1177 Congress St W #42 · San Bernardino, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.4
$77,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 55 years and older Senior Community mobile home park, with fenced community swimming pool, on-site laundry area and plenty of visitor parking. This is a 2 bedroom and 2 bath home. It has a spacious living room, kitchen and dining area. The master bedroom has its own private entrance from the outside. Must see to appreciate.
Key facts
- Visitor parking
- Private entrance
- On-site laundry area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $720 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 3.5% in San Bernardino — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#661 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, crime F, cost of living F.
- San Bernardino City Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #959 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lytle Creek Elementary (563 students, 93% FRL); Curtis Middle (703 students, 95% FRL); Arroyo Valley High (2,785 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 67d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 81% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.60%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $118,405
- List price
- $77,900
- Delta
- -34.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1064 W Congress St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,278 (+23%) | 1mo | $470,000 | $368 | 58 |
| 649 sixth | 1.13mi | 2/1.0 | 1,020 (-2%) | 1mo | $424,000 | $416 | 57 |
| 862 N F St | 1.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,020 (-2%) | 4mo | $379,900 | $372 | 54 |
| 840 Valley View Dr | 1.17mi | 2/1.0 | 1,093 (+5%) | 1mo | $342,500 | $313 | 52 |
| 1708 Bordwell Ave | 0.83mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (-8%) | 1mo | $440,000 | $458 | 49 |
| 218 W Mill | 1.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,131 (+9%) | 0mo | $410,000 | $363 | 46 |
| 261 Kendall | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+13%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $276 | 45 |
| 218 W Mill | 1.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,131 (+9%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $225 | 43 |
| 1734 Kippy Dr | 1.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 945 (-9%) | 5mo | $460,000 | $487 | 36 |
| 1351 N 10th | 1.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,171 (+13%) | 3mo | $500,000 | $427 | 33 |
| 1287 W 8th | 1.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,181 (+14%) | 2mo | $485,000 | $411 | 31 |
| 939 W 8th | 1.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 844 (-19%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $296 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $37,349
- Equity at exit
- $11,615
- IRR
- 46.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.01×
- Total profit
- $109,385
- Equity at exit
- $6,735
Cash invested: $21,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92410
- Home prices YoY
- -9.7%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,593 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$97 /mo · $1,168/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $720
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $774 | -5% $747 | +0% $720 | +5% $693 | +10% $666 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $594 | -5% $657 | +0% $720 | +5% $783 | +10% $846 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $759 | -0.5pp $740 | base $720 | +0.5pp $700 | +1.0pp $679 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,475
- Closing costs
- $2,337
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1360 Poplar St San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,495 | $2.00 | 67d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 455 Pear St San Bernardino, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,050 | $2.34 | 93d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 515 Ramona Ave San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $2,095 | $2.01 | 73d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 555 Ramona Ave San Bernardino, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $1,650 | $2.28 | 93d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1455 Veterans Way Apt C Colton, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 779 | $1,795 | $2.30 | 31d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1455 Veterans Way Apt F Colton, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 779 | $1,695 | $2.18 | 31d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 865 Mission Dr San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $2,750 | $2.02 | 93d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1211 W 8th St San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,995 | $2.10 | 73d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1554 W 7th St San Bernardino, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1548 W 7th St San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 834 N Davidson Ave Unit 838-1 San Bernardino, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 93d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 834 N Davidson Ave Unit 838-1 San Bernardino, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 73d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 834 N Davidson Ave Unit 834-1 San Bernardino, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 34d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 619 N Gardena St San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,900 | $2.90 | 54d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1279 W 9th St Unit 2 San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 738 N G St San Bernardino, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,595 | $1.99 | 34d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 386 S Arrowhead Ave San Bernardino, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,000 | $2.08 | 93d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1656 Bryn Mawr Ct Colton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $2,675 | $1.81 | 18d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1487 W 9th St San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $2,295 | $2.02 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1487 W 9th St San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $2,295 | $2.02 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1432 W 9th St San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $2,700 | $2.20 | 93d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 649 W 8th St Unit B San Bernardino, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,590 | $1.83 | 93d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1417 Pennsylvania Ave Colton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,395 | $1.84 | 93d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1331 N Pennsylvania Ave Unit 1331 Colton, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 52d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1327 N Pennsylvania Ave Unit 1327 Colton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,640 | $2.20 | 73d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 961 Western Ave Colton, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,000 | $2.86 | 42d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $77,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $77,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $77,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $77,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $77,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $77,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $77,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $77,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $77,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $77,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $77,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $77,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $77,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $77,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $77,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $77,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $77,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $77,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $77,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $77,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $77,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $77,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $77,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $77,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-07price $77,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $79,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $79,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $79,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $79,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $79,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $79,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $79,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $79,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $79,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $79,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $79,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $79,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $79,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $79,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 76 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 31 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,111
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,364
- − Property taxes
- −$1,168
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,529
- − Management
- −$1,529
- − Depreciation
- −$2,266
- Taxable income
- $7,865
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,888
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,750/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in fair condition with some repairs and maintenance needed. It has a spacious living room, kitchen and dining area, and a master bedroom with its own private entrance. The home is located in a senior community with a fenced community swimming pool, on-site laundry area and plenty of visitor parking.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration and wear visible.
- Minor Interior walls — Some discoloration and wear visible.
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Some wear visible.
- Minor Bathrooms — Some wear visible.
- Minor Windows — Some discoloration and wear visible.
- Minor HVAC/mechanicals — Some wear visible.
- Minor Landscaping — Some overgrown areas and wear visible.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can significantly improve the curb appeal and value of the home. ↑
- Resale Replace carpet in living room and kitchen — Fresh carpet can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Fresh cabinets can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Fresh fixtures can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Replace windows — Fresh windows can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Service HVAC system — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve the overall comfort and energy efficiency of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Trim and maintain landscaping — Fresh landscaping can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Bernardino City Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634170
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,758
- Composite
- 30.8/100
- National rank
- #11385
- State rank
- #959 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Bernardino
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #661
- US rank
- #20479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Bernardino, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,300,329 people
- City population
- 255,614
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,869
- Household income
- $54,181
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 12% Black 8% White 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 70%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 32% English-only · Spanish 65% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.39%
- Current HPI
- 504.0299
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.50%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-12.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $79,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $88,000 CRMLS
- 2024-04-03 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-03-23 Listed $89,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…