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426 Hamilton St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,000

426 Hamilton St · Harrisburg, PA 17102
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 138 Days on market
Built 1885 436 sqft lot $95/sqft · 42% below area Est $208k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity, long-term tenant occupied, Section 8 approved property. Tenant pays own electric. Owner pays water, sewer, trash. Schedule a showing today! No sign on property.

Key facts

  • Built 1885
  • Listed 137 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $134,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$208,045) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 60 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $134k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.11%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$208,045
List price
$134,000
Delta
-35.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
323 Peffer St 0.28mi 4/1.0 1,422 (+1%) 6mo $80,000 $56 80
2136 Susquehanna St 0.50mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,372 (-2%) 3mo $167,500 $122 64
1732 Fulton St 0.06mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,250 (-11%) 20mo $150,000 $120 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$4,506
Equity at exit
$19,980
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$43,858
Equity at exit
$11,586

Cash invested: $37,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17102

Home prices YoY
-3.9%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,604 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$703
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,564/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$379

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,125
Max offer price $134,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $454 -5% $416 +0% $379 +5% $341 +10% $303
Rent -10% $252 -5% $315 +0% $379 +5% $442 +10% $505
Rate -1.0pp $446 -0.5pp $413 base $379 +0.5pp $344 +1.0pp $308

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,500
Closing costs
$4,020
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1841 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1376 $1,399 $1.02 24d 1 0.18mi
1841 N 3rd St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1376 $1,399 $1.02 15d 1 0.21mi
640 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1294 $1,650 $1.28 44d 1 0.23mi
644 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1294 $1,295 $1.00 44d 1 0.23mi
1834 Green St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1792 $1,495 $0.83 24d 1 0.28mi
2042 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1090 $1,400 $1.28 44d 1 0.35mi
2032 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1600 $1,595 $1.00 44d 1 0.38mi
2118 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1383 $1,595 $1.15 44d 1 0.43mi
1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1706 $1,495 $0.88 44d 1 0.48mi
2153 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1620 $1,995 $1.23 44d 1 0.54mi
2235 Logan St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1406 $1,495 $1.06 44d 1 0.56mi
918 Grand St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.5 890 $1,450 $1.63 44d 1 0.57mi
339 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.5 1420 $1,650 $1.16 15d 1 0.60mi
919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 2.0 1458 $1,795 $1.23 24d 1 0.61mi
652 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 1.0 1550 $1,740 $1.12 44d 1 0.64mi
2406 Reel St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,395 $0.93 44d 1 0.74mi
514 Radnor St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1498 $1,600 $1.07 44d 1 0.97mi
2615 Waldo St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,095 $0.78 44d 1 1.02mi
2715 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1620 $1,650 $1.02 15d 1 1.11mi
21 Summit St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 15d 1 1.12mi
2728 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1786 $1,750 $0.98 15d 1 1.14mi
1251 Bailey St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 44d 1 1.18mi
1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1423 $1,995 $1.40 44d 1 1.19mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,600 $1.81 44d 1 1.21mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $3,000 $2.09 15d 10 1.21mi
1517 Walnut St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,150 $0.98 44d 1 1.22mi
616 N Front St Lemoyne, PA 3.0 1.0 1408 $1,650 $1.17 44d 1 1.25mi
2801 N 2nd St Apt A2 Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,495 $1.25 44d 1 1.25mi
111 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 1.0 1800 $1,850 $1.03 15d 1 1.29mi
1139 Mulberry St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0 900 $1,185 $1.32 44d 1 1.30mi
200 S Court St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 950 $1,800 $1.89 15d 14 1.31mi
66 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 2.0 1845 $2,195 $1.19 44d 1 1.33mi
29 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 1.0 1285 $1,895 $1.47 24d 1 1.40mi
400 W Crestwood Dr Camp Hill, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1042 $2,071 $1.99 15d 14 1.42mi
3003 Pennwood Rd Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 15d 1 1.42mi
52 N 18th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 15d 1 1.43mi
331 Hummel St Unit B Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1590 $1,800 $1.13 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,000 Active 138 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,000 Active 135 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,000 Active 134 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,000 Active 133 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,000 Active 132 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $134,000 Active 130 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,000 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $134,000 Active 127 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,000 Active 126 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,000 Active 125 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,000 Active 124 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,000 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,000 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,000 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,000 Active 117 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,000 Active 116 DOM
  17. 2026-02-04
    listed $134,000 Active 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Great investment opportunity, long-term tenant occupied, Section 8 approved property. Tenant pays own electric. Owner pays water, sewer, trash. Schedule a showing today! No sign on property.

  18. 2026-02-04
    historical $134,000 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Great investment opportunity, long-term tenant occupied, Section 8 approved property. Tenant pays own electric. Owner pays water, sewer, trash. Schedule a showing today! No sign on property.

  19. 2020-10-28
    soldstatus $80,000
  20. 2009-12-21
    soldstatus $24,000 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    Bank Owned, row home in area of city experiencing a rebirth. New town homes surround the subject. Property is an excellent value for an investor to renovate or flip.

  21. 2009-12-01
    historical 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    Bank Owned, row home in area of city experiencing a rebirth. New town homes surround the subject. Property is an excellent value for an investor to renovate or flip.

  22. 2009-11-25
    listed $19,900 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    Bank Owned, row home in area of city experiencing a rebirth. New town homes surround the subject. Property is an excellent value for an investor to renovate or flip.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,564 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,841 · $153/mo
Expected delta
+$276/yr (+$23/mo · 17.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 40% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,252
− Mortgage interest
−$7,506
− Property taxes
−$1,564
− Insurance
−$670
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,540
− Management
−$1,540
− Depreciation
−$3,898
Taxable income
$2,533
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$608
After-tax cash flow
$3,934/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrisburg City SD
NCES district ID
4211580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,432
Composite
7.6/100
National rank
#9945
State rank
#535 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#826

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrisburg, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
184,296
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,118
Household income
$54,573
Rent vs Own
68.5% rent · 31.5% own
Severe rent burden
720.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.43%
Current HPI
451.4739
Rent YoY
▲ 4.29%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+573.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $134,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-04 Coming Soon $134,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2009-12-21 Sold (MLS) $24,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-12-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-11-25 Listed $19,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,564 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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