21 Walker Street Ext · Columbus, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Updated In-Town Columbus Home with New Kitchen, Baths, Roof, Windows, 1-Car Garage, and Flat 0.77-Acre Lot Just Minutes from Downtown. Adorable move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,526 square feet of comfortable living space on a spacious, fully flat 0.77-acre lot. Built in 1958, this updated home offers thoughtful modern updates and an ideal in-town location just moments from downtown Columbus. Renovated in 2018–2019, updates include a beautifully remodeled kitchen with stainless steel appliances, poured acrylic countertops, updated bathrooms, new flooring, replacement windows, and a newer roof. The bright, open floor plan offers comfortable everyday living with abundant n
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- New flooring
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage facing front; Driveway access; 1-car garage (280 sq ft)
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Site-built construction
- Construction: Vinyl and wood exterior materials; Basement foundation
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Privacy fencing; Lot approximately 0.77 acres; Roads are gravel and paved; publicly maintained
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Open room layout (1 main room noted); Basement with exterior entry (unfinished)
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $289k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-509/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $282k (2.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (21.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $226k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.2% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#53 in NC, #4,439 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Polk County Schools (rural): math 58% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #32 of 178 in NC (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 143 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $179k; list at $289k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.63%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $369,292
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168 Walker St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,447 (-5%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $190 | 76 |
| 646 Walker St | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-6%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $226 | 71 |
| 815 Peniel Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,492 (-2%) | 4mo | $335,000 | $225 | 69 |
| 872 Hayes Rd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (-3%) | 5mo | $362,500 | $245 | 65 |
| 583 Dublin Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,601 (+5%) | 4mo | $515,000 | $322 | 62 |
| 270 S Peak St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,363 (-11%) | 13mo | $380,000 | $279 | 62 |
| 330 Blanton St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,421 (-7%) | 23mo | $344,000 | $242 | 59 |
| 60 Barber St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (-10%) | 22mo | $260,000 | $188 | 57 |
| 685 Peniel Rd | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,422 (-7%) | 17mo | $279,000 | $196 | 52 |
| 403 Dublin Ln | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,730 (+13%) | 16mo | $499,000 | $288 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $154,625
- Equity at exit
- $260,354
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.65×
- Total profit
- $457,325
- Equity at exit
- $561,463
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28722
- Home prices YoY
- 9.0%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,256 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,268/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $-42
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $121 | -5% $39 | +0% $-42 | +5% $-124 | +10% $-206 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-221 | -5% $-132 | +0% $-42 | +5% $47 | +10% $136 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $103 | -0.5pp $31 | base $-42 | +0.5pp $-117 | +1.0pp $-193 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 Whispering Wind Ln Columbus, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2050 | $2,300 | $1.12 | 12d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 221 Dublin Ln Columbus, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $2,200 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 430 Skyuka Rd Columbus, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $2,300 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $289,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $289,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $299,990
-
2026-01-26status Active
-
2026-01-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-06price $310,000
-
2025-11-13$325,000 Active
-
2019-06-05soldstatus $179,000
-
2019-02-10historical
-
2019-01-15price $185,000
-
2019-01-14price $185,000
-
2018-11-13$195,000 Active
-
2018-05-25soldstatus $135,000 Sold In-House
-
2018-05-24soldstatus $135,000 Closed
-
2018-05-24soldstatus $135,000
-
2018-05-16historical Under Contract - Show
-
2018-05-16status Pending
-
2018-04-21$139,850 Active
-
2018-04-21$139,850 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,268 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,370 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- +$102/yr (+$8/mo · 4.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,077
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$2,268
- − Insurance
- −$1,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,166
- − Management
- −$2,166
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$5,564
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,335
- After-tax cash flow
- $827/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703720
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,641
- Composite
- 50.56/100
- National rank
- #1847
- State rank
- #32 of 178 in NC
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #4439
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,998
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,043 people
- By 2030
- 19,764 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 18,836 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 17,529 · -12.5%
- By 2075
- 14,741 · -26.5%
- By 2100
- 11,461 · -42.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Slovak 4% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 37.0% · R 62.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.1pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+25.7 2016: R+28.2 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.76%
- Current HPI
- 336.4252
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+114.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $299,990 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-26 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $310,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-13 Listed $325,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records
- 2019-02-10 Delisted — SPMLS
- 2019-01-15 Price Changed $185,000 SPMLS
- 2019-01-14 Price Changed $185,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-13 Listed $195,000 SPMLS
- 2018-05-25 Sold (MLS) $135,000 SPMLS
- 2018-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2018-05-24 Sold (MLS) $135,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-16 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-16 Pending — SPMLS
- 2018-04-21 Listed $139,850 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-21 Listed $139,850 SPMLS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,268 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…