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1177 Congress St W #42
C+ Composite 61.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.4

$77,900

1177 Congress St W #42 · San Bernardino, CA 92410
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · Manufactured · 142 Days on market
Manufactured home 55+ age-restricted Built 1965 Fair condition $75/sqft · 34% below area Est $118k · 34% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful 55 years and older Senior Community mobile home park, with fenced community swimming pool, on-site laundry area and plenty of visitor parking. This is a 2 bedroom and 2 bath home. It has a spacious living room, kitchen and dining area. The master bedroom has its own private entrance from the outside. Must see to appreciate.

Key facts

  • Visitor parking
  • Private entrance
  • On-site laundry area

Tags

FENCED COMMUNITY SWIMMING POOLON-SITE LAUNDRY AREAVISITOR PARKINGPRIVATE ENTRANCE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $720 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 3.5% in San Bernardino — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#661 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Bernardino City Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #959 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lytle Creek Elementary (563 students, 93% FRL); Curtis Middle (703 students, 95% FRL); Arroyo Valley High (2,785 students, 91% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 67d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 81% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,552 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.04%
Cap rate
17.38%
Cash-on-cash
39.60%
DSCR
2.76
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$118,405
List price
$77,900
Delta
-34.21%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1064 W Congress St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,278 (+23%) 1mo $470,000 $368 58
649 sixth 1.13mi 2/1.0 1,020 (-2%) 1mo $424,000 $416 57
862 N F St 1.44mi 2/1.0 1,020 (-2%) 4mo $379,900 $372 54
840 Valley View Dr 1.17mi 2/1.0 1,093 (+5%) 1mo $342,500 $313 52
1708 Bordwell Ave 0.83mi 2/1.5 960 (-8%) 1mo $440,000 $458 49
218 W Mill 1.35mi 2/1.0 1,131 (+9%) 0mo $410,000 $363 46
261 Kendall 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (+13%) 2mo $325,000 $276 45
218 W Mill 1.35mi 2/1.0 1,131 (+9%) 4mo $255,000 $225 43
1734 Kippy Dr 1.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 945 (-9%) 5mo $460,000 $487 36
1351 N 10th 1.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,171 (+13%) 3mo $500,000 $427 33
1287 W 8th 1.12mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,181 (+14%) 2mo $485,000 $411 31
939 W 8th 1.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 844 (-19%) 2mo $250,000 $296 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.7%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$37,349
Equity at exit
$11,615
10-year hold
IRR
46.4%
Equity multiple
6.01×
Total profit
$109,385
Equity at exit
$6,735

Cash invested: $21,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92410

Home prices YoY
-9.7%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,593 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax est. 1.5%
$97 /mo · $1,168/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$720

Break-even live

Break-even rent $681
Max offer price $77,900
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $774 -5% $747 +0% $720 +5% $693 +10% $666
Rent -10% $594 -5% $657 +0% $720 +5% $783 +10% $846
Rate -1.0pp $759 -0.5pp $740 base $720 +0.5pp $700 +1.0pp $679

