CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4175 Silver Gln
D+ Composite 47.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$255,000

4175 Silver Gln · Valdosta, GA 31632
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,544 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 2018 4,791 sqft lot Est $255k · at est. $12/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

There's something about this home that just feels easy to settle into. Located in Nelson Hill in Hahira, this move-in ready 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers a layout that is open enough for gathering, while still giving each space its own purpose. Brand new LVP flooring throughout the main living areas adds warmth and durability, perfectly complementing the natural light and inviting feel of the home. The kitchen overlooks the dining and living areas, making everyday routines and entertaining feel effortless. Tucked away for privacy, the primary suite features his-and-hers closets, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and separate shower, creating a true retreat at the end of the day. Step outside to enjoy the screened back porch and fully fenced backyard, ideal for morning coffee, evening unwinding, pets, or play. Beyond the home itself, Nelson Hill offers neighborhood amenities including a pond, playground, and pavilions that make it easy to enjoy the community around you. Conveniently located with an easy commute to SGMC, VSU, Moody Air Force Base, Valdosta, and I-75, this home offers the lifestyle so many buyers are searching for in South Georgia. Call to schedule your appointment today!

Key facts

  • Screened back porch
  • Pond
  • Lvp flooring

Tags

LVP FLOORINGSCREENED BACK PORCHFULLY FENCED BACKYARDNEIGHBORHOOD AMENITIESPONDPLAYGROUND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Nelson Hill subdivision in Hahira, GA; Lot reported as approximately 0.11 acres
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $145 monthly fee (includes grounds maintenance); Community amenities include a lake and a playground

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage parking (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential property; Built in 2018; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Back yard with privacy fencing; Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Separate shower; Soaking tub; Split bedroom plan; Tray ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; One-level living
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups/features listed; Includes a laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (5.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (22.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.3% in Valdosta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#392 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lowndes County (rural): math 59% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #8 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Dewar Elementary (math 61% / reading 47%, grade C, #204 of 1,228 statewide, top 17%, 859 students, 50% FRL); Pine Grove Middle School (math 56% / reading 57%, grade B, #48 of 470 statewide, top 10%, 742 students, 50% FRL); Lowndes High School (math 69% / reading 51%, grade C+, #14 of 424 statewide, top 3%, 3,201 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $200k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $198,342 (22.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.40%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$254,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4167 Silver Gln 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,544 (0%) 4mo $245,000 $159 96
4192 Bright Crk 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,544 (0%) 4mo $255,900 $166 96
4160 Willow Round Rd 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,544 (0%) 5mo $248,000 $161 92
4115 Cider Trl 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,538 (-0%) 2mo $265,000 $172 89
4089 Silver Gln 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,534 (-1%) 1mo $249,900 $163 89
4152 Willow Round Rd 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,496 (-3%) 3mo $265,500 $177 89
4097 Nelson Hill Pl 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,544 (0%) 2mo $254,000 $165 88
4122 Nelson Hill Pl 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,544 (0%) 5mo $252,000 $163 86
4154 Shadow Garden Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,574 (+2%) 3mo $264,500 $168 86
4176 Cider Trl 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,434 (-7%) 4mo $227,605 $159 81
3988 Nelson Hill Pl 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,630 (+6%) 3mo $260,000 $160 72
4058 Cottage Hts 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,395 (-10%) 1mo $230,000 $165 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$133,522
Equity at exit
$229,724
10-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
6.56×
Total profit
$397,307
Equity at exit
$495,409

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31632

Home prices YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,983 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,339/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$12
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$417
Net cashflow
$-84

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,089
Max offer price $240,248
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4171 Silver Gln Hahira, GA 3.0 2.0 1544 $1,650 $1.07 21d 1 0.03mi
4194 Silver Gln Hahira, GA 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,795 $1.09 21d 1 0.06mi
4112 Silver Gln Hahira, GA 3.0 2.0 1534 $1,750 $1.14 44d 1 0.16mi
4162 Nelson Hill Pl Hahira, GA 3.0 2.0 1561 $1,900 $1.22 21d 1 0.26mi
5048 Planters Xing Hahira, GA 4.0 3.0 2160 $2,500 $1.16 21d 1 0.71mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$12 · $144/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $255,000 Under Contract 11 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $255,000 New 10 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $255,000 New 9 DOM
  4. 2026-05-21
    listed $255,000 Active 1204-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1204 chars)

