A-11 Cookstown New Egypt Rd · Cookstown, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well maintained 72 x 14 ft trailer in really nice Trailer Park - California Village. Home features large eat in kitchen, large living room and 2 nice sized bedrooms , bath and laundry. All new gorgeous windows and frames, new underbelly insulation, new front door with screen, new gutters and downspouts, new exhaust fan in bath. Newer oven, newer hot water heater. Large private side yard with porch. No one behind or to the one side so plenty of privacy.
Key facts
- Large eat in kitchen
- Large living room
- Plenty of privacy
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA present — California Village; Association fee $625 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Fee simple ownership; Located in California Village (Wrightstown area)
- Construction: Flat roof
- Exterior features: Low-e window coating; Level topography
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooking; Stove
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Washer, Dryer, Electric cooking, Stove, Light fixtures; Laminate flooring; No fireplace; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Northern Burlington County Regional School District (rural): math 27% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #198 of 472 in NJ (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
- Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.26%
- DSCR
- 3.77
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $148,000
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+10%) | 21mo | $163,000 | $148 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.34% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 71.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.65×
- Total profit
- $90,960
- Equity at exit
- $49,983
- IRR
- 67.7%
- Equity multiple
- 12.07×
- Total profit
- $216,744
- Equity at exit
- $96,378
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08562
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,688 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$625
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$564
- Net cashflow
- $1,015
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,064 | -5% $1,040 | +0% $1,015 | +5% $991 | +10% $967 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $803 | -5% $909 | +0% $1,015 | +5% $1,122 | +10% $1,228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,051 | -0.5pp $1,033 | base $1,015 | +0.5pp $997 | +1.0pp $979 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3700a Circle Dr McGuire AFB, NJ | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1989 | $2,688 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $625 · $7,500/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 14 events
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2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-04remarks 456-char remark
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2026-06-04$69,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,256
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,580
- − Management
- −$2,580
- − HOA
- −$7,500
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $12,248
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,940
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,246/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This mobile home is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value for resale.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — can be replaced with modern ones
- Minor bathroom vanity — can be replaced with modern ones
- Moderate exterior siding — needs repainting or replacement
Value-add opportunities
- Resale modern kitchen cabinets — enhances curb appeal and functionality
- Resale modern bathroom vanity — enhances curb appeal and functionality
- Resale exterior siding repainting — enhances curb appeal and value
- Both new flooring — improves living experience and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · can be replaced with modern ones | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom vanity · can be replaced with modern ones | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior siding · needs repainting or replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $4,000–21,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale modern kitchen cabinets — enhances curb appeal and functionality ↑
- Resale modern bathroom vanity — enhances curb appeal and functionality ↑
- Resale exterior siding repainting — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both new flooring — improves living experience and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northern Burlington County Regional School District
- NCES district ID
- 3411700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,110
- Composite
- 39.1/100
- National rank
- #4042
- State rank
- #198 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Cookstown
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cookstown, NJ
- City population
- 885
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,301
Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 453,425 people
- By 2030
- 452,359 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 445,033 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 431,760 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 406,277 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 364,732 · -19.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Two or more races 22% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Burlington
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.34%
- Current HPI
- 306.1085
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $69,900 MOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…