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,475
Closing costs
$2,337
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1360 Poplar St San Bernardino, CA 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,495 $2.00 67d 1 0.34mi
455 Pear St San Bernardino, CA 2.0 1.0 875 $2,050 $2.34 93d 1 0.35mi
515 Ramona Ave San Bernardino, CA 3.0 1.0 1040 $2,095 $2.01 73d 1 0.93mi
555 Ramona Ave San Bernardino, CA 1.0 1.0 724 $1,650 $2.28 93d 1 0.97mi
1455 Veterans Way Apt C Colton, CA 2.0 1.0 779 $1,795 $2.30 31d 1 0.97mi
1455 Veterans Way Apt F Colton, CA 2.0 1.0 779 $1,695 $2.18 31d 1 0.97mi
865 Mission Dr San Bernardino, CA 3.0 1.0 1360 $2,750 $2.02 93d 1 1.01mi
1211 W 8th St San Bernardino, CA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,995 $2.10 73d 1 1.08mi
1554 W 7th St San Bernardino, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,200 $2.20 13d 1 1.12mi
1548 W 7th St San Bernardino, CA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,800 $2.00 43d 1 1.12mi
834 N Davidson Ave Unit 838-1 San Bernardino, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 93d 1 1.15mi
834 N Davidson Ave Unit 838-1 San Bernardino, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 73d 1 1.15mi
834 N Davidson Ave Unit 834-1 San Bernardino, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 34d 1 1.15mi
619 N Gardena St San Bernardino, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,900 $2.90 54d 1 1.21mi
1279 W 9th St Unit 2 San Bernardino, CA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 10d 1 1.21mi
738 N G St San Bernardino, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,595 $1.99 34d 1 1.22mi
386 S Arrowhead Ave San Bernardino, CA 2.0 1.0 960 $2,000 $2.08 93d 1 1.23mi
1656 Bryn Mawr Ct Colton, CA 3.0 2.0 1474 $2,675 $1.81 18d 1 1.28mi
1487 W 9th St San Bernardino, CA 3.0 2.0 1136 $2,295 $2.02 15d 1 1.28mi
1487 W 9th St San Bernardino, CA 3.0 2.0 1136 $2,295 $2.02 17d 1 1.28mi
1432 W 9th St San Bernardino, CA 3.0 1.0 1225 $2,700 $2.20 93d 1 1.29mi
649 W 8th St Unit B San Bernardino, CA 2.0 1.0 870 $1,590 $1.83 93d 1 1.33mi
1417 Pennsylvania Ave Colton, CA 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,395 $1.84 93d 1 1.40mi
1331 N Pennsylvania Ave Unit 1331 Colton, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,600 $2.13 52d 1 1.44mi
1327 N Pennsylvania Ave Unit 1327 Colton, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,640 $2.20 73d 1 1.45mi
961 Western Ave Colton, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $2,000 $2.86 42d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $77,900 Active 142 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $77,900 Active 140 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $77,900 Active 139 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $77,900 Active 138 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $77,900 Active 137 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $77,900 Active 134 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $77,900 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-07-28
    days on market $77,900 Active 131 DOM
  9. 2026-07-26
    days on market $77,900 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $77,900 Active 127 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $77,900 Active 126 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $77,900 Active 125 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $77,900 Active 124 DOM
  14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $77,900 Active 123 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $77,900 Active 121 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $77,900 Active 120 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $77,900 Active 119 DOM
  18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $77,900 Active 118 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $77,900 Active 117 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $77,900 Active 116 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $77,900 Active 115 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $77,900 Active 114 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $77,900 Active 113 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $77,900 Active 112 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    price $77,900 Active 110 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 110 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $79,000 Active 109 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $79,000 Active 108 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $79,000 Active 107 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 106 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 105 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 104 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $79,000 Active 103 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $79,000 Active 102 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $79,000 Active 101 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $79,000 Active 100 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $79,000 Active 99 DOM
  38. 2026-06-24
    days on market $79,000 Active 97 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $79,000 Active 95 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,000 Active 94 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 91 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 90 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 89 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 88 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 86 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 82 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 81 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 80 DOM
  49. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,000 Active 77 DOM
  50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 76 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 31 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,111
− Mortgage interest
−$4,364
− Property taxes
−$1,168
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,529
− Management
−$1,529
− Depreciation
−$2,266
Taxable income
$7,865
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,888
After-tax cash flow
$6,750/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,200–$15,600 screening

This home is in fair condition with some repairs and maintenance needed. It has a spacious living room, kitchen and dining area, and a master bedroom with its own private entrance. The home is located in a senior community with a fenced community swimming pool, on-site laundry area and plenty of visitor parking.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration and wear visible.
  • Minor Interior walls — Some discoloration and wear visible.
  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Some wear visible.
  • Minor Bathrooms — Some wear visible.
  • Minor Windows — Some discoloration and wear visible.
  • Minor HVAC/mechanicals — Some wear visible.
  • Minor Landscaping — Some overgrown areas and wear visible.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can significantly improve the curb appeal and value of the home.
  • Resale Replace carpet in living room and kitchen — Fresh carpet can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Fresh cabinets can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Fresh fixtures can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale Replace windows — Fresh windows can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale Service HVAC system — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve the overall comfort and energy efficiency of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale Trim and maintain landscaping — Fresh landscaping can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Zoned Schools

Elementary Lytle Creek Elementary Middle Curtis Middle High Arroyo Valley High

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Bernardino City Unified
NCES district ID
0634170
Math proficiency
27% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,758
Composite
30.8/100
National rank
#11385
State rank
#959 of 1400 in CA
D Composite livability gradescore 59/100

Livability — San Bernardino

Score
59/100
State rank
#661
US rank
#20479

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Bernardino, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,300,329 people
City population
255,614
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
47,869
Household income
$54,181
Rent vs Own
58.3% rent · 41.7% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 12% Black 8% White 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 70%
Common ancestry
Romanian 0%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
32% English-only · Spanish 65% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-12.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $79,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $88,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-04-03 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-03-23 Listed $89,900 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…