914 Lincoln Dr · South Charleston, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
So cute! 3 bedrooms, large living room, nice dining room. 1 full and 2 half baths. Lower level bonus room. Fenced yard 1 carg garage.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- 1/4 acre lot
- 0.24 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Parking pad; 1 garage space
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Plaster, stone, and stucco construction
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Composition/shingle roof
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 2 half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (other type)
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $438 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 4.8% in South Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#58 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bridgeview Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #350 of 377 statewide, top 95%, 421 students, 0% FRL); South Charleston High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #42 of 110 statewide, top 47%, 952 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.74%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,760
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 969 Lincoln Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,664 (+0%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $90 | 84 |
| 1214 Village Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,676 (+1%) | 1mo | $228,000 | $136 | 79 |
| 902 Mound Ave | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,638 (-1%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $128 | 76 |
| 832 Allview Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,840 (+11%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $117 | 73 |
| 1107 E Village Dr | 0.27mi | 3/3.0 | 1,584 (-5%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $139 | 72 |
| 929 Upton Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,598 (-4%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $147 | 71 |
| 896 Upton Dr | 0.17mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,510 (-9%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $159 | 65 |
| 1119 Ivywood Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,690 (+2%) | 7mo | $262,000 | $155 | 62 |
| 1322 West Virginia Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,612 (-3%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $81 | 53 |
| 127 Margy Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-6%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $185 | 53 |
| 5103 Indiana St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,484 (-11%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $101 | 50 |
| 1335 West Virginia Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,603 (-3%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $109 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $15,070
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $49,025
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25309
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $917/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $438
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $482 | -5% $460 | +0% $438 | +5% $415 | +10% $393 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $341 | -5% $389 | +0% $438 | +5% $486 | +10% $534 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $477 | -0.5pp $458 | base $438 | +0.5pp $417 | +1.0pp $396 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-02$79,000 Active
-
2019-06-24soldstatus $124,000
-
2019-06-13soldstatus $124,000 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
So cute! 3 bedrooms, large living room, nice dining room. 1 full and 2 half baths. Lower level bonus room. Fenced yard 1 carg garage.
-
2019-03-27$124,500 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
So cute! 3 bedrooms, large living room, nice dining room. 1 full and 2 half baths. Lower level bonus room. Fenced yard 1 carg garage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $917 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $917 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$917
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,168
- − Management
- −$1,168
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $4,228
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,015
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,236/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kanawha County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400600
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,329
- Composite
- 29.35/100
- National rank
- #6540
- State rank
- #17 of 55 in WV
Livability — South Charleston
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #6993
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Charleston, WV
- City population
- 6,987
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,144
Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,946 people
- By 2030
- 172,906 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 159,874 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 148,148 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 123,257 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 96,454 · -46.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Black 7% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.49%
- Current HPI
- 183.4559
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-36.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — KVBOR
- 2026-05-02 Listed $79,000 KVBOR
- 2019-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $124,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-13 Sold (MLS) $124,000 KVBOR
- 2019-03-27 Listed $124,500 KVBOR
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $917 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…