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7602 E Rugged Ironwood Rd
D+ Composite 47.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$348,000

7602 E Rugged Ironwood Rd · Gold Canyon, AZ 85118
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,489 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1996 8,276 sqft lot Est $430k · 19% under $116/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This BEAUTIFUL HOME w/Manicured Desert Landscaping and MOUNTAIN VIEWS is Move-in Ready! NEWER ROOF, NEW INTERIOR PAINTING, NEWER EXTERIOR PAINT! Upon entry, you will find a sizable Great room w/Dramatic Ceilings, a Beehive Fireplace to keep you warm, gorgeous wood flooring, and neutral palette. Cook your favorite meals in the kitchen , featuring ample SEE-THROUGH CABINETS w/crown moulding, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, & NEWER SS Appliances. Main Bedroom, includes a double door entry, bay window, outdoor access, a walk-in closet, and ensuite w/ NEW CUSTOM BUILT BATH Vanities and Light Fixtures /dual sinks. Also including a cozy backyard covered patio w/extended seating area, MOUNTAIN VIEWS... this home simply has it all! Come see it today and make it yours

Key facts

  • Covered patio
  • Mountain backdrop
  • Desert views

Tags

DESERT VIEWSMOUNTAIN BACKDROPCOVERED PATIOSCENIC MOUNTAIN VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Biking/walking path in the community
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association membership with semi-annual fee (maintenance of grounds included)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Fee simple ownership; Mountain views
  • Construction: Stucco, cement siding and block construction; Other roof
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Natural desert front landscaping

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms (Primary bedroom on main level, approx. 12 x 16)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full bath in the primary bedroom; Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other type)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $348k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $308k (11.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $308k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Gold Canyon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#225 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 425 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $307,655 (11.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.30%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$430,321
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7935 E Salt Bush Rd 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,482 (-0%) 2mo $365,000 $246 77
8075 E Chip Shot Ct 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,435 (-4%) 2mo $377,000 $263 74
6733 S Fairway Dr 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,577 (+6%) 2mo $418,500 $265 73
8210 E Mulligan Ct 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,604 (+8%) 2mo $469,000 $292 68
8061 E Lavender Dr 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,455 (-2%) 2mo $487,500 $335 68
6514 S Ginty Dr S 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,712 (+15%) 1mo $450,000 $263 67
8381 E Golden Cholla Dr 0.74mi 2/2.0 1,465 (-2%) 2mo $435,000 $297 61
5555 S Indigo Dr 0.44mi 2/2.0 1,660 (+12%) 2mo $489,000 $295 58
5272 S Granite Dr 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,621 (+9%) 2mo $380,000 $234 54
7085 E Desert Spoon Ln 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,661 (+12%) 2mo $480,000 $289 50
5372 S Red Yucca Ln 0.61mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,613 (+8%) 1mo $450,000 $279 48
5236 S Marble Dr S 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,710 (+15%) 2mo $510,000 $298 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-49,672
Equity at exit
$51,888
10-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-34,610
Equity at exit
$30,089

Cash invested: $97,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85118

Home prices YoY
-32.4%
Active inventory
425
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,077 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,825
Tax from tax record
$239 /mo · $2,868/yr
Insurance
$145
HOA
$116
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$646
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,943
Max offer price $348,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,000
Closing costs
$10,440
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6497 S Ginty Dr Gold Canyon, AZ 2.0 2.0 1673 $4,300 $2.57 24d 1 0.17mi
6382 S Fairway Dr Gold Canyon, AZ 2.0 2.0 1570 $3,900 $2.48 24d 1 0.27mi
8320 E Masters Rd Gold Canyon, AZ 2.0 2.0 1732 $3,900 $2.25 1d 1 0.47mi
6816 S Russet Sky Way Gold Canyon, AZ 3.0 2.0 1366 $1,800 $1.32 24d 1 0.74mi
6494 S Foothills Dr Gold Canyon, AZ 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,300 $1.59 16d 1 0.95mi
6838 E Las Animas Trl Gold Canyon, AZ 3.0 3.0 1638 $3,500 $2.14 5d 1 1.08mi
4670 S Jalapa Ln Gold Canyon, AZ 3.0 2.0 1780 $4,300 $2.42 24d 1 1.17mi
9797 E La Palma Ave Unit 1 Gold Canyon, AZ 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 18d 1 1.37mi
9841 E La Palma Ave Gold Canyon, AZ 2.0 2.0 995 $1,200 $1.21 11d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$116 · $1,392/yr
Likely covers
landscaping

