's move-in ready with recent updates and a good condition score.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both exterior paint — refreshes the home's appearance
  • Both new flooring in living areas — improves aesthetics and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both exterior paint — refreshes the home's appearance
  • Both new flooring in living areas — improves aesthetics and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wappingers Central School District
NCES district ID
3629880
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$83,184
Composite
53.38/100
National rank
#1474
State rank
#207 of 590 in NY

Livability — Myers Corner

Score
69/100
State rank
#511
US rank
#9062

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Myers Corner, NY
County
Dutchess County · 188,048 people
City population
35,823
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
Population (ZIP)
35,712
Household income
$102,285
Rent vs Own
30.5% rent · 69.5% own
Severe rent burden
786.0

Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
291,768 people
By 2030
287,131 · -1.6%
By 2040
274,881 · -5.8%
By 2050
259,971 · -10.9%
By 2075
235,366 · -19.3%
By 2100
208,786 · -28.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -411.49%
Current HPI
255.2764
Rent YoY
▼ -1.08%
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $244,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…