🏗️ New Construction
Delight Plan · Midland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Skillfully and economically designed single section with large living room, fully equipped kitchen, large bedrooms and beautiful comforting bathrooms. Delivered/Set & A/C ONLY - LAND NOT INCLUDED
Key facts
- Listed 392 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $66k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $848 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $66k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 4.7% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#57 in TX, #2,192 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, commute D+.
- Midland ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #477 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 379 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,504 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Midland County population projected at +83% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 392 days — a 12% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 392 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.16%
- DSCR
- 3.45
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $42,956
- Equity at exit
- $9,826
- IRR
- 58.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.71×
- Total profit
- $105,381
- Equity at exit
- $5,698
Cash invested: $18,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79706
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 379
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$346
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$82 /mo · $988/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $848
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,475
- Closing costs
- $1,977
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,900 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,900 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,900 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,900 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,900 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,900 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,900 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,900 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,900 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,900 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,900 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,900 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,900 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,900 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,900 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,900 Active 372 DOM
-
2025-05-23$65,900 Active 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Skillfully and economically designed single section with large living room, fully equipped kitchen, large bedrooms and beautiful comforting bathrooms. Delivered/Set & A/C ONLY - LAND NOT INCLUDED
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,802
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,691
- − Property taxes
- −$988
- − Insurance
- −$330
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,584
- − Management
- −$1,584
- − Depreciation
- −$1,917
- Taxable income
- $9,707
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,330
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,849/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good balance of curb appeal and interior comfort, making it a solid investment for both resale and rental markets.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replace outdated light fixtures — Modern lighting can improve the home's ambiance and value.
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
- Both Upgrade countertops — New countertops can add value and functionality to the kitchen space.
- Both Add outdoor landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace outdated light fixtures — Modern lighting can improve the home's ambiance and value. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Upgrade countertops — New countertops can add value and functionality to the kitchen space. ↑
- Both Add outdoor landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830570
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,457
- Composite
- 31.63/100
- National rank
- #5938
- State rank
- #477 of 826 in TX
Livability — Midland
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #2192
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Midland County · 168,494 people
- City population
- 168,494
- Metro
- Midland, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,281
- Household income
- $108,059
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 303.0
Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 220,895 people
- By 2030
- 253,667 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 325,498 · +47.4%
- By 2050
- 404,168 · +83.0%
- By 2075
- 609,802 · +176.1%
- By 2100
- 760,172 · +244.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 44% Two or more races 13% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 30%
Political lean MEDSL · Midland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.5) · D 19.3% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.3pp · 2024: -60.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.5 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+61.5 2008: R+57.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.42%
- Current HPI
- 212.6467
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.75%
- Metro
- Midland, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-05-23 Listed $65,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…