3218 Perry St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming historic bungalow full of classic character! This inviting home features a spacious covered front porch, fenced lot, driveway access, mature shade trees, and timeless craftsman-style details. Interior highlights include tall ceilings, wide trim, dark-stained woodwork, large windows, updated flooring, carpeted bedrooms, and a decorative fireplace in the main living area. The kitchen offers tile flooring, tile backsplash, black appliances, and ample cabinet space. Bathroom includes a tub/shower combo, tile surround, vanity, and tile flooring. Enjoy both front and rear covered porch areas with a generous yard space. Convenient Jacksonville location near downtown, shopping, dining, sch
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Driveway access
- Tile flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Chain-link full fencing; City street frontage; Asphalt road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Fireplace (1 total)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 194 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,491/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 1057% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.18%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,520
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3317 N Laura St | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,364 (+3%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $48 | 75 |
| 3032 Laura St N | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-13%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $61 | 58 |
| 212 W 38th St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,330 (+1%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $117 | 56 |
| 3918 Springfield Blvd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,222 (-7%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $151 | 56 |
| 33 E 29th St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 1,169 (-11%) | 1mo | $216,000 | $185 | 52 |
| 1136 W 25th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,267 (-4%) | 0mo | $222,000 | $175 | 50 |
| 228 E 25th St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,187 (-10%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $105 | 47 |
| 916 24th St W | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,169 (-11%) | 7mo | $158,500 | $136 | 44 |
| 4710 Springfield Blvd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,208 (-8%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $141 | 39 |
| 1058 W 17th St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,182 (-10%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $169 | 38 |
| 258 Ravine St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,132 (-14%) | 6mo | $149,500 | $132 | 37 |
| 329 Linwood Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+14%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $47 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,037
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $19,280
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32206
- Home prices YoY
- -23.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,491 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,555/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $437 | -5% $403 | +0% $369 | +5% $335 | +10% $301 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $251 | -5% $310 | +0% $369 | +5% $428 | +10% $487 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $429 | -0.5pp $399 | base $369 | +0.5pp $338 | +1.0pp $306 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 347 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $1,112 | $0.95 | 8d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 522 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 204 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,225 | $1.28 | 2d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3020 N Laura St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,300 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 421 Golfair Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1761 | $1,381 | $0.78 | 16d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 34 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 962 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 503 W 16th St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1216 | $1,420 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 118 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 26 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,300 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 326 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,550 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 666 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 28 W 33rd St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1395 | $898 | $0.64 | 8d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1018 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1161 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1025 W 25th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1029 W 25th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 30 W 12th St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1792 | $2,580 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1031 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1261 | $1,445 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 231 W 10th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2313 Janette St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,349 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 643 Linwood Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,325 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4721 E Castlewood Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,250 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3747 Peachtree St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,410 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1149 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,302 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1173 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,145 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2904 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 331 W 40th St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,375 | $0.90 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1201 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,145 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 55 E 9th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1246 | $1,675 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1220 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,299 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1288 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1449 | $1,267 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5035 N Main St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $1,459 | $1.79 | 24d | 69 | 0.98mi |
| 141 W 43rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,231 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 146 W 6th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,475 | $0.92 | 20d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1926 Walnut St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $1,418 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1514 Silver St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,275 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1410 W 20th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,485 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1431 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1199 | $1,425 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1010 E 13th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,275 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1407 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1140 | $1,550 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3403 Phoenix Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $995 | $0.99 | 8d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,555 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,555 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,891
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,555
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,431
- − Management
- −$1,431
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,661
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$639
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,789/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,105
- Household income
- $39,242
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1057.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 22% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.55%
- Current HPI
- 208.1852
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $120,000 realMLS
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,555 · +21.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…