319 State St · Lynn, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fixer up home
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1942
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $544 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#285 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Randolph Southern School Corporation (rural): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #181 of 301 in IN (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Randolph County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.87%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,024
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 N Main St | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 | 1,311 (-12%) | 5mo | $15,500 | $12 | 64 |
| 208 Enterprise St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,537 (+3%) | 7mo | $184,900 | $120 | 62 |
| 410 S Main St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+0%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $137 | 61 |
| 310 N Franklin St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,490 (-0%) | 24mo | $56,000 | $38 | 60 |
| 112 N Garfield St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,280 (-14%) | 3mo | $128,000 | $100 | 56 |
| 312 S Main St | 0.42mi | 4/1.5 | 1,664 (+11%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $66 | 51 |
| 607 Westwood Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,484 (-1%) | 18mo | $185,000 | $125 | 49 |
| 705 Westwood Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,397 (-7%) | 13mo | $166,500 | $119 | 40 |
| 2990 US 36 | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,602 (+7%) | 9mo | $345,000 | $215 | 39 |
| 710 Westwood Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (-13%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $115 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $70,047
- Equity at exit
- $58,557
- IRR
- 45.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.84×
- Total profit
- $179,011
- Equity at exit
- $126,281
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47355
- Home prices YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,205 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $483/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $544
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $581 | -5% $562 | +0% $544 | +5% $526 | +10% $507 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $449 | -5% $496 | +0% $544 | +5% $592 | +10% $639 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $577 | -0.5pp $561 | base $544 | +0.5pp $527 | +1.0pp $510 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 13-char remark
-
2026-06-18$65,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $483 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $518 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$35/yr (+$3/mo · 7.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,465
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$483
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,157
- − Management
- −$1,157
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,811
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,395
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,134/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Randolph Southern School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810740
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,369
- Composite
- 30.91/100
- National rank
- #6113
- State rank
- #181 of 301 in IN
Livability — Lynn
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #285
- US rank
- #11678
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lynn, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,966
Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,998 people
- By 2030
- 21,815 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 19,360 · -15.8%
- By 2050
- 17,010 · -26.0%
- By 2075
- 12,491 · -45.7%
- By 2100
- 8,986 · -60.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randolph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.3% · R 75.9% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.9pp toward R · 2008: -8.8pp · 2024: -53.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+24.1 2008: R+8.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.80%
- Current HPI
- 245.0558
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Property tax history
+43.4%/yrLatest (2024): $483 · +1304.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…