477 County Road 1398 · Chickasha, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits on this 1.12 MOL acre property located in the desirable Pioneer School District! Situated at 477 CR 1398 in Chickasha, this property features a mobile home ready for your vision and updates. Ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own space, this property offers a solid setup with valuable improvements already in place, including an inground storm shelter. Enjoy the convenience of a 2-car carport, a spacious shop, and multiple outbuildings—perfect for storage, projects, or hobbies. The majority of the acreage is fenced, with apple & peach trees, making it suitable for animals or added privacy. With no restrictions, you’ll have th
Key facts
- 2 car carport
- Spacious shop
- 30 amp plug
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Livestock allowed
- Financial info: Not assumable; Does not qualify for listed loan option; Current price listed
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Home design: Manufactured construction; Single family residence; Residential property; One-level property; Composition roof; Move-to-site status; Homestead eligible
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Composition roof; Conventional foundation; Built to be moved to site
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Outbuildings; Workshop; Rural property
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: One living area; No fireplace; Below-ground storm shelter; Occupied
- Laundry & utility: Conventional foundation
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $598 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 4.8% in Chickasha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#117 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Pioneer (rural): math 68% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #2 of 270 in OK (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pioneer Public School (math 68% / reading 50%, grade B-, #15 of 845 statewide, top 2%, 383 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 36% district-wide (36 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 203 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Grady County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grady County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.70%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $28,333
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.38×
- Total profit
- $73,625
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73018
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$16 /mo · $190/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $598
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-02status $59,999 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-05-20price $65,000
-
2026-05-14status Active
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-05-04price $69,900
-
2026-04-20$79,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $190 · $16/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $540 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- +$350/yr (+$29/mo · 184.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,480
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$190
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,158
- − Management
- −$1,158
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $6,567
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,576
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pioneer
- NCES district ID
- 4024150
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,562
- Composite
- 50.77/100
- National rank
- #1811
- State rank
- #2 of 270 in OK
Livability — Chickasha
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #11902
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Grady County · 20,505 people
- City population
- 20,505
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,505
- Household income
- $56,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 685.0
Population outlook (Grady County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,962 people
- By 2030
- 62,513 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 67,338 · +12.3%
- By 2050
- 71,719 · +19.6%
- By 2075
- 82,684 · +37.9%
- By 2100
- 89,387 · +49.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 5% Native American 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Grady
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.7) · D 17.9% · R 80.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: -46.7pp · 2024: -62.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.7 2020: R+62.3 2016: R+60.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+46.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.82%
- Current HPI
- 249.6051
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-18.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $65,000 MLSOK
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2026-05-11 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $69,900 MLSOK
- 2026-04-20 Listed $79,900 MLSOK
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $190 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…