596 Tegarden Rd · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located on ONE ACRE not far from Beach this solidly built Brick one-story has a new 'Fortified' Roof over 2,890 SF which the includes heated & cooled Double Garage, Laundry plus an extra Utility/Hobby Room and a rear Covered Patio * 4 BRs, 2 Bathrooms * * includes all Appliances * An additional 12' x 14' metal storage building is located in the Backyard * Chain-link fencing encloses the front and rear yards * Live in One home and build another home on the front lot! * Pecan, Fig and Palm trees * Gulfport High School is less than 1/2 mile away * Approximate Heated & Cooled area is 2,279 SF including the Double Garage & Laundry * Tegarden Road is a pre
Key facts
- Utility hobby room
- Double garage
- Fortified roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-153 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (10.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (25.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $189k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bayou View Middle School (math 54% / reading 49%, grade C, #27 of 179 statewide, top 16%, 826 students, 100% FRL); Gulfport High School (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #54 of 197 statewide, top 28%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.58%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $319,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1061 Flounder Way | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,845 (-3%) | 2mo | $315,406 | $171 | 65 |
| 1373 Redfish Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,845 (-3%) | 4mo | $314,004 | $170 | 64 |
| 1312 Redfish Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,845 (-3%) | 4mo | $309,650 | $168 | 63 |
| 400 Krill Ct | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,765 (-7%) | 2mo | $305,361 | $173 | 55 |
| 1109 Flounder Way | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 | 2,092 (+10%) | 0mo | $340,399 | $163 | 54 |
| 15 Woodglen Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,984 (+4%) | 4mo | $239,900 | $121 | 54 |
| 155 Phillips Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,971 (+4%) | 2mo | $589,500 | $299 | 53 |
| 218 Pinewood Cir | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,024 (+6%) | 3mo | $249,900 | $123 | 53 |
| 1316 Redfish Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,765 (-7%) | 5mo | $301,434 | $171 | 53 |
| 1308 Redfish Dr | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 | 2,092 (+10%) | 2mo | $329,016 | $157 | 52 |
| 22 E Park St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,650 (-13%) | 4mo | $184,900 | $112 | 38 |
| 102 Dogwood Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,100 (+10%) | 5mo | $257,900 | $123 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-48,697
- Equity at exit
- $38,021
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-44,932
- Equity at exit
- $22,048
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39507
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 301
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,890 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$203 /mo · $2,430/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $-153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-9 | -5% $-81 | +0% $-153 | +5% $-225 | +10% $-298 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-302 | -5% $-228 | +0% $-153 | +5% $-79 | +10% $-4 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-25 | -0.5pp $-88 | base $-153 | +0.5pp $-219 | +1.0pp $-287 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 477 Tegarden Rd Unit D Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 954 Old Towne St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $1,900 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1276 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1283 | $2,100 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1101 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1330 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1215 Ocean View Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,895 | $1.69 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 153 Markham Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1525 E Pass Rd Gulfport, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,519 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 408 Caribe Pl N Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2158 | $2,700 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1100 Snapper CT Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1553 | $1,775 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2420 Demaret Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-03-30price $255,000
-
2026-03-26status Active
-
2026-03-17historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-16$270,000 Active
-
2025-09-10status Pending
-
2025-09-08historical
-
2025-08-06price $270,000
-
2025-05-13price $275,000
-
2025-04-30price $300,000
-
2025-04-30$250,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,430 · $203/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,430 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,676
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$2,430
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,814
- − Management
- −$1,814
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$6,360
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,526
- After-tax cash flow
- $-312/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,564
- Household income
- $54,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.48%
- Current HPI
- 181.6606
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.26%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+2.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $255,000 MLSU
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-03-17 Contingent — MLSU
- 2026-01-16 Listed $270,000 MLSU
- 2025-09-10 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-09-08 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $270,000 MLSU
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $275,000 MLSU
- 2025-04-30 Price Changed $300,000 MLSU
- 2025-04-30 Listed $250,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,430 · +408.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…