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2201 N Craig #153 Rd #153
C+ Composite 63.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

2201 N Craig #153 Rd #153 · Airway Heights, WA 99224
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,413 sqft · Manufactured public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1999 $98/sqft · 27% above area Est $110k · 26% over ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Rare location available in West Prairie Village! This 4 bedroom 2 bathroom 1,416 sq ft double wide manufactured home was completely updated in 2021 inside & out! New kitchen, baths, windows, flooring, gutters, trim, sprinklers, decks and sod. Forced air & mini-split. New roof and carpet in 2024. As you walk in you'll marvel at the open concept living space and high ceilings, large kitchen complete with an oversized island and an eat in bar. You will also find a spacious dining room before heading to the three bedrooms and a full bathroom on the west side of the home. The primary suite has two light filled northeast windows taking advantage of the morning sunlight as well as an oversized full attached bath with a skylight, walk in shower and walk in closet. Enjoy the view and privacy knowing you will never have neighbors directly behind you. Lot rent includes water, sewer and garbage as well as access to the clubhouse which has a gym, large entertainment space and community kitchen.

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • Rare location
  • Attached bath

Tags

RARE LOCATIONNEW KITCHENOVERSIZED ISLANDATTACHED BATHWALK IN SHOWERWALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in WestPrairieVill park; Land lease: $665

Exterior

  • Parking: Slab parking; Off-site parking; Assigned parking
  • Utilities: High-speed internet available (Xfinity)
  • Home design: Manufactured home (Fleetwood); Skirted foundation with tie-downs and vapor barrier; Axle removed (per foundation details)
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Composition roof; Manufactured house structure
  • Exterior features: Automatic sprinkler system; Level lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Cathedral ceilings

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $713 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 3.1% in Airway Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#204 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Cheney School District (town): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #140 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sunset Elementary (588 students, 74% FRL); Cheney Open Doors (9 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,830 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.45%
Cash-on-cash
22.00%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$109,900
List price
$139,000
Delta
26.48%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2201 N Craig Rd #132 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-1%) 8mo $69,000 $49 89
2201 N Craig Rd Lot 213 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+3%) 6mo $114,500 $79 85
2201 N Craig Rd Lot 131 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-8%) 3mo $109,900 $85 80
2201 N Craig Rd #274 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,280 (-9%) 9mo $95,000 $74 70
2201 N Craig Rd Lot 143 0.09mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,216 (-14%) 13mo $118,000 $97 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$19,906
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$63,867
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99224

Home prices YoY
-29.4%
Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
382
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,045 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$115 /mo · $1,382/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$429
Net cashflow
$713

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,142
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $792 -5% $753 +0% $713 +5% $674 +10% $635
Rent -10% $552 -5% $633 +0% $713 +5% $794 +10% $875
Rate -1.0pp $783 -0.5pp $749 base $713 +0.5pp $677 +1.0pp $641

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $139,000 Pending 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-05-01
    listed $145,000 Active 1027-char remark
  8. 2024-06-13
    soldstatus $152,000 Closed 1009-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1009 chars)

    Rare location available in West Prairie Village! This 4 bedroom 2 bathroom 1,416 sq ft double wide manufactured home was completely updated in 2021 inside & out! New kitchen, baths, windows, flooring, gutters, trim, sprinklers, decks and sod. Forced air & mini-split. New roof and carpet in 2024. As you walk in you'll marvel at the open concept living space and high ceilings, large kitchen complete with an oversized island and an eat in bar. You will also find a spacious dining room before heading to the three bedrooms and a full bathroom on the west side of the home. The primary suite has two light filled northeast windows taking advantage of the morning sunlight as well as an oversized full attached bath with a skylight, walk in shower and walk in closet. Enjoy the view and privacy knowing you will never have neighbors directly behind you. Lot rent includes water, sewer and garbage as well as access to the clubhouse which has a gym, large entertainment space and community kitchen.

