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9011 Heyden St
B- Composite 69.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

9011 Heyden St · Detroit, MI 48228
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1950 4,792 sqft lot $67/sqft · at area comps Est $47k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great 2BD/1BA property. Modest updates, fresh paint and carpet throughout, good bones, well maintained. Mechanicals are in place and good working order. You won't regret this place! Come inquire about it today before it's too late!

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 43 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no garage)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.11 acres (35 x 134.02)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $1k; list at $45k implies a 4400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $43,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
19.16%
Cash-on-cash
45.96%
DSCR
3.05
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$47,282
List price
$45,000
Delta
-4.83%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8645 Fielding St 0.25mi 2/1.0 693 (+3%) 2mo $39,000 $56 81
8411 Fielding St 0.39mi 2/1.0 693 (+3%) 1mo $47,000 $68 76
8611 Stout St 0.26mi 2/1.0 693 (+3%) 13mo $35,000 $51 72
9107 Vaughan St 0.11mi 2/1.0 732 (+9%) 12mo $47,000 $64 70
9101 Heyden St 0.09mi 2/1.0 740 (+10%) 13mo $40,000 $54 68
8883 Plainview Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 708 (+5%) 18mo $48,900 $69 67
8499 Braile St 0.38mi 2/1.0 726 (+8%) 8mo $55,000 $76 62
9271 Minock St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 736 (+10%) 12mo $85,714 $116 52
8257 Minock St 0.55mi 2/1.0 737 (+10%) 8mo $32,000 $43 52
8062 Grandville Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 732 (+9%) 6mo $60,000 $82 46
8900 Artesian St 0.65mi 2/1.0 746 (+11%) 10mo $35,000 $47 42
9962 Evergreen Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 762 (+13%) 16mo $52,000 $68 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.6%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$20,440
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
44.5%
Equity multiple
4.63×
Total profit
$45,768
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
363
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,036 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $976/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$483

Break-even live

Break-even rent $425
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20237 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 43d 1 0.31mi
19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 43d 1 0.49mi
7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 690 $1,350 $1.96 43d 1 0.88mi
18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $875 $1.46 43d 1 0.96mi
18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,117 $1.62 1d 15 0.98mi
6980 Town Ln Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $895 $1.49 17d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-06
    listed $45,000 Active 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Great 2BD/1BA property. Modest updates, fresh paint and carpet throughout, good bones, well maintained. Mechanicals are in place and good working order. You won't regret this place! Come inquire about it today before it's too late!

  15. 2026-05-06
    listed $45,000 Active 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Great 2BD/1BA property. Modest updates, fresh paint and carpet throughout, good bones, well maintained. Mechanicals are in place and good working order. You won't regret this place! Come inquire about it today before it's too late!

  16. 2008-07-03
    soldstatus $1,000
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    $1,000 selling bonus if sold before 4/30/08!!!! West Side Investment special !! Two Bedroom home with a full basement great for extra storage space. Nice Rental Property or starter home. This home has lots of potential. Bank owned proeprty to be sold in as condition, buyers agent to verfiy all data and measurement

  17. 2007-10-10
    listed $3,000
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    $1,000 selling bonus if sold before 4/30/08!!!! West Side Investment special !! Two Bedroom home with a full basement great for extra storage space. Nice Rental Property or starter home. This home has lots of potential. Bank owned proeprty to be sold in as condition, buyers agent to verfiy all data and measurement

  18. 2006-06-22
    soldstatus $80,000
  19. 2005-10-04
    historical
  20. 2005-07-28
    listed $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$976 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$976 · $81/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,435
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$976
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$995
− Management
−$995
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$5,415
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,300
After-tax cash flow
$4,492/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+104.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-07-03 Sold (MLS) $1,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-10-10 Listed $3,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2005-10-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-07-28 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $976 · -49.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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