438 Sarah Anne Dr · Marlboro Meadows, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Buy a Home for Less then the Cost to Rent! Nice 2 BR, 2 Full Bath Singlewide in Sought After Boones Estates! Open Floor Plan w/ Big Eatin Kitchen. Plenty of Cabinets and Countertops Including an Island w/ Breakfast Bar. Large Master Bedroom w. Full Bath and Garden Soaking Tub. Outside you Have a Big Custom Sundeck and Secure Storage Shed. Community Swimming Pool! Don't Delay this One Won't Last.
Key facts
- Remodeled
- Open layout
- Basketball court
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership is subject to ground rent
- Financial info: Ground rent exists and is paid monthly
- HOA & community: Community amenities include tennis courts; HOA/association covers recreation facilities, road maintenance, sewer, snow removal, trash, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Shared well water; Cable TV available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Estimated year built
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Screens on windows
- Exterior features: Level entry to main level; Above-grade structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Breakfast area; Family room open to the kitchen; Window treatments; Master bathroom; Whirlpool/hot tub; Open floor plan; Cathedral ceilings; Paneled walls
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 9.1% in Marlboro Meadows — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#327 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Anne Arundel County Public Schools (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #10 of 24 in MD (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Traceys Elementary (math 13% / reading 15%, grade F, #513 of 860 statewide, top 60%, 437 students, 60% FRL); Southern Middle (math 8% / reading 39%, grade F, #118 of 225 statewide, top 54%, 755 students, 45% FRL); Southern High (math 52% / reading 73%, grade B-, #62 of 222 statewide, top 29%, 1,066 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 25% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 1,303 units permitted in Anne Arundel County in 2024 (299 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anne Arundel County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $110k implies a 309% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.33%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,939
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- 35.90%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $25,240
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $77,506
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20711
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,818 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $676
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
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2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-14$115,000 Active 575-char remark
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2016-06-11historical 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Buy a Home for Less then the Cost to Rent! Nice 2 BR, 2 Full Bath Singlewide in Sought After Boones Estates! Open Floor Plan w/ Big Eatin Kitchen. Plenty of Cabinets and Countertops Including an Island w/ Breakfast Bar. Large Master Bedroom w. Full Bath and Garden Soaking Tub. Outside you Have a Big Custom Sundeck and Secure Storage Shed. Community Swimming Pool! Don't Delay this One Won't Last.
-
2016-06-11historical
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Buy a Home for Less then the Cost to Rent! Nice 2 BR, 2 Full Bath Singlewide in Sought After Boones Estates! Open Floor Plan w/ Big Eatin Kitchen. Plenty of Cabinets and Countertops Including an Island w/ Breakfast Bar. Large Master Bedroom w. Full Bath and Garden Soaking Tub. Outside you Have a Big Custom Sundeck and Secure Storage Shed. Community Swimming Pool! Don't Delay this One Won't Last.
-
2016-06-10soldstatus $26,900 Sold 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Buy a Home for Less then the Cost to Rent! Nice 2 BR, 2 Full Bath Singlewide in Sought After Boones Estates! Open Floor Plan w/ Big Eatin Kitchen. Plenty of Cabinets and Countertops Including an Island w/ Breakfast Bar. Large Master Bedroom w. Full Bath and Garden Soaking Tub. Outside you Have a Big Custom Sundeck and Secure Storage Shed. Community Swimming Pool! Don't Delay this One Won't Last.
-
2016-06-10soldstatus $26,900
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Buy a Home for Less then the Cost to Rent! Nice 2 BR, 2 Full Bath Singlewide in Sought After Boones Estates! Open Floor Plan w/ Big Eatin Kitchen. Plenty of Cabinets and Countertops Including an Island w/ Breakfast Bar. Large Master Bedroom w. Full Bath and Garden Soaking Tub. Outside you Have a Big Custom Sundeck and Secure Storage Shed. Community Swimming Pool! Don't Delay this One Won't Last.
-
2016-04-30status Contract 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Buy a Home for Less then the Cost to Rent! Nice 2 BR, 2 Full Bath Singlewide in Sought After Boones Estates! Open Floor Plan w/ Big Eatin Kitchen. Plenty of Cabinets and Countertops Including an Island w/ Breakfast Bar. Large Master Bedroom w. Full Bath and Garden Soaking Tub. Outside you Have a Big Custom Sundeck and Secure Storage Shed. Community Swimming Pool! Don't Delay this One Won't Last.
-
2016-04-21$26,900 Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Buy a Home for Less then the Cost to Rent! Nice 2 BR, 2 Full Bath Singlewide in Sought After Boones Estates! Open Floor Plan w/ Big Eatin Kitchen. Plenty of Cabinets and Countertops Including an Island w/ Breakfast Bar. Large Master Bedroom w. Full Bath and Garden Soaking Tub. Outside you Have a Big Custom Sundeck and Secure Storage Shed. Community Swimming Pool! Don't Delay this One Won't Last.
-
2016-04-21$26,900
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Buy a Home for Less then the Cost to Rent! Nice 2 BR, 2 Full Bath Singlewide in Sought After Boones Estates! Open Floor Plan w/ Big Eatin Kitchen. Plenty of Cabinets and Countertops Including an Island w/ Breakfast Bar. Large Master Bedroom w. Full Bath and Garden Soaking Tub. Outside you Have a Big Custom Sundeck and Secure Storage Shed. Community Swimming Pool! Don't Delay this One Won't Last.
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2000-11-21soldstatus $25,000
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2000-11-03historical
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2000-07-03$27,000
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1999-08-21historical
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1999-08-08
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,811
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,745
- − Management
- −$1,745
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $6,760
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,622
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,486/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anne Arundel County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400060
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,880
- Composite
- 28.52/100
- National rank
- #6733
- State rank
- #10 of 24 in MD
Livability — Marlboro Meadows
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #327
- US rank
- #17129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,629
Population outlook (Anne Arundel County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 617,384 people
- By 2030
- 642,094 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 686,621 · +11.2%
- By 2050
- 723,031 · +17.1%
- By 2075
- 809,346 · +31.1%
- By 2100
- 837,658 · +35.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 12% Black 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Anne Arundel
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.9) · D 55.7% · R 41.7% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.7pp toward D · 2008: -1.8pp · 2024: 13.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.9 2020: D+14.5 2016: D+0.7 2012: R+0.9 2008: R+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.12%
- Current HPI
- 232.1067
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+307.4% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-06-11 Delisted — MRIS
- 2016-06-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-06-10 Sold (MLS) $26,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-06-10 Sold (MLS) $26,900 MRIS
- 2016-04-30 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-04-21 Listed $26,900 MRIS
- 2016-04-21 Listed $26,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-11-21 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MRIS
- 2000-11-03 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-07-03 Listed $27,000 MRIS
- 1999-08-21 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-08-08 Listed — MRIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…