CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
596 Tegarden Rd
D Composite 43.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$255,000

596 Tegarden Rd · Gulfport, MS 39507
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1988 1.00 ac lot Est $319k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located on ONE ACRE not far from Beach this solidly built Brick one-story has a new 'Fortified' Roof over 2,890 SF which the includes heated & cooled Double Garage, Laundry plus an extra Utility/Hobby Room and a rear Covered Patio * 4 BRs, 2 Bathrooms * * includes all Appliances * An additional 12' x 14' metal storage building is located in the Backyard * Chain-link fencing encloses the front and rear yards * Live in One home and build another home on the front lot! * Pecan, Fig and Palm trees * Gulfport High School is less than 1/2 mile away * Approximate Heated & Cooled area is 2,279 SF including the Double Garage & Laundry * Tegarden Road is a pre

Key facts

  • Utility hobby room
  • Double garage
  • Fortified roof

Tags

FORTIFIED ROOFDOUBLE GARAGEUTILITY HOBBY ROOMCOVERED PATIOMETAL STORAGE BUILDINGCHAIN-LINK FENCING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-153 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (10.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (25.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bayou View Middle School (math 54% / reading 49%, grade C, #27 of 179 statewide, top 16%, 826 students, 100% FRL); Gulfport High School (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #54 of 197 statewide, top 28%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $188,963 (25.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.58%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$319,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1061 Flounder Way 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,845 (-3%) 2mo $315,406 $171 65
1373 Redfish Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,845 (-3%) 4mo $314,004 $170 64
1312 Redfish Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,845 (-3%) 4mo $309,650 $168 63
400 Krill Ct 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,765 (-7%) 2mo $305,361 $173 55
1109 Flounder Way 0.44mi 4/3.0 2,092 (+10%) 0mo $340,399 $163 54
15 Woodglen Dr 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,984 (+4%) 4mo $239,900 $121 54
155 Phillips Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,971 (+4%) 2mo $589,500 $299 53
218 Pinewood Cir 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,024 (+6%) 3mo $249,900 $123 53
1316 Redfish Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,765 (-7%) 5mo $301,434 $171 53
1308 Redfish Dr 0.45mi 4/3.0 2,092 (+10%) 2mo $329,016 $157 52
22 E Park St 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,650 (-13%) 4mo $184,900 $112 38
102 Dogwood Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,100 (+10%) 5mo $257,900 $123 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-48,697
Equity at exit
$38,021
10-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-44,932
Equity at exit
$22,048

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39507

Home prices YoY
-27.1%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
301
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,890 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$203 /mo · $2,430/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$-153

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,084
Max offer price $227,934
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-9 -5% $-81 +0% $-153 +5% $-225 +10% $-298
Rent -10% $-302 -5% $-228 +0% $-153 +5% $-79 +10% $-4
Rate -1.0pp $-25 -0.5pp $-88 base $-153 +0.5pp $-219 +1.0pp $-287

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
477 Tegarden Rd Unit D Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 14d 1 0.10mi
954 Old Towne St Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1533 $1,900 $1.24 14d 1 0.58mi
1276 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 3.0 1283 $2,100 $1.64 44d 1 0.61mi
1101 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 3.0 1330 $1,700 $1.28 44d 1 0.62mi
1215 Ocean View Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1710 $2,895 $1.69 22d 1 0.67mi
153 Markham Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1650 $3,000 $1.82 44d 1 0.68mi
1525 E Pass Rd Gulfport, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1070 $1,519 $1.42 22d 1 0.80mi
408 Caribe Pl N Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.5 2158 $2,700 $1.25 44d 1 0.94mi
1100 Snapper CT Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.5 1553 $1,775 $1.14 22d 1 1.05mi
2420 Demaret Dr Gulfport, MS 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,800 $1.12 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-30
    price $255,000
  3. 2026-03-26
    status Active
  4. 2026-03-17
    historical Active Under Contract
  5. 2026-01-16
    listed $270,000 Active
  6. 2025-09-10
    status Pending
  7. 2025-09-08
    historical
  8. 2025-08-06
    price $270,000
  9. 2025-05-13
    price $275,000
  10. 2025-04-30
    price $300,000
  11. 2025-04-30
    listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,430 · $203/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,430 · $203/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,676
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$2,430
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,814
− Management
−$1,814
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$6,360
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,526
After-tax cash flow
$-312/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gulfport School District
NCES district ID
2801710
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,712
Composite
34.38/100
National rank
#5213
State rank
#37 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gulfport, MS
County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
96,188
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
18,564
Household income
$54,657
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
1059.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.48%
Current HPI
181.6606
Rent YoY
▲ 4.26%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+2.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $255,000 MLSU
  • 2026-03-26 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-03-17 Contingent MLSU
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $270,000 MLSU
  • 2025-09-10 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-09-08 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $270,000 MLSU
  • 2025-05-13 Price Changed $275,000 MLSU
  • 2025-04-30 Price Changed $300,000 MLSU
  • 2025-04-30 Listed $250,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+12.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,430 · +408.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…