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630-632 N 59th Ave Ave W Duplex
C- Composite 54.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

630-632 N 59th Ave Ave W · Duluth, MN 55807
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,432 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1914 6,098 sqft lot $123/sqft · 31% above area Est $228k · 31% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

This solid Spirit Valley duplex is ready for a new owner! These identical side by side units offer 2 stories, each with private access to their own basement with laundry, formal dining rooms, 3 bedrooms and 1 bath, and decks off of the kitchen. 630 has new paint, carpet, and a new stove and fridge, plus a sauna in the basement. There is off-street parking as well as a 2 car detached garage. The building had a new rubber slope roof put on in 2013. Both units are fully rented and tenants pay all utilities. Each unit has its own boiler, hot water heater, and electrical panel too. The location is great and is within blocks of schools, shopping, the library, the co-op, entertainment, Spirit Mtn Recreation Area, the Superior Hiking Trail, public transit, and much more.

Key facts

  • New stove
  • New carpet
  • Decks off kitchen

Tags

PRIVATE ACCESS TO BASEMENTFORMAL DINING ROOMSDECKS OFF KITCHENNEW PAINTNEW CARPETNEW STOVE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $750 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $375/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $296k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,509/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 407% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $160k; list at $300k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $295,500 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.72%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$228,154
List price
$300,000
Delta
31.49%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
630-632 N 59th Ave Ave W 0.00mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,432 (0%) 0mo $300,000 $123 91
4612 W 5th St 0.56mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,100 (-14%) 11mo $330,000 $157 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-800
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$60,930
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55807

Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
14.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,509 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$324 /mo · $3,882/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$737
Net cashflow
$750

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,559
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 74%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,509

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 773-char remark
    Show marketing remark (773 chars)

    This solid Spirit Valley duplex is ready for a new owner! These identical side by side units offer 2 stories, each with private access to their own basement with laundry, formal dining rooms, 3 bedrooms and 1 bath, and decks off of the kitchen. 630 has new paint, carpet, and a new stove and fridge, plus a sauna in the basement. There is off-street parking as well as a 2 car detached garage. The building had a new rubber slope roof put on in 2013. Both units are fully rented and tenants pay all utilities. Each unit has its own boiler, hot water heater, and electrical panel too. The location is great and is within blocks of schools, shopping, the library, the co-op, entertainment, Spirit Mtn Recreation Area, the Superior Hiking Trail, public transit, and much more.

  2. 2026-04-17
    listed $300,000 Active 773-char remark
    Show marketing remark (773 chars)

    This solid Spirit Valley duplex is ready for a new owner! These identical side by side units offer 2 stories, each with private access to their own basement with laundry, formal dining rooms, 3 bedrooms and 1 bath, and decks off of the kitchen. 630 has new paint, carpet, and a new stove and fridge, plus a sauna in the basement. There is off-street parking as well as a 2 car detached garage. The building had a new rubber slope roof put on in 2013. Both units are fully rented and tenants pay all utilities. Each unit has its own boiler, hot water heater, and electrical panel too. The location is great and is within blocks of schools, shopping, the library, the co-op, entertainment, Spirit Mtn Recreation Area, the Superior Hiking Trail, public transit, and much more.

  3. 2018-02-02
    soldstatus $160,100
  4. 2018-01-18
    soldstatus $160,000 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Denfeld area side by side Duplex with 3 bedrooms & 1 Bath in each unit. Newer low slope roof in 2013, updated flooring and paint in unit 632. Both Apartments have access to their own basement and have rear decks. ALL UTILITIES ARE SEPARATE AND TENANTS PAY WATER, SEWER, GAS. ELECTRICITY. Owner uses 2 car garage as personal storage.

  5. 2017-11-08
    listed $169,900 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Denfeld area side by side Duplex with 3 bedrooms & 1 Bath in each unit. Newer low slope roof in 2013, updated flooring and paint in unit 632. Both Apartments have access to their own basement and have rear decks. ALL UTILITIES ARE SEPARATE AND TENANTS PAY WATER, SEWER, GAS. ELECTRICITY. Owner uses 2 car garage as personal storage.

  6. 2005-09-30
    soldstatus $159,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,882 · $324/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,882 · $324/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,108
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$3,882
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,369
− Management
−$3,369
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$4,457
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,070
After-tax cash flow
$7,935/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duluth Public School District
NCES district ID
2711040
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,692
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3360
State rank
#132 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

Score
82/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duluth, MN
County
Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
City population
71,097
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
9,763
Household income
$62,067
Rent vs Own
28.4% rent · 71.6% own
Severe rent burden
407.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -127.84%
Current HPI
212.6883
Rent YoY
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+88.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending LSAR
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $300,000 LSAR
  • 2018-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $160,100 Public Records
  • 2018-01-18 Sold (MLS) $160,000 LSAR
  • 2017-11-08 Listed $169,900 LSAR
  • 2005-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $159,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,882 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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