517 Elliot Dr SE · Grand Meadow, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
$164,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2005 multi-level is located in new development, close to school, has 4 bedrooms, 1 bath and 24x24 2 car garage. Cathedral ceilings on main level over look the large open floor plan. All appliances including washer & dryer! Lower level ready to finish for family room and additional space. Wtih a small amount of work could have 2nd bathroom partially done. G... (see supplement for full remarks)
Key facts
- Concrete porch
- Hot tub
- Open concept
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $164k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-275 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (29.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (32.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#320 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Grand Meadow Public School District (rural): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #239 of 301 in MN (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Grand Meadow Elementary (math 74% / reading 54%, grade B, #130 of 857 statewide, top 18%, 173 students, 32% FRL); Grand Meadow Middle (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #225 of 258 statewide, top 89%, 133 students, 34% FRL); Grand Meadow Senior High (math 30% / reading 54%, grade F, #220 of 471 statewide, top 47%, 139 students, 32% FRL).
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Mower County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $123k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.18%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $71,833
- Equity at exit
- $147,744
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.91×
- Total profit
- $225,351
- Equity at exit
- $318,616
Cash invested: $45,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55936
- Home prices YoY
- 12.2%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$860
- Tax from tax record
- −$215 /mo · $2,584/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $-275
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-182 | -5% $-228 | +0% $-275 | +5% $-321 | +10% $-368 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-362 | -5% $-318 | +0% $-275 | +5% $-231 | +10% $-188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-192 | -0.5pp $-233 | base $-275 | +0.5pp $-317 | +1.0pp $-361 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,000
- Closing costs
- $4,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-20status Active
-
2026-02-17$164,000 Active
-
2018-12-12historical 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
This 2005 multi-level is located in new development, close to school, has 4 bedrooms, 1 bath and 24x24 2 car garage. Cathedral ceilings on main level over look the large open floor plan. All appliances including washer & dryer! Lower level ready to finish for family room and additional space. Wtih a small amount of work could have 2nd bathroom partially done. G... (see supplement for full remarks)
-
2008-08-06soldstatus $123,000 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
This 2005 multi-level is located in new development, close to school, has 4 bedrooms, 1 bath and 24x24 2 car garage. Cathedral ceilings on main level over look the large open floor plan. All appliances including washer & dryer! Lower level ready to finish
-
2008-08-06soldstatus $123,000 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
This 2005 multi-level is located in new development, close to school, has 4 bedrooms, 1 bath and 24x24 2 car garage. Cathedral ceilings on main level over look the large open floor plan. All appliances including washer & dryer! Lower level ready to finish
-
2007-08-29$119,900 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
This 2005 multi-level is located in new development, close to school, has 4 bedrooms, 1 bath and 24x24 2 car garage. Cathedral ceilings on main level over look the large open floor plan. All appliances including washer & dryer! Lower level ready to finish
-
2007-08-29$119,900 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
This 2005 multi-level is located in new development, close to school, has 4 bedrooms, 1 bath and 24x24 2 car garage. Cathedral ceilings on main level over look the large open floor plan. All appliances including washer & dryer! Lower level ready to finish
-
2007-08-07soldstatus $131,910
-
2006-04-28soldstatus $116,982
-
2005-03-11soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,584 · $215/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,584 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,197
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,187
- − Property taxes
- −$2,584
- − Insurance
- −$820
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$4,771
- Taxable loss
- −$6,276
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,506
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,793/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Meadow Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2713140
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,026
- Composite
- 32.0/100
- National rank
- #5832
- State rank
- #239 of 301 in MN
Livability — Grand Meadow
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #320
- US rank
- #7163
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Meadow, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,763
Population outlook (Mower County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,967 people
- By 2030
- 40,204 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 40,509 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 40,841 · +2.2%
- By 2075
- 42,029 · +5.2%
- By 2100
- 42,272 · +5.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 23% Romanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mower
- 2024 margin
- R (+10.5) · D 43.9% · R 54.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.1pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: -10.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.5 2020: R+5.8 2016: R+7.8 2012: D+22.7 2008: D+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 29.67%
- Current HPI
- 273.2614
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+446.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-17 Listed $164,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-12 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-06 Sold (MLS) $123,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-06 Sold (MLS) $123,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-08-29 Listed $119,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-08-29 Listed $119,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $131,910 Public Records
- 2006-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $116,982 Public Records
- 2005-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,584 · -27.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…