    There's something about this home that just feels easy to settle into. Located in Nelson Hill in Hahira, this move-in ready 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers a layout that is open enough for gathering, while still giving each space its own purpose. Brand new LVP flooring throughout the main living areas adds warmth and durability, perfectly complementing the natural light and inviting feel of the home. The kitchen overlooks the dining and living areas, making everyday routines and entertaining feel effortless. Tucked away for privacy, the primary suite features his-and-hers closets, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and separate shower, creating a true retreat at the end of the day. Step outside to enjoy the screened back porch and fully fenced backyard, ideal for morning coffee, evening unwinding, pets, or play. Beyond the home itself, Nelson Hill offers neighborhood amenities including a pond, playground, and pavilions that make it easy to enjoy the community around you. Conveniently located with an easy commute to SGMC, VSU, Moody Air Force Base, Valdosta, and I-75, this home offers the lifestyle so many buyers are searching for in South Georgia. Call to schedule your appointment today!

  5. 2026-05-21
    listed $255,000 New
    Show marketing remark (1204 chars)

    There's something about this home that just feels easy to settle into. Located in Nelson Hill in Hahira, this move-in ready 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers a layout that is open enough for gathering, while still giving each space its own purpose. Brand new LVP flooring throughout the main living areas adds warmth and durability, perfectly complementing the natural light and inviting feel of the home. The kitchen overlooks the dining and living areas, making everyday routines and entertaining feel effortless. Tucked away for privacy, the primary suite features his-and-hers closets, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and separate shower, creating a true retreat at the end of the day. Step outside to enjoy the screened back porch and fully fenced backyard, ideal for morning coffee, evening unwinding, pets, or play. Beyond the home itself, Nelson Hill offers neighborhood amenities including a pond, playground, and pavilions that make it easy to enjoy the community around you. Conveniently located with an easy commute to SGMC, VSU, Moody Air Force Base, Valdosta, and I-75, this home offers the lifestyle so many buyers are searching for in South Georgia. Call to schedule your appointment today!

  6. 2021-10-29
    soldstatus $199,500
  7. 2021-10-28
    soldstatus $199,500
  8. 2021-08-27
    listed $199,900
  9. 2018-07-10
    soldstatus $149,900
  10. 2018-07-09
    soldstatus $149,900
  11. 2018-04-13
    listed $149,900
  12. 2013-02-01
    soldstatus $730,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,339 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,346 · $196/mo
Expected delta
+$7/yr (+$1/mo · 0.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,801
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$2,339
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,904
− Management
−$1,904
− HOA
−$144
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$5,467
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,312
After-tax cash flow
$310/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lowndes County
NCES district ID
1303390
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,221
Composite
47.21/100
National rank
#2317
State rank
#8 of 174 in GA

Livability — Valdosta

Score
60/100
State rank
#392
US rank
#19544

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lowndes County · 107,801 people
City population
91,859
Metro
Valdosta, GA
Population (ZIP)
15,942
Household income
$83,946
Rent vs Own
16.9% rent · 83.1% own
Severe rent burden
73.0

Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,348 people
By 2030
123,469 · +2.6%
By 2040
128,482 · +6.8%
By 2050
131,907 · +9.6%
By 2075
139,080 · +15.6%
By 2100
133,649 · +11.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 40.8% · R 58.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+18.2 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.44%
Current HPI
259.01
Rent YoY
Metro
Valdosta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-65.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $255,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $255,000 SGMLS
  • 2021-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $199,500 Public Records
  • 2021-10-28 Sold (MLS) $199,500 SGMLS
  • 2021-08-27 Listed $199,900 SGMLS
  • 2018-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $149,900 Public Records
  • 2018-07-09 Sold (MLS) $149,900 SGMLS
  • 2018-04-13 Listed $149,900 SGMLS
  • 2013-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $730,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+32.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,339 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…