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7800, 7801, 7916, 8000 Thayer Dr 🔨 Auction
F Composite 22.33
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +3.5/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1

7800, 7801, 7916, 8000 Thayer Dr · Fort Smith, AR 72908
None bd · 4.0 ba · 2,160 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
0.31 ac lot ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Auction 05/20/2026 at 11:00 AM Thayer Multi-Family Portfolio – 16 Total Units Investment opportunity featuring 16 units across 4 separate properties, all selling individually. All units are 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom, offering a consistent and easy-to-manage layout across the portfolio. 7801 Thayer & 1200 School St. – Tri-plex plus single-family home (one unit currently vacant, remainder occupied) 7800 Thayer – 4-plex 7916 Thayer – 4-plex 8000 Thayer – 4-plex Average rents are approximately $500/month. One unit in the tri-plex is currently vacant, with the remaining units occupied. Strong rental history with upside potential through increased rents and

Key facts

  • 0.31 acre lot
  • Listed 29 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; Assigned parking; On-street parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public maintained road (access); Gas water heater (on-site)
  • Home design: Residential quadruplex; Single level (1 story)
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Cleared, city lot; Paved public road access

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate or simulated wood flooring
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry in-unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $1 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $254,880 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a ?-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-768 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
  • Cap rate 2.7% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cavanaugh Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #60 of 454 statewide, top 15%, 310 students, 66% FRL); Ramsey Junior High School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade D-, #78 of 201 statewide, top 40%, 832 students, 67% FRL); Southside High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #31 of 292 statewide, top 12%, 1,956 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 382320.0% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.49%
Cap rate
2.68%
Cash-on-cash
-12.92%
DSCR
0.43
GRM
16.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$254,880
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8611 Vickery Ln 0.56mi 3/2.5 2,223 (+3%) 12mo $299,150 $135 53
1508 Princeton Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 2,111 (-2%) 3mo $250,000 $118 52
1300 Meadow Cir 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,850 (-14%) 2mo $150,000 $81 51
8005 Hermitage Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 2,240 (+4%) 12mo $243,500 $109 51
8305 Meadow Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 2,340 (+8%) 7mo $308,000 $132 51
708 Windbrook Ct 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,988 (-8%) 12mo $315,000 $158 49
1301 Meadow Cir 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,850 (-14%) 14mo $219,000 $118 42
712 Windbrook Ct 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,879 (-13%) 14mo $262,000 $139 40
7811 Meadow Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,862 (-14%) 17mo $219,000 $118 40
8206 Avignon Ln 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,892 (-12%) 16mo $265,000 $140 32
725 Cedar Ln 0.74mi 4/3.0 2,382 (+10%) 19mo $232,000 $97 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-40.4%
Equity multiple
-0.26×
Total profit
$-90,207
Equity at exit
$38,003
10-year hold
IRR
-65.2%
Equity multiple
-0.98×
Total profit
$-141,472
Equity at exit
$22,037

Cash invested: $71,366 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72908

Active inventory
97

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,257 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax est. 1.5%
$319 /mo · $3,823/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$-768

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,230
Max offer price $143,726
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-592 -5% $-680 +0% $-768 +5% $-856 +10% $-944
Rent -10% $-867 -5% $-818 +0% $-768 +5% $-718 +10% $-669
Rate -1.0pp $-640 -0.5pp $-703 base $-768 +0.5pp $-834 +1.0pp $-901

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,720
Closing costs
$7,646
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1415 Willowbrook Cir Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,299 $0.79 15d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-21
    listed $1 Active
  3. 2001-09-07
    soldstatus $38,000
  4. 1996-12-30
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,087
− Mortgage interest
−$14,277
− Property taxes
−$3,823
− Insurance
−$1,274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,207
− Management
−$1,207
− Depreciation
−$7,415
Taxable loss
−$14,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,388
After-tax cash flow
$-5,830/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Smith School District
NCES district ID
0506330
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,066
Composite
30.66/100
National rank
#6183
State rank
#106 of 238 in AR

Livability — Fort Smith

Score
65/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#13185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Smith, AR
County
Sebastian County · 99,312 people
City population
94,356
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
Population (ZIP)
14,288
Household income
$72,732
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
354.0

Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
133,992 people
By 2030
136,620 · +2.0%
By 2040
140,832 · +5.1%
By 2050
143,301 · +6.9%
By 2075
147,964 · +10.4%
By 2100
145,848 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.01%
Current HPI
202.0886
Rent YoY
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $1 WRVBOR
  • 2001-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 1996-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,133 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…