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3218 Perry St
B Composite 73.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

3218 Perry St · Jacksonville, FL 32206
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1916 5,227 sqft lot Est $180k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming historic bungalow full of classic character! This inviting home features a spacious covered front porch, fenced lot, driveway access, mature shade trees, and timeless craftsman-style details. Interior highlights include tall ceilings, wide trim, dark-stained woodwork, large windows, updated flooring, carpeted bedrooms, and a decorative fireplace in the main living area. The kitchen offers tile flooring, tile backsplash, black appliances, and ample cabinet space. Bathroom includes a tub/shower combo, tile surround, vanity, and tile flooring. Enjoy both front and rear covered porch areas with a generous yard space. Convenient Jacksonville location near downtown, shopping, dining, sch

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Driveway access
  • Tile flooring

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHFENCED LOTDRIVEWAY ACCESSMATURE SHADE TREESCRAFTSMAN-STYLE DETAILSTILE FLOORING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Chain-link full fencing; City street frontage; Asphalt road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Fireplace (1 total)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 194 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,491/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 1057% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,200 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.98%
Cash-on-cash
13.18%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$179,520
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3317 N Laura St 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,364 (+3%) 3mo $65,000 $48 75
3032 Laura St N 0.25mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,150 (-13%) 4mo $70,000 $61 58
212 W 38th St 0.72mi 4/2.0 1,330 (+1%) 7mo $155,000 $117 56
3918 Springfield Blvd 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,222 (-7%) 3mo $185,000 $151 56
33 E 29th St 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,169 (-11%) 1mo $216,000 $185 52
1136 W 25th St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,267 (-4%) 0mo $222,000 $175 50
228 E 25th St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,187 (-10%) 7mo $125,000 $105 47
916 24th St W 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,169 (-11%) 7mo $158,500 $136 44
4710 Springfield Blvd 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,208 (-8%) 4mo $170,000 $141 39
1058 W 17th St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,182 (-10%) 3mo $200,000 $169 38
258 Ravine St 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,132 (-14%) 6mo $149,500 $132 37
329 Linwood Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,500 (+14%) 7mo $70,000 $47 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,037
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$19,280
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32206

Home prices YoY
-23.7%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
194
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,491 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,555/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,024
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $437 -5% $403 +0% $369 +5% $335 +10% $301
Rent -10% $251 -5% $310 +0% $369 +5% $428 +10% $487
Rate -1.0pp $429 -0.5pp $399 base $369 +0.5pp $338 +1.0pp $306

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
347 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1176 $1,112 $0.95 8d 1 0.07mi
522 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,350 $1.29 24d 1 0.14mi
204 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 960 $1,225 $1.28 2d 1 0.17mi
3020 N Laura St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,300 $1.12 24d 1 0.27mi
421 Golfair Blvd Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1761 $1,381 $0.78 16d 1 0.28mi
34 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 962 $1,400 $1.46 24d 1 0.30mi
503 W 16th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.5 1216 $1,420 $1.17 24d 1 0.31mi
118 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,250 $0.94 24d 1 0.35mi
26 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1512 $1,300 $0.86 24d 1 0.39mi
326 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1317 $1,550 $1.18 24d 1 0.42mi
666 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 0.55mi
28 W 33rd St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.0 1395 $898 $0.64 8d 1 0.56mi
1018 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1161 $1,600 $1.38 24d 1 0.57mi
1025 W 25th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 5.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 24d 1 0.59mi
1029 W 25th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 5.0 2.0 1410 $2,200 $1.56 24d 1 0.60mi
30 W 12th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 3.0 1792 $2,580 $1.44 2d 1 0.60mi
1031 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1261 $1,445 $1.15 24d 1 0.62mi
231 W 10th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 24d 1 0.64mi
2313 Janette St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1148 $1,349 $1.18 16d 1 0.72mi
643 Linwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,325 $1.08 3d 1 0.73mi
4721 E Castlewood Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,250 $1.24 24d 1 0.76mi
3747 Peachtree St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,410 $1.30 4d 1 0.79mi
1149 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1344 $1,302 $0.97 24d 1 0.79mi
1173 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,145 $1.06 14d 1 0.80mi
2904 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 952 $1,100 $1.16 24d 1 0.81mi
331 W 40th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1536 $1,375 $0.90 4d 1 0.82mi
1201 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,145 $1.02 24d 1 0.84mi
55 E 9th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1246 $1,675 $1.34 15d 1 0.87mi
1220 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1122 $1,299 $1.16 24d 1 0.87mi
1288 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.5 1449 $1,267 $0.87 14d 1 0.96mi
5035 N Main St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 816 $1,459 $1.79 24d 69 0.98mi
141 W 43rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1022 $1,231 $1.20 3d 1 1.03mi
146 W 6th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,475 $0.92 20d 1 1.04mi
1926 Walnut St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1338 $1,418 $1.06 15d 1 1.04mi
1514 Silver St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1726 $2,275 $1.32 24d 1 1.08mi
1410 W 20th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,485 $1.27 14d 1 1.08mi
1431 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1199 $1,425 $1.19 15d 1 1.11mi
1010 E 13th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1220 $1,275 $1.05 14d 1 1.12mi
1407 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 3.5 1140 $1,550 $1.36 24d 1 1.14mi
3403 Phoenix Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1002 $995 $0.99 8d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,555 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,555 · $130/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,891
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,555
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,431
− Management
−$1,431
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$2,661
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$639
After-tax cash flow
$3,789/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,105
Household income
$39,242
Rent vs Own
53.7% rent · 46.3% own
Severe rent burden
1057.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 22% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.55%
Current HPI
208.1852
Rent YoY
▲ 0.94%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $120,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,555 · +21.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…