104 Enforcer Loop · Jarrell, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step inside the charming single story gem, located in the highly desirable Sonterra community. The 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home consists of over 1300 sq ft of comfort and modern functionality. Upon entry, the inviting extended foyer allows room for welcoming decor and ease of access to and from the attached garage. Once inside, the expansive open concept design, showcases space for entertaining, cooking, and dining. The master suite is privately tucked towards rear of home, allowing for a more peaceful retreat, while additional rooms have a separate hallway, equipped with a full bath. The covered patio, and fenced in back yard provides privacy and simple landscaping. The Sonterra amenities consists of the community pool, splash pad, walking trails, and club house. With its close proximity to the schools, restaurants, and upcoming Walmart, this home is perfect for the one seeking peaceful simplicity within a small home town.
Key facts
- Master suite
- Community pool
- Open concept design
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-191 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (16.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (6.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#313 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Jarrell ISD (rural): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #713 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Jarrell El (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,277 of 4,322 statewide, top 77%, 785 students, 62% FRL); Jarrell Middle (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,258 of 1,662 statewide, top 77%, 741 students, 64% FRL); Jarrell H S (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 868 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 915 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 54d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 7,543 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (1,425 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Williamson County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.09%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $267,928
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -25.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Dirty Harry Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (+3%) | 2mo | $257,044 | $182 | 89 |
| 124 Perfect World Loop | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (+3%) | 4mo | $229,000 | $161 | 79 |
| 360 Enforcer Loop | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (+11%) | 4mo | $234,891 | $154 | 72 |
| 329 Enforcer Loop | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (+11%) | 2mo | $268,190 | $176 | 71 |
| 121 Rowdy Yates Way | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,237 (-10%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $158 | 69 |
| 312 The Bad Way | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (-7%) | 4mo | $199,999 | $157 | 66 |
| 468 Josey Wales Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,487 (+8%) | 1mo | $272,900 | $184 | 55 |
| 220 Escape Way | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,531 (+11%) | 0mo | $259,990 | $170 | 53 |
| 260 Escape Way | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,531 (+11%) | 1mo | $279,990 | $183 | 52 |
| 120 Outlaw Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,487 (+8%) | 3mo | $278,900 | $188 | 51 |
| 265 Escape Way | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,531 (+11%) | 4mo | $268,990 | $176 | 51 |
| 225 Firefox Way | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,531 (+11%) | 4mo | $259,990 | $170 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-49,831
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -46.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.42×
- Total profit
- $-79,341
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 29 active · 11 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.3 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $239,990 ($171/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 252 d
- This list price
- 3% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +14.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76537
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 915
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,863 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$511 /mo · $6,129/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$20
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $-191
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-78 | -5% $-134 | +0% $-191 | +5% $-248 | +10% $-304 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-338 | -5% $-265 | +0% $-191 | +5% $-117 | +10% $-44 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-90 | -0.5pp $-140 | base $-191 | +0.5pp $-243 | +1.0pp $-296 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608 Magnum Force Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $1,995 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 125 Kellys Heroes Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 93d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 137 Kellys Heroes Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $1,695 | $1.40 | 93d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 157 Perfect World Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 157 Perfect World Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $1,725 | $1.09 | 29d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 104 Perfect World Loop Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1751 | $1,885 | $1.08 | 53d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 104 Perfect World Loop Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1751 | $1,885 | $1.08 | 52d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 376 Rae Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 376 Rae Ln Unit A Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 71d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 420 Perfect World Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 53d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 241 Alcatraz Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,795 | $1.39 | 9d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 340 The Bad Way Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $1,695 | $1.05 | 93d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 340 The Bad Way Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $1,695 | $1.05 | 73d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 128 Dollars Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 31d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 125 Unforgiven Ln Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 52d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 140 Drifter Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1623 | $1,840 | $1.13 | 27d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 617 The Ugly Way Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1683 | $1,795 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 125 Drifter Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1753 | $1,795 | $1.02 | 40d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 637 The Ugly Way Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1688 | $1,795 | $1.06 | 93d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 465 Unforgiven Ln Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1531 | $1,750 | $1.14 | 67d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 195 Outlaw Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1573 | $1,799 | $1.14 | 93d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2131 County Road 314 Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1671 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 149 Vulcan Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,799 | $1.24 | 73d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 744 Xanadu Dr Unit 53K Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $1,750 | $0.99 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 873 Circle Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 64d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 117 Galaxy Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 41d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 137 Hematite Ln Unit 1 Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 27d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 621 Xanadu Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 53d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 108 Igneous Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 61d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 600 Shimek St Unit 19A Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 67d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 344 Circle Way Unit 35E Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,575 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 324 Circle Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1661 | $1,650 | $0.99 | 60d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 244 Circle Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,545 | $1.24 | 69d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1100 Jackson Ln Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1839 | $1,695 | $0.92 | 27d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 224 Amber Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,475 | $1.30 | 69d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 140 Amber Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,749 | $1.10 | 67d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 221 Geode Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1647 | $1,800 | $1.09 | 30d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 236 Moonstone Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,450 | $1.31 | 18d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 417 Sapphire Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1537 | $1,499 | $0.98 | 73d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 829 Ibis Falls Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1473 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 41d | 1 | 1.29mi |
HOA detail $20/mo · $240/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $200,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $200,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $200,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $200,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $200,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $200,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $200,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $200,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $200,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $200,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $200,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $200,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $200,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $200,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $200,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $200,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $200,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $200,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $200,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $200,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $200,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $200,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $200,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $200,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $200,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $200,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $200,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $200,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $200,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $200,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $200,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $200,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $200,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $200,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $200,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $200,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $200,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $200,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $200,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $200,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 180 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,129 · $511/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,129 · $511/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,359
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$6,129
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,789
- − Management
- −$1,789
- − HOA
- −$240
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$5,609
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,346
- After-tax cash flow
- $-945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming single-story home in Sonterra is in good condition with modern finishes and a good layout. It's ready for a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Replace window screens — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale Replace flooring in bedrooms — Modernizes spaces and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jarrell ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824600
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,132
- Composite
- 21.47/100
- National rank
- #8335
- State rank
- #713 of 826 in TX
Livability — Jarrell
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #313
- US rank
- #7020
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Williamson County · 699,027 people
- City population
- 16,272
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,272
- Household income
- $98,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 699,027 people
- By 2030
- 795,537 · +13.8%
- By 2040
- 990,683 · +41.7%
- By 2050
- 1,184,292 · +69.4%
- By 2075
- 1,623,825 · +132.3%
- By 2100
- 1,924,153 · +175.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 14% Black 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 26% Chinese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Williamson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 50.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -2.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.5 2020: D+1.4 2016: R+9.9 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.03%
- Current HPI
- 184.8935
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.73%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-25.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2026-01-29 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $210,000 Unlock MLS
- 2025-12-04 Listed $245,000 Unlock MLS
- 2024-03-12 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2024-02-14 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2024-02-02 Price Changed $280,990 Unlock MLS
- 2023-12-26 Rental Removed $2,070 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-13 Listed for Rent $2,070 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-07 Listed $279,990 Unlock MLS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2026): $6,129 · -6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…