1230 Bluestem Dr #2 · Madison, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#318 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Madison-Virgil (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #32 of 280 in KS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Madison High (math 24% / reading 15%, grade F, #198 of 327 statewide, top 66%, 95 students, 48% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Madison-Virgil average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Greenwood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
- Greenwood County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $56k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.77%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $35,429
- Equity at exit
- $51,288
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.57×
- Total profit
- $95,972
- Equity at exit
- $96,809
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66860
- Home prices YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,053 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$160
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $205 | -5% $179 | +0% $153 | +5% $127 | +10% $102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $70 | -5% $112 | +0% $153 | +5% $195 | +10% $237 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $191 | -0.5pp $172 | base $153 | +0.5pp $134 | +1.0pp $114 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $160 · $1,920/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-13historical
-
2026-05-12$75,000
-
2008-07-01soldstatus $56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,633
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,011
- − Management
- −$1,011
- − HOA
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $809
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$194
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison-Virgil
- NCES district ID
- 2009090
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,771
- Composite
- 39.98/100
- National rank
- #7896
- State rank
- #32 of 280 in KS
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #318
- US rank
- #14619
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madison, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,391
Population outlook (Greenwood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,505 people
- By 2030
- 5,103 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 4,287 · -22.1%
- By 2050
- 3,576 · -35.0%
- By 2075
- 2,370 · -56.9%
- By 2100
- 1,459 · -73.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greenwood
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.0) · D 18.8% · R 79.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.2pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -61.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+59.1 2012: R+49.3 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.86%
- Current HPI
- 175.5345
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+33.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Delisted — Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-12 Listed $75,000 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2008-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…