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $348,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $348,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $348,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $348,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $348,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $348,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $348,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $348,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $348,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $348,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $348,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $348,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $348,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    listed $348,000 Active
  15. 2022-03-04
    soldstatus $395,000 Closed 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    This BEAUTIFUL HOME w/Manicured Desert Landscaping and MOUNTAIN VIEWS is Move-in Ready! NEWER ROOF, NEW INTERIOR PAINTING, NEWER EXTERIOR PAINT! Upon entry, you will find a sizable Great room w/Dramatic Ceilings, a Beehive Fireplace to keep you warm, gorgeous wood flooring, and neutral palette. Cook your favorite meals in the kitchen , featuring ample SEE-THROUGH CABINETS w/crown moulding, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, & NEWER SS Appliances. Main Bedroom, includes a double door entry, bay window, outdoor access, a walk-in closet, and ensuite w/ NEW CUSTOM BUILT BATH Vanities and Light Fixtures /dual sinks. Also including a cozy backyard covered patio w/extended seating area, MOUNTAIN VIEWS... this home simply has it all! Come see it today and make it yours

  16. 2022-03-04
    soldstatus $395,000
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    This BEAUTIFUL HOME w/Manicured Desert Landscaping and MOUNTAIN VIEWS is Move-in Ready! NEWER ROOF, NEW INTERIOR PAINTING, NEWER EXTERIOR PAINT! Upon entry, you will find a sizable Great room w/Dramatic Ceilings, a Beehive Fireplace to keep you warm, gorgeous wood flooring, and neutral palette. Cook your favorite meals in the kitchen , featuring ample SEE-THROUGH CABINETS w/crown moulding, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, & NEWER SS Appliances. Main Bedroom, includes a double door entry, bay window, outdoor access, a walk-in closet, and ensuite w/ NEW CUSTOM BUILT BATH Vanities and Light Fixtures /dual sinks. Also including a cozy backyard covered patio w/extended seating area, MOUNTAIN VIEWS... this home simply has it all! Come see it today and make it yours

  17. 2022-02-08
    status Pending 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    This BEAUTIFUL HOME w/Manicured Desert Landscaping and MOUNTAIN VIEWS is Move-in Ready! NEWER ROOF, NEW INTERIOR PAINTING, NEWER EXTERIOR PAINT! Upon entry, you will find a sizable Great room w/Dramatic Ceilings, a Beehive Fireplace to keep you warm, gorgeous wood flooring, and neutral palette. Cook your favorite meals in the kitchen , featuring ample SEE-THROUGH CABINETS w/crown moulding, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, & NEWER SS Appliances. Main Bedroom, includes a double door entry, bay window, outdoor access, a walk-in closet, and ensuite w/ NEW CUSTOM BUILT BATH Vanities and Light Fixtures /dual sinks. Also including a cozy backyard covered patio w/extended seating area, MOUNTAIN VIEWS... this home simply has it all! Come see it today and make it yours

  18. 2022-02-03
    listed $395,000 Active 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    This BEAUTIFUL HOME w/Manicured Desert Landscaping and MOUNTAIN VIEWS is Move-in Ready! NEWER ROOF, NEW INTERIOR PAINTING, NEWER EXTERIOR PAINT! Upon entry, you will find a sizable Great room w/Dramatic Ceilings, a Beehive Fireplace to keep you warm, gorgeous wood flooring, and neutral palette. Cook your favorite meals in the kitchen , featuring ample SEE-THROUGH CABINETS w/crown moulding, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, & NEWER SS Appliances. Main Bedroom, includes a double door entry, bay window, outdoor access, a walk-in closet, and ensuite w/ NEW CUSTOM BUILT BATH Vanities and Light Fixtures /dual sinks. Also including a cozy backyard covered patio w/extended seating area, MOUNTAIN VIEWS... this home simply has it all! Come see it today and make it yours

  19. 2018-04-06
    soldstatus $255,000 Closed 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    OH MY!! NOT A STANDARD Mountainbrook home! New Roof! DROP DEAD CUSTOM Saguaro floor plan with MOUNTAIN views on a large lot. Home features GREATROOM with Cozy electric FIREPLACE & engineered WOOD FLOOR. Kitchen has been UPDATED with CABINETS, GRANITE counter tops, NEWER SS appliances and R/O system. I’m sure you won’t miss the CUSTOM VALANCES or the CUSTOM VIGAS throughout while looking at the MOUNTAIN VIEWS. NEW CUSTOM BUILT bathroom VANITIES, MIRROR & Fixtures….Inside the laundry room is a LARGE AREA for OFFICE/DEN or HOBBY room. Master bedroom has double doors and BAY window. GREAT outdoor living with covered & extended Patio and mountain views. You will love the garage with extra lighting...NEW EXTERIOR paint and WATER HEATER. This is a chance of a LIFETIME for a TRULY AWESOME home.

