37407 Branch Ave · Dade City North, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$219,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
Key facts
- Light filled layout
- Ample cabinet space
- 8,250 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead Exemption; Zoning: R4; Lot about 0.19 acres (0 to less than 1/4 acre)
- HOA & community: No HOA/association indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Home faces east; Residential property
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built area approximately 1,562 sq ft
- Exterior features: Outdoor lighting; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (14.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $188k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#849 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Rodney B. Cox Elementary School (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,080 of 2,144 statewide, top 97%, 428 students, 97% FRL); Pasco High School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,639 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 48% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 295 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.19%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $213,180
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15306 16th St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,089 (-4%) | 7mo | $253,000 | $232 | 76 |
| 16012 Chieftain Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,074 (-6%) | 19mo | $240,000 | $223 | 48 |
| 15301 16th St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+14%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $131 | 47 |
| 14806 Dade | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,252 (+10%) | 21mo | $80,000 | $64 | 34 |
| 37302 Marshall Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,256 (+10%) | 21mo | $235,000 | $187 | 30 |
| 37404 Fiesta Dr | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 976 (-14%) | 23mo | $110,000 | $113 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $129,843
- Equity at exit
- $197,743
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.09×
- Total profit
- $374,010
- Equity at exit
- $426,440
Cash invested: $61,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33523
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 295
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,877 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,151
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $926/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $163
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $287 | -5% $225 | +0% $163 | +5% $101 | +10% $39 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $15 | -5% $89 | +0% $163 | +5% $237 | +10% $311 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $274 | -0.5pp $219 | base $163 | +0.5pp $106 | +1.0pp $48 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,875
- Closing costs
- $6,585
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14635 State St Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,761 | $1.69 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 37802 Whitehouse Ave Dade City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,150 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 37540 Martin Luther King Blvd Unit A Dade City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,200 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 37329 Magnolia Ave Unit 1234471P Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $3,391 | $2.79 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 14907 Lucca Way Unit 1 Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $2,100 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,500 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $219,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $219,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $227,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $227,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $227,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $227,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $227,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $227,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $227,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $227,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-22status Active 1039-char remark
Show marketing remark (1011 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
-
2026-05-22status Active
Show marketing remark (1011 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
-
2026-05-22status Active 1011-char remark
Show marketing remark (1011 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
-
2026-05-17status Pending 1011-char remark
Show marketing remark (1039 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
-
2026-05-17status Pending 1039-char remark
Show marketing remark (1039 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
-
2026-05-17status Pending
Show marketing remark (1039 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
-
2026-05-12price $227,500 1011-char remark
Show marketing remark (1039 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
-
2026-05-12price $227,500 1039-char remark
Show marketing remark (1039 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
-
2026-05-12price $227,500
Show marketing remark (1039 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
-
2026-04-01$231,500 Active 1039-char remark
Show marketing remark (1011 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
-
2026-04-01$231,500 Active
Show marketing remark (1011 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
-
2026-04-01$231,500 Active 1011-char remark
Show marketing remark (1011 chars)
Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $926 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,822 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$895/yr (+$75/mo · 96.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,295
- − Property taxes
- −$926
- − Insurance
- −$1,098
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,802
- − Management
- −$1,802
- − Depreciation
- −$6,385
- Taxable loss
- −$1,784
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$428
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,386/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Dade City North
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #849
- US rank
- #21700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dade City North, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,296
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 10% Two or more races 10% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.36%
- Current HPI
- 448.7
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-1.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — RACC
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — HCAR
- 2026-05-17 Pending — HCAR
- 2026-05-17 Pending — RACC
- 2026-05-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $227,500 HCAR
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $227,500 RACC
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $227,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $231,500 HCAR
- 2026-04-01 Listed $231,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $231,500 RACC
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $926 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…