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37407 Branch Ave
C- Composite 54.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$219,500

37407 Branch Ave · Dade City North, FL 33523
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 2001 8,250 sqft lot Est $213k · at est. ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

Key facts

  • Light filled layout
  • Ample cabinet space
  • 8,250 sq ft lot

Tags

LIGHT FILLED LAYOUTAMPLE CABINET SPACEFULLY FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead Exemption; Zoning: R4; Lot about 0.19 acres (0 to less than 1/4 acre)
  • HOA & community: No HOA/association indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Home faces east; Residential property
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built area approximately 1,562 sq ft
  • Exterior features: Outdoor lighting; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (14.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#849 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Rodney B. Cox Elementary School (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,080 of 2,144 statewide, top 97%, 428 students, 97% FRL); Pasco High School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,639 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 48% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 295 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,706 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.19%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$213,180
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15306 16th St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,089 (-4%) 7mo $253,000 $232 76
16012 Chieftain Dr 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,074 (-6%) 19mo $240,000 $223 48
15301 16th St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+14%) 22mo $170,000 $131 47
14806 Dade 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,252 (+10%) 21mo $80,000 $64 34
37302 Marshall Dr 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,256 (+10%) 21mo $235,000 $187 30
37404 Fiesta Dr 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 976 (-14%) 23mo $110,000 $113 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$129,843
Equity at exit
$197,743
10-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
7.09×
Total profit
$374,010
Equity at exit
$426,440

Cash invested: $61,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33523

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
295
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,877 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,151
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $926/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,671
Max offer price $219,500
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $287 -5% $225 +0% $163 +5% $101 +10% $39
Rent -10% $15 -5% $89 +0% $163 +5% $237 +10% $311
Rate -1.0pp $274 -0.5pp $219 base $163 +0.5pp $106 +1.0pp $48

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,875
Closing costs
$6,585
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14635 State St Dade City, FL 3.0 1.5 1040 $1,761 $1.69 22d 1 0.82mi
37802 Whitehouse Ave Dade City, FL 2.0 1.0 1344 $1,150 $0.86 24d 1 0.83mi
37540 Martin Luther King Blvd Unit A Dade City, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $1,200 $1.53 25d 1 1.02mi
37329 Magnolia Ave Unit 1234471P Dade City, FL 3.0 2.0 1216 $3,391 $2.79 5d 1 1.19mi
14907 Lucca Way Unit 1 Dade City, FL 3.0 2.5 1386 $2,100 $1.52 25d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,500 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,500 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,500 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,500 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $219,500 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $227,500 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $227,500 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $227,500 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $227,500 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $227,500 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $227,500 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $227,500 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $227,500 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    status Active 1039-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

  15. 2026-05-22
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

  16. 2026-05-22
    status Active 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

  17. 2026-05-17
    status Pending 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

  18. 2026-05-17
    status Pending 1039-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

  19. 2026-05-17
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

  20. 2026-05-12
    price $227,500 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

  21. 2026-05-12
    price $227,500 1039-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

  22. 2026-05-12
    price $227,500
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs—whether it’s a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that’s just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility—perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area’s signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

  23. 2026-04-01
    listed $231,500 Active 1039-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

  24. 2026-04-01
    listed $231,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

  25. 2026-04-01
    listed $231,500 Active 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Discover the charm of Dade City living in this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage, offering comfort, functionality, and plenty of potential. Step inside to find a practical, light-filled layout designed for everyday living, with spacious living areas and flexible rooms that can easily adapt to your needs--whether it's a home office, guest space, or hobby room. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep both easy and efficient. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof that's just three years old, along with a fully fenced backyard that offers privacy and versatility--perfect for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing and soaking up the Florida sunshine. Ideally located in the heart of Dade City, this home provides convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways, all while embracing the area's signature small-town charm. With a solid layout and room to personalize, this property is a wonderful opportunity to create a space that truly feels like home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$926 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,822 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$895/yr (+$75/mo · 96.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,525
− Mortgage interest
−$12,295
− Property taxes
−$926
− Insurance
−$1,098
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,802
− Management
−$1,802
− Depreciation
−$6,385
Taxable loss
−$1,784
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$428
After-tax cash flow
$2,386/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Dade City North

Score
57/100
State rank
#849
US rank
#21700

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dade City North, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,296

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 10% Two or more races 10% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.36%
Current HPI
448.7
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted RACC
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted HCAR
  • 2026-05-17 Pending HCAR
  • 2026-05-17 Pending RACC
  • 2026-05-17 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $227,500 HCAR
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $227,500 RACC
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $227,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $231,500 HCAR
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $231,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $231,500 RACC

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $926 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…