  20. 2018-04-06
    soldstatus $255,000
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    OH MY!! NOT A STANDARD Mountainbrook home! New Roof! DROP DEAD CUSTOM Saguaro floor plan with MOUNTAIN views on a large lot. Home features GREATROOM with Cozy electric FIREPLACE & engineered WOOD FLOOR. Kitchen has been UPDATED with CABINETS, GRANITE counter tops, NEWER SS appliances and R/O system. I’m sure you won’t miss the CUSTOM VALANCES or the CUSTOM VIGAS throughout while looking at the MOUNTAIN VIEWS. NEW CUSTOM BUILT bathroom VANITIES, MIRROR & Fixtures….Inside the laundry room is a LARGE AREA for OFFICE/DEN or HOBBY room. Master bedroom has double doors and BAY window. GREAT outdoor living with covered & extended Patio and mountain views. You will love the garage with extra lighting...NEW EXTERIOR paint and WATER HEATER. This is a chance of a LIFETIME for a TRULY AWESOME home.

  21. 2018-03-27
    status Pending 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    OH MY!! NOT A STANDARD Mountainbrook home! New Roof! DROP DEAD CUSTOM Saguaro floor plan with MOUNTAIN views on a large lot. Home features GREATROOM with Cozy electric FIREPLACE & engineered WOOD FLOOR. Kitchen has been UPDATED with CABINETS, GRANITE counter tops, NEWER SS appliances and R/O system. I’m sure you won’t miss the CUSTOM VALANCES or the CUSTOM VIGAS throughout while looking at the MOUNTAIN VIEWS. NEW CUSTOM BUILT bathroom VANITIES, MIRROR & Fixtures….Inside the laundry room is a LARGE AREA for OFFICE/DEN or HOBBY room. Master bedroom has double doors and BAY window. GREAT outdoor living with covered & extended Patio and mountain views. You will love the garage with extra lighting...NEW EXTERIOR paint and WATER HEATER. This is a chance of a LIFETIME for a TRULY AWESOME home.

  22. 2018-03-11
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    OH MY!! NOT A STANDARD Mountainbrook home! New Roof! DROP DEAD CUSTOM Saguaro floor plan with MOUNTAIN views on a large lot. Home features GREATROOM with Cozy electric FIREPLACE & engineered WOOD FLOOR. Kitchen has been UPDATED with CABINETS, GRANITE counter tops, NEWER SS appliances and R/O system. I’m sure you won’t miss the CUSTOM VALANCES or the CUSTOM VIGAS throughout while looking at the MOUNTAIN VIEWS. NEW CUSTOM BUILT bathroom VANITIES, MIRROR & Fixtures….Inside the laundry room is a LARGE AREA for OFFICE/DEN or HOBBY room. Master bedroom has double doors and BAY window. GREAT outdoor living with covered & extended Patio and mountain views. You will love the garage with extra lighting...NEW EXTERIOR paint and WATER HEATER. This is a chance of a LIFETIME for a TRULY AWESOME home.

  23. 2018-02-24
    price $260,000 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    OH MY!! NOT A STANDARD Mountainbrook home! New Roof! DROP DEAD CUSTOM Saguaro floor plan with MOUNTAIN views on a large lot. Home features GREATROOM with Cozy electric FIREPLACE & engineered WOOD FLOOR. Kitchen has been UPDATED with CABINETS, GRANITE counter tops, NEWER SS appliances and R/O system. I’m sure you won’t miss the CUSTOM VALANCES or the CUSTOM VIGAS throughout while looking at the MOUNTAIN VIEWS. NEW CUSTOM BUILT bathroom VANITIES, MIRROR & Fixtures….Inside the laundry room is a LARGE AREA for OFFICE/DEN or HOBBY room. Master bedroom has double doors and BAY window. GREAT outdoor living with covered & extended Patio and mountain views. You will love the garage with extra lighting...NEW EXTERIOR paint and WATER HEATER. This is a chance of a LIFETIME for a TRULY AWESOME home.