  9. 2024-05-13
    status Pending 1009-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1009 chars)

    Rare location available in West Prairie Village! This 4 bedroom 2 bathroom 1,416 sq ft double wide manufactured home was completely updated in 2021 inside & out! New kitchen, baths, windows, flooring, gutters, trim, sprinklers, decks and sod. Forced air & mini-split. New roof and carpet in 2024. As you walk in you'll marvel at the open concept living space and high ceilings, large kitchen complete with an oversized island and an eat in bar. You will also find a spacious dining room before heading to the three bedrooms and a full bathroom on the west side of the home. The primary suite has two light filled northeast windows taking advantage of the morning sunlight as well as an oversized full attached bath with a skylight, walk in shower and walk in closet. Enjoy the view and privacy knowing you will never have neighbors directly behind you. Lot rent includes water, sewer and garbage as well as access to the clubhouse which has a gym, large entertainment space and community kitchen.

  10. 2024-04-25
    price $159,000 1009-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1009 chars)

    Rare location available in West Prairie Village! This 4 bedroom 2 bathroom 1,416 sq ft double wide manufactured home was completely updated in 2021 inside & out! New kitchen, baths, windows, flooring, gutters, trim, sprinklers, decks and sod. Forced air & mini-split. New roof and carpet in 2024. As you walk in you'll marvel at the open concept living space and high ceilings, large kitchen complete with an oversized island and an eat in bar. You will also find a spacious dining room before heading to the three bedrooms and a full bathroom on the west side of the home. The primary suite has two light filled northeast windows taking advantage of the morning sunlight as well as an oversized full attached bath with a skylight, walk in shower and walk in closet. Enjoy the view and privacy knowing you will never have neighbors directly behind you. Lot rent includes water, sewer and garbage as well as access to the clubhouse which has a gym, large entertainment space and community kitchen.

  11. 2024-04-04
    listed $169,000 Active 1009-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1009 chars)

    Rare location available in West Prairie Village! This 4 bedroom 2 bathroom 1,416 sq ft double wide manufactured home was completely updated in 2021 inside & out! New kitchen, baths, windows, flooring, gutters, trim, sprinklers, decks and sod. Forced air & mini-split. New roof and carpet in 2024. As you walk in you'll marvel at the open concept living space and high ceilings, large kitchen complete with an oversized island and an eat in bar. You will also find a spacious dining room before heading to the three bedrooms and a full bathroom on the west side of the home. The primary suite has two light filled northeast windows taking advantage of the morning sunlight as well as an oversized full attached bath with a skylight, walk in shower and walk in closet. Enjoy the view and privacy knowing you will never have neighbors directly behind you. Lot rent includes water, sewer and garbage as well as access to the clubhouse which has a gym, large entertainment space and community kitchen.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,382 · $115/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,382 · $115/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,538
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$1,382
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,963
− Management
−$1,963
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$6,705
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,609
After-tax cash flow
$6,952/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cheney School District
NCES district ID
5301230
Math proficiency
47% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,800
Composite
45.66/100
National rank
#5637
State rank
#140 of 291 in WA

Livability — Airway Heights

Score
73/100
State rank
#204
US rank
#5600

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Spokane County · 496,401 people
City population
9,440
Metro
Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
Population (ZIP)
24,919
Household income
$80,770
Rent vs Own
35.9% rent · 64.1% own
Severe rent burden
886.0

Population outlook (Spokane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
531,314 people
By 2030
549,278 · +3.4%
By 2040
577,822 · +8.8%
By 2050
598,188 · +12.6%
By 2075
630,744 · +18.7%
By 2100
622,360 · +17.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Spokane

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.0% · R 51.0% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -5.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+8.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -131.96%
Current HPI
317.2242
Rent YoY
▲ 1.52%
Metro
Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Pending SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $139,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $145,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $139,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $145,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-13 Sold (MLS) $152,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-13 Pending SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-25 Price Changed $159,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-04 Listed $169,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+11.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,382 · +74.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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