2032 Center St · Paducah, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOTIVATED SELLER willing to work with reasonable offers. Affordable, move-in ready 2-bedroom home with over 1,000 square feet of living space located within Paducah city limits. This property offers a functional layout with comfortable room sizes and a manageable yard that includes a storage shed for added convenience. Key features include central heat and air, natural gas utilities, and a durable metal roof, providing solid core systems for long-term reliability. The home is clean and ready for occupancy, while still offering opportunity for cosmetic updates to increase value over time. A strong option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a practical property at an accessible price point. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and major road access.
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($988 rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.5% in Paducah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#197 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Paducah Independent (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #122 of 165 in KY (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Morgan Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #572 of 676 statewide, top 88%, 380 students, 89% FRL); Paducah Middle School (math 19% / reading 36%, grade F, #168 of 217 statewide, top 78%, 652 students, 69% FRL); Paducah Tilghman High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 878 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.86%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,510
- List price
- $72,000
- Delta
- -36.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2827 Cornell St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 994 (+5%) | 0mo | $144,500 | $145 | 86 |
| 2328 Center St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+2%) | 4mo | $158,000 | $165 | 77 |
| 3019 Mississippi St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (-3%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $163 | 76 |
| 2832 Goodman St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 890 (-6%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $39 | 76 |
| 3001 Georgia St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-5%) | 7mo | $54,000 | $60 | 75 |
| 3017 Georgia St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (-6%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $79 | 74 |
| 2332 Center St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+2%) | 7mo | $128,400 | $134 | 74 |
| 2811 Bradley St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-3%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $49 | 68 |
| 2936 Cornell St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+14%) | 5mo | $94,000 | $87 | 57 |
| 2507 Ohio St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-14%) | 3mo | $109,900 | $135 | 50 |
| 1213 Starke Ave | 0.61mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (+13%) | 3mo | $112,500 | $106 | 42 |
| 2728 Adams St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 812 (-14%) | 2mo | $106,750 | $131 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $6,388
- Equity at exit
- $10,735
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $28,852
- Equity at exit
- $6,225
Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42003
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $988 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$378
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $333 | -5% $308 | +0% $283 | +5% $258 | +10% $233 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $205 | -5% $244 | +0% $283 | +5% $322 | +10% $361 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $320 | -0.5pp $302 | base $283 | +0.5pp $265 | +1.0pp $246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,000
- Closing costs
- $2,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 922 S 27th St Unit A Paducah, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1900 Jefferson St Paducah, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 710 Lone Oak Rd Paducah, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $799 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2967 Harrison St Paducah, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $915 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $72,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $72,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $72,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $72,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $72,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $72,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $72,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $72,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $82,000 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER willing to work with reasonable offers. Affordable, move-in ready 2-bedroom home with over 1,000 square feet of living space located within Paducah city limits. This property offers a functional layout with comfortable room sizes and a manageable yard that includes a storage shed for added convenience. Key features include central heat and air, natural gas utilities, and a durable metal roof, providing solid core systems for long-term reliability. The home is clean and ready for occupancy, while still offering opportunity for cosmetic updates to increase value over time. A strong option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a practical property at an accessible price point. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and major road access.
-
2026-01-14$99,900 Active 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER willing to work with reasonable offers. Affordable, move-in ready 2-bedroom home with over 1,000 square feet of living space located within Paducah city limits. This property offers a functional layout with comfortable room sizes and a manageable yard that includes a storage shed for added convenience. Key features include central heat and air, natural gas utilities, and a durable metal roof, providing solid core systems for long-term reliability. The home is clean and ready for occupancy, while still offering opportunity for cosmetic updates to increase value over time. A strong option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a practical property at an accessible price point. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and major road access.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,861
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,033
- − Property taxes
- −$1,080
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$949
- − Management
- −$949
- − Depreciation
- −$2,095
- Taxable income
- $2,395
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$575
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paducah Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2104650
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,067
- Composite
- 23.41/100
- National rank
- #7896
- State rank
- #122 of 165 in KY
Livability — Paducah
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #9780
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paducah, KY
- City population
- 30,856
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,384
Population outlook (McCracken County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,237 people
- By 2030
- 63,468 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 61,221 · -4.7%
- By 2050
- 58,432 · -9.0%
- By 2075
- 52,668 · -18.0%
- By 2100
- 44,517 · -30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McCracken
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.9% · R 66.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.9 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.31%
- Current HPI
- 236.3013
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-17.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $82,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $99,900 WKRMLS
Property tax history
-14.1%/yrLatest (2025): $125 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…