  24. 2018-02-05
    status Active 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    OH MY!! NOT A STANDARD Mountainbrook home! New Roof! DROP DEAD CUSTOM Saguaro floor plan with MOUNTAIN views on a large lot. Home features GREATROOM with Cozy electric FIREPLACE & engineered WOOD FLOOR. Kitchen has been UPDATED with CABINETS, GRANITE counter tops, NEWER SS appliances and R/O system. I’m sure you won’t miss the CUSTOM VALANCES or the CUSTOM VIGAS throughout while looking at the MOUNTAIN VIEWS. NEW CUSTOM BUILT bathroom VANITIES, MIRROR & Fixtures….Inside the laundry room is a LARGE AREA for OFFICE/DEN or HOBBY room. Master bedroom has double doors and BAY window. GREAT outdoor living with covered & extended Patio and mountain views. You will love the garage with extra lighting...NEW EXTERIOR paint and WATER HEATER. This is a chance of a LIFETIME for a TRULY AWESOME home.

  25. 2018-02-01
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    OH MY!! NOT A STANDARD Mountainbrook home! New Roof! DROP DEAD CUSTOM Saguaro floor plan with MOUNTAIN views on a large lot. Home features GREATROOM with Cozy electric FIREPLACE & engineered WOOD FLOOR. Kitchen has been UPDATED with CABINETS, GRANITE counter tops, NEWER SS appliances and R/O system. I’m sure you won’t miss the CUSTOM VALANCES or the CUSTOM VIGAS throughout while looking at the MOUNTAIN VIEWS. NEW CUSTOM BUILT bathroom VANITIES, MIRROR & Fixtures….Inside the laundry room is a LARGE AREA for OFFICE/DEN or HOBBY room. Master bedroom has double doors and BAY window. GREAT outdoor living with covered & extended Patio and mountain views. You will love the garage with extra lighting...NEW EXTERIOR paint and WATER HEATER. This is a chance of a LIFETIME for a TRULY AWESOME home.

  26. 2018-01-18
    listed $267,500 Active 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    OH MY!! NOT A STANDARD Mountainbrook home! New Roof! DROP DEAD CUSTOM Saguaro floor plan with MOUNTAIN views on a large lot. Home features GREATROOM with Cozy electric FIREPLACE & engineered WOOD FLOOR. Kitchen has been UPDATED with CABINETS, GRANITE counter tops, NEWER SS appliances and R/O system. I’m sure you won’t miss the CUSTOM VALANCES or the CUSTOM VIGAS throughout while looking at the MOUNTAIN VIEWS. NEW CUSTOM BUILT bathroom VANITIES, MIRROR & Fixtures….Inside the laundry room is a LARGE AREA for OFFICE/DEN or HOBBY room. Master bedroom has double doors and BAY window. GREAT outdoor living with covered & extended Patio and mountain views. You will love the garage with extra lighting...NEW EXTERIOR paint and WATER HEATER. This is a chance of a LIFETIME for a TRULY AWESOME home.

  27. 2013-02-28
    soldstatus $195,000 Closed
  28. 2013-02-28
    soldstatus $195,000
  29. 2013-01-10
    status Pending
  30. 2013-01-08
    listed $210,000 Active
  31. 1996-02-28
    soldstatus $348,144

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,868 · $239/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,868 · $239/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,919
− Mortgage interest
−$19,493
− Property taxes
−$2,868
− Insurance
−$1,740
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,953
− Management
−$2,953
− HOA
−$1,392
− Depreciation
−$10,124
Taxable loss
−$4,605
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,105
After-tax cash flow
$2,372/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
NCES district ID
0400790
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
15.34/100
National rank
#9325
State rank
#195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Gold Canyon

Score
57/100
State rank
#225
US rank
#21732

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gold Canyon, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
14,932
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
14,932
Household income
$86,393
Rent vs Own
8.4% rent · 91.6% own
Severe rent burden
160.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Romanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.27%
Current HPI
255.6958
Rent YoY
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $348,000 ARMLS
  • 2022-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
  • 2022-03-04 Sold (MLS) $395,000 ARMLS
  • 2022-02-08 Pending ARMLS
  • 2022-02-03 Listed $395,000 ARMLS
  • 2018-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
  • 2018-04-06 Sold (MLS) $255,000 ARMLS
  • 2018-03-27 Pending ARMLS
  • 2018-03-11 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2018-02-24 Price Changed $260,000 ARMLS
  • 2018-02-05 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2018-02-01 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2018-01-18 Listed $267,500 ARMLS
  • 2013-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
  • 2013-02-28 Sold (MLS) $195,000 ARMLS
  • 2013-01-10 Pending ARMLS
  • 2013-01-08 Listed $210,000 ARMLS
  • 1996-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $348,144 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,868 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…