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3921 52nd St
C+ Composite 63.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

3921 52nd St · Des Moines, IA 50310
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 714 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1950 8,400 sqft lot $112/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity! Nice size ranch located in great neighborhood that's close to schools, interstate, and shopping. It features 1 bed (previously used as 2 bed), 1 bathroom, open floor plan and oversized 2 car garage. Great buy!

Key facts

  • 8,400 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1950

Tags

FULL REHAB OPPORTUNITYMASSIVE DOUBLE CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual property taxes listed (refer to listing for amount)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached two-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family property
  • Construction: Vinyl and wood siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block and slab foundation; Built with typical residential construction materials
  • Exterior features: Chain link and wood fencing; Rectangular lot measuring approximately 60 x 140

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: See remarks for additional interior details

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.1% in Des Moines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in IA, #1,432 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Des Moines Independent Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #289 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 256 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $63k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.41%
Cash-on-cash
11.14%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,006
List price
$80,000
Delta
-54.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3921 52nd St 0.00mi 2/1.0 (+1) 714 (0%) 0mo $63,000 $88 95
3940 51st St 0.07mi 2/1.0 (+1) 660 (-8%) 6mo $175,000 $265 74
3906 53rd St 0.10mi 2/1.0 (+1) 793 (+11%) 2mo $175,000 $221 71
3608 53rd St 0.28mi 1/1.0 676 (-5%) 9mo $190,000 $281 71
3944 53rd St 0.10mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+8%) 9mo $160,000 $208 70
3907 50th St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (+1) 780 (+9%) 10mo $165,000 $212 65
4141 57th St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (-6%) 1mo $125,300 $186 64
3946 57th St 0.35mi 2/2.0 (+1) 672 (-6%) 2mo $189,900 $283 63
3417 59th St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (+1) 720 (+1%) 6mo $178,500 $248 61
4135 56th St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (+1) 799 (+12%) 9mo $185,000 $232 50
5200 Twana Dr 0.49mi 2/1.5 (+1) 776 (+9%) 9mo $180,000 $232 48
3608 59th St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (+1) 612 (-14%) 1mo $175,500 $287 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,036
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$21,108
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50310

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
256
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$980 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,362/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$208

Break-even live

Break-even rent $717
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3934 54th St Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 504 $1,295 $2.57 14d 1 0.15mi
3710 56th St Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 528 $825 $1.56 21d 2 0.34mi
5626 Douglas Ave Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 360 $750 $2.08 14d 6 0.37mi
3710 57th St Des Moines, IA 1.0–2.0 1.0 787 $750 $0.95 23d 3 0.41mi
5612 New York Ave Des Moines, IA 2.0 2.0 636 $1,595 $2.51 14d 1 0.86mi
2929 Beaver Ave Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 575 $950 $1.65 44d 1 1.12mi
3610 Twana Dr Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 14d 8 1.26mi
4326 Hickman Rd Unit 307 Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 697 $1,420 $2.04 44d 1 1.36mi
4925 Franklin Ave Des Moines, IA 1.0–2.0 1.0 606 $825 $1.36 14d 4 1.37mi
4326 Hickman Rd Unit 405 Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 728 $1,440 $1.98 44d 1 1.37mi
6319 Hickman Rd Unit 6319-24 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 19d 1 1.39mi
6319 Hickman Rd Unit 14 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 750 $875 $1.17 44d 1 1.39mi
6319 Hickman Rd Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 44d 3 1.39mi
6319 Hickman Rd Unit 6319-20 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 750 $765 $1.02 19d 1 1.39mi
6319 Hickman Rd Unit 6315-2 Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 750 $775 $1.03 19d 1 1.39mi
5250 Franklin Ave Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 640 $850 $1.33 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 477-char remark
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $80,000 Active 477-char remark
  3. 2014-02-28
    soldstatus $31,500 239-char remark
    Show marketing remark (239 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Nice size ranch located in great neighborhood that's close to schools, interstate, and shopping. It features 1 bed (previously used as 2 bed), 1 bathroom, open floor plan and oversized 2 car garage. Great buy!

  4. 2013-10-04
    listed $34,900 239-char remark
    Show marketing remark (239 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Nice size ranch located in great neighborhood that's close to schools, interstate, and shopping. It features 1 bed (previously used as 2 bed), 1 bathroom, open floor plan and oversized 2 car garage. Great buy!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,362 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,362 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,761
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,362
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$941
− Management
−$941
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$1,309
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$314
After-tax cash flow
$2,181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Des Moines Independent Community School District
NCES district ID
1908970
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,905
Composite
37.83/100
National rank
#4331
State rank
#289 of 289 in IA

Livability — Des Moines

Score
81/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#1432

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Des Moines, IA
County
Polk County · 453,298 people
City population
203,612
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
31,177
Household income
$76,381
Rent vs Own
30.4% rent · 69.6% own
Severe rent burden
928.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
548,042 people
By 2030
588,557 · +7.4%
By 2040
670,629 · +22.4%
By 2050
752,830 · +37.4%
By 2075
955,069 · +74.3%
By 2100
1,115,436 · +103.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 14% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Ukrainian 3% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -197.92%
Current HPI
248.07
Rent YoY
▲ 3.74%
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $63,000 DMMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending DMMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $80,000 DMMLS
  • 2014-02-28 Sold (MLS) $31,500 DMMLS
  • 2013-10-04 Listed $34,900 DMMLS

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,362 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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