CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1230 Bluestem Dr #2
B- Composite 69.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

1230 Bluestem Dr #2 · Madison, KS 66860
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,386 sqft · Condo public records
Built 1970 $160/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 2,178 sq ft lot
  • Built 1970

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#318 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Madison-Virgil (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #32 of 280 in KS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Madison High (math 24% / reading 15%, grade F, #198 of 327 statewide, top 66%, 95 students, 48% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Madison-Virgil average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Greenwood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
  • Greenwood County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $56k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
8.75%
Cash-on-cash
8.77%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$35,429
Equity at exit
$51,288
10-year hold
IRR
22.7%
Equity multiple
5.57×
Total profit
$95,972
Equity at exit
$96,809

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66860

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,053 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$160
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$153

Break-even live

Break-even rent $859
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $205 -5% $179 +0% $153 +5% $127 +10% $102
Rent -10% $70 -5% $112 +0% $153 +5% $195 +10% $237
Rate -1.0pp $191 -0.5pp $172 base $153 +0.5pp $134 +1.0pp $114

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$160 · $1,920/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    historical
  2. 2026-05-12
    listed $75,000
  3. 2008-07-01
    soldstatus $56,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,633
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,011
− Management
−$1,011
− HOA
−$1,920
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$809
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$194
After-tax cash flow
$1,646/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison-Virgil
NCES district ID
2009090
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$40,771
Composite
39.98/100
National rank
#7896
State rank
#32 of 280 in KS

Livability — Madison

Score
64/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#14619

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, KS
Population (ZIP)
1,391

Population outlook (Greenwood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,505 people
By 2030
5,103 · -7.3%
By 2040
4,287 · -22.1%
By 2050
3,576 · -35.0%
By 2075
2,370 · -56.9%
By 2100
1,459 · -73.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greenwood

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.0) · D 18.8% · R 79.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-17.2pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -61.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.0 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+59.1 2012: R+49.3 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.86%
Current HPI
175.5345
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+33.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Delisted Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $75,000 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2008-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…