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2909 Harrison St
D Composite 42.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$171,000

2909 Harrison St · Clovis, NM 88101
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · Other · 25 Days on market
Built 1960 6,900 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Super cute, clean home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and an extra bonus room and a little office. All appliances stay! Lovely fenced back yard and covered porch, perfect for BBQs this Summer! Check it out today!

Key facts

  • Private office space
  • Covered porch
  • Extra bonus room

Tags

PRIVATE OFFICE SPACECOVERED PORCHFULLY ENCLOSED BACKYARDEXTRA BONUS ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 covered parking space / 1 garage space total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story / single level
  • Construction: Brick and stucco construction
  • Exterior features: Fenced backyard with wood fencing; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Water heater
  • Flooring: Laminate floors
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air heating; Wall furnace
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; Blinds on windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $171k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($489/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (18.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sandia Elementary (329 students, 100% FRL); Marshall Middle (519 students, 100% FRL); Clovis High (math 31% / reading 49%, grade F, #60 of 110 statewide, top 54%, 1,544 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 471 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,663 (18.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.02%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-21,538
Equity at exit
$25,497
10-year hold
IRR
0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$62
Equity at exit
$14,785

Cash invested: $47,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88101

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
471
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,387 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$897
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,040/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$41

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,335
Max offer price $171,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $138 -5% $89 +0% $41 +5% $-8 +10% $-56
Rent -10% $-69 -5% $-14 +0% $41 +5% $96 +10% $150
Rate -1.0pp $127 -0.5pp $84 base $41 +0.5pp $-4 +1.0pp $-49

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,750
Closing costs
$5,130
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
532 Circle Dr Clovis, NM 3.0 1.5 1114 $1,100 $0.99 45d 1 0.31mi
513 Tucker Ave Clovis, NM 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,150 $0.98 45d 1 0.45mi
1808 Debra St Clovis, NM 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,400 $0.99 45d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $171,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $171,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $171,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $171,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $171,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $171,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $171,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $171,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    status $171,000 Pending 12 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $171,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-05-18
    listed $171,000 Active
  12. 2020-03-25
    soldstatus 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Super cute, clean home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and an extra bonus room and a little office. All appliances stay! Lovely fenced back yard and covered porch, perfect for BBQs this Summer! Check it out today!

  13. 2020-02-14
    listed $105,000 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Super cute, clean home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and an extra bonus room and a little office. All appliances stay! Lovely fenced back yard and covered porch, perfect for BBQs this Summer! Check it out today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,040 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,368 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$328/yr (+$27/mo · 31.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,640
− Mortgage interest
−$9,579
− Property taxes
−$1,040
− Insurance
−$855
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,331
− Management
−$1,331
− Depreciation
−$4,975
Taxable loss
−$2,471
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$593
After-tax cash flow
$1,082/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3500570
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$40,532
Composite
33.52/100
National rank
#5435
State rank
#13 of 29 in NM

Livability — Clovis

Score
56/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#22374

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clovis, NM
County
Curry County · 44,846 people
City population
44,846
Metro
Clovis, NM
Population (ZIP)
44,846
Household income
$56,587
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1724.0

Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,742 people
By 2030
47,759 · -2.0%
By 2040
45,444 · -6.8%
By 2050
42,403 · -13.0%
By 2075
33,878 · -30.5%
By 2100
22,414 · -54.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Curry

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.79%
Current HPI
121.1877
Rent YoY
▲ 5.54%
Metro
Clovis, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+62.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $171,000 NMMLS
  • 2020-03-25 Sold (MLS) NMMLS
  • 2020-02-14 Listed $105,000 NMMLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,040 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…