14808 James Ave · Maple Heights, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Classic Maple Heights 3 bedroom 1 bathroom ranch. Move in and enjoy or hold as a rental. Nicely sized eat-in kitchen and living room. Hardwoods in the bedrooms. Full size basement for plenty of storage and one car detached garage for off-street parking and/or additional storage. Easy to view!
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1970
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#470 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
- Maple Heights City (suburban): math 14% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #630 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $140k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.03%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $169,120
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5948 Dunham Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,072 (-4%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $131 | 78 |
| 13804 Rockside Rd | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,173 (+5%) | 2mo | $164,500 | $140 | 71 |
| 14214 Tabor Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (-2%) | 3mo | $166,000 | $152 | 71 |
| 15413 Shirley Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,153 (+3%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $156 | 67 |
| 15405 Turney Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (-2%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $151 | 66 |
| 15817 Northwood Ave | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,159 (+4%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $134 | 62 |
| 15513 Walvern Blvd | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+4%) | 2mo | $97,000 | $83 | 62 |
| 14619 Tokay Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (+10%) | 3mo | $148,500 | $121 | 62 |
| 13513 York Blvd | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,170 (+4%) | 1mo | $185,900 | $159 | 56 |
| 15800 Steinway Blvd | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,073 (-4%) | 3mo | $246,000 | $229 | 54 |
| 13217 Havana Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (+8%) | 3mo | $132,000 | $109 | 52 |
| 6425 Farmington Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (+9%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $159 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,407
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $50,528
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44137
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Rents YoY
- 14.8%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,643 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$342 /mo · $4,102/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $164
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $243 | -5% $204 | +0% $164 | +5% $125 | +10% $85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $34 | -5% $99 | +0% $164 | +5% $229 | +10% $294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $235 | -0.5pp $200 | base $164 | +0.5pp $128 | +1.0pp $91 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14509 Rockside Rd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 15312 Ramage Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 14100 Brunswick Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1157 | $1,475 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 14519 Tokay Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $1,325 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 16011 Maplewood Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,300 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 16224 Maplewood Ct Maple Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,550 | $1.67 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 15409 Benhoff Dr Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,800 | $2.47 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 14205 Corridon Ave Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1236 | $1,650 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 13776 Shady Oak Blvd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5973 Turney Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $1,425 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 12808 Havana Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,350 | $1.28 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 681 Turney Rd Bedford, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 681 Turney Rd Bedford, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 795 | $1,500 | $1.89 | 20d | 13 | 0.89mi |
| 12918 Eastwood Blvd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,295 | $1.11 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5627 Jefferson Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,250 | $1.10 | 8d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5445 Lee Rd Unit 6-R Maple Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,299 | $1.62 | 8d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5554 Dalewood Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5270 Beech Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1401 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 17d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 12211 Woodward Blvd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 11d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 12214 Shady Oak Blvd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 601 W Glendale St Bedford, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,197 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 16914 Maple Heights Blvd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,425 | $1.18 | 11d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5461 Clement Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5461 Clement Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 17204 Mapleboro Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 17206 Mapleboro Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,325 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5200 Miller Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 3d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5223 Paine Ave Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5283 E 133rd St Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,495 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-03-07status Pending
-
2026-03-03status Active
-
2026-01-12status Pending
-
2026-01-08price $139,900
-
2025-12-16$159,900 Active
-
2008-10-14soldstatus $75,000
-
2008-09-18historical
-
2007-03-20$89,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,102 · $342/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,102 · $342/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,715
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$4,102
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,577
- − Management
- −$1,577
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$147
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$35
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,005/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maple Heights City
- NCES district ID
- 3904430
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,856
- Composite
- 16.39/100
- National rank
- #9197
- State rank
- #630 of 656 in OH
Livability — Maple Heights
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #7818
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maple Heights, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 23,285
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,285
- Household income
- $53,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 971.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% White 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.37%
- Current HPI
- 164.4326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.82%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+57.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-03 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-01-12 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $139,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-12-16 Listed $159,900 MLSNOW
- 2008-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2008-09-18 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2007-03-20 Listed $89,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,102 · -8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…