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21 Walker Street Ext
C Composite 57.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$289,000

21 Walker Street Ext · Columbus, NC 28722
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,526 sqft · SingleFamily · 217 Days on market
Built 1958 0.77 ac lot Est $369k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Updated In-Town Columbus Home with New Kitchen, Baths, Roof, Windows, 1-Car Garage, and Flat 0.77-Acre Lot Just Minutes from Downtown. Adorable move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,526 square feet of comfortable living space on a spacious, fully flat 0.77-acre lot. Built in 1958, this updated home offers thoughtful modern updates and an ideal in-town location just moments from downtown Columbus. Renovated in 2018–2019, updates include a beautifully remodeled kitchen with stainless steel appliances, poured acrylic countertops, updated bathrooms, new flooring, replacement windows, and a newer roof. The bright, open floor plan offers comfortable everyday living with abundant n

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • New flooring
  • Spacious lot

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS LOTUPDATED BATHROOMSNEW FLOORINGPARTIALLY FENCED BACKYARDUSABLE SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage facing front; Driveway access; 1-car garage (280 sq ft)
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Site-built construction
  • Construction: Vinyl and wood exterior materials; Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Privacy fencing; Lot approximately 0.77 acres; Roads are gravel and paved; publicly maintained

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Open room layout (1 main room noted); Basement with exterior entry (unfinished)
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $289k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-509/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $282k (2.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (21.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $226k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.2% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#53 in NC, #4,439 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Polk County Schools (rural): math 58% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #32 of 178 in NC (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 143 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Polk County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $179k; list at $289k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $225,639 (21.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.63%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$369,292
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
168 Walker St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,447 (-5%) 3mo $275,000 $190 76
646 Walker St 0.19mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-6%) 7mo $325,000 $226 71
815 Peniel Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,492 (-2%) 4mo $335,000 $225 69
872 Hayes Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,482 (-3%) 5mo $362,500 $245 65
583 Dublin Ln 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,601 (+5%) 4mo $515,000 $322 62
270 S Peak St 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,363 (-11%) 13mo $380,000 $279 62
330 Blanton St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,421 (-7%) 23mo $344,000 $242 59
60 Barber St 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,380 (-10%) 22mo $260,000 $188 57
685 Peniel Rd 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,422 (-7%) 17mo $279,000 $196 52
403 Dublin Ln 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,730 (+13%) 16mo $499,000 $288 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$154,625
Equity at exit
$260,354
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
6.65×
Total profit
$457,325
Equity at exit
$561,463

Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28722

Home prices YoY
9.0%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,256 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,516
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,268/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$474
Net cashflow
$-42

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,310
Max offer price $281,510
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $121 -5% $39 +0% $-42 +5% $-124 +10% $-206
Rent -10% $-221 -5% $-132 +0% $-42 +5% $47 +10% $136
Rate -1.0pp $103 -0.5pp $31 base $-42 +0.5pp $-117 +1.0pp $-193

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,250
Closing costs
$8,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
84 Whispering Wind Ln Columbus, NC 3.0 2.0 2050 $2,300 $1.12 12d 1 0.25mi
221 Dublin Ln Columbus, NC 3.0 2.0 1534 $2,200 $1.43 14d 1 0.36mi
430 Skyuka Rd Columbus, NC 3.0 2.0 1860 $2,300 $1.24 24d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,000 Active 217 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,000 Active 216 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,000 Active 215 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,000 Active 214 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $289,000 Active 212 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $289,000 Active 209 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,000 Active 208 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,000 Active 207 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,000 Active 206 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,000 Active 202 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,000 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,000 Active 200 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,000 Active 199 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $289,000 Active 198 DOM
  15. 2026-04-21
    price $299,990
  16. 2026-01-26
    status Active
  17. 2026-01-14
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-01-06
    price $310,000
  19. 2025-11-13
    listed $325,000 Active
  20. 2019-06-05
    soldstatus $179,000
  21. 2019-02-10
    historical
  22. 2019-01-15
    price $185,000
  23. 2019-01-14
    price $185,000
  24. 2018-11-13
    listed $195,000 Active
  25. 2018-05-25
    soldstatus $135,000 Sold In-House
  26. 2018-05-24
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed
  27. 2018-05-24
    soldstatus $135,000
  28. 2018-05-16
    historical Under Contract - Show
  29. 2018-05-16
    status Pending
  30. 2018-04-21
    listed $139,850 Active
  31. 2018-04-21
    listed $139,850 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,268 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,370 · $197/mo
Expected delta
+$102/yr (+$8/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,077
− Mortgage interest
−$16,188
− Property taxes
−$2,268
− Insurance
−$1,445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,166
− Management
−$2,166
− Depreciation
−$8,407
Taxable loss
−$5,564
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,335
After-tax cash flow
$827/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk County Schools
NCES district ID
3703720
Math proficiency
58% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$44,641
Composite
50.56/100
National rank
#1847
State rank
#32 of 178 in NC

Livability — Columbus

Score
74/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#4439

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbus, NC
Population (ZIP)
5,998

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,043 people
By 2030
19,764 · -1.4%
By 2040
18,836 · -6.0%
By 2050
17,529 · -12.5%
By 2075
14,741 · -26.5%
By 2100
11,461 · -42.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Slovak 4% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 37.0% · R 62.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+25.7 2016: R+28.2 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 27.76%
Current HPI
336.4252
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+114.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $299,990 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-26 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $310,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $325,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records
  • 2019-02-10 Delisted SPMLS
  • 2019-01-15 Price Changed $185,000 SPMLS
  • 2019-01-14 Price Changed $185,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-13 Listed $195,000 SPMLS
  • 2018-05-25 Sold (MLS) $135,000 SPMLS
  • 2018-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2018-05-24 Sold (MLS) $135,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-16 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-16 Pending SPMLS
  • 2018-04-21 Listed $139,850 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-21 Listed $139,850 SPMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